I would like to see some evidence for that. My hunch is that it doesn't matter.
FWIW, a few projection systems were very close to Willy's numbers this year:
ZiPS proj - 250/328/465
actual #s to date: 253/336/471
Did this off the top of my head so I might be missing a team or prospect.
Teams you can cross off the list (have a stud they are committed to or a stud to be):
KC
BAL
NYM
CIN
TEX
WAS
NYY
PHI
PIT
Teams you can probably cross off the list (have a decent starter(s) or young guy that they like):
BOS (Mayer in the pipeline))
HOU
CHC
STL
LAA
PIT
MIN
ATL (might roll w Alvarez)
CLE (if they want to stick w Rocchio)
AZ (Lawler)
Who is left w money to sign a FA of Willy's caliber:
LAD
TOR
SDP
SEA (Emerson is in A+)
SF
Others:
COL
That was the completion of a game that was postponed the day before. I think they only threw 4 pitches before the rain kicked in so Semien led off the game with a new pitcher but a 2 - 2 count.
They played a second full game that evening and drew 11K.