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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    A lot of the screaming about this trade is coming from where? You guessed it, ESPN. Now ESPN employs some smart baseball people, and they know that Miami not only shed bad contracts that would have tied them up for years, but they got back quality young players. They also know that Oakland won the AL West with similar talent to what Miami now has over the big spending Angels, yet I've yet to hear anyone bring that up. Why is that? The answer is so simple. What is baseball to ESPN? That's right, it's the Yankee/Red Sox rivalry. Well, where did these guys get traded to? Toronto? The same Toronto team that plays in the division with the Yankees and Red Sox. ESPN is still reeling from the rise of Baltimore. It was one thing for them to have the story of the quaint D-Rays in the mix, but now Baltimore and Toronto? That just can't be. Selig has to act.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    What are you talking about TheCrew87? In 2011, he hit .267/.387/.504 in A ball. That doesn't say "major league ready but stuck" to me. Last year his power numbers went up in AA in the hitter friendly Texas League, then he got a call up. My point is he's not Ryan Zimmerman or Ryan Braun. Very few guys are. That's not to say he won't be a solid major league third baseman, but he could also be a Josh Fields who was ranked as high as #45 on BA's prospect list in 2007. I was responding to a post that suggested you never deal a top SS prospect for a power 3B. My argument was in special cases you do, but Olt doesn't fit that description and I used the age thing to show how special Zimmerman and Braun truly were.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers paid Wolf about that amount last year, and frankly I'd rather have Nolasco. He fits the bill for a one year guy who'll give you innings without a long term commitment. True you'd like him for considerably less but we aren't talking about that much in the big picture even if you took the entire amount, plus it wouldn't take much to get him.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    We're not talking about another Ryan Zimmerman here (regarding Olt) who was driving in 110 runs in the big leagues at 21. Of course there are exceptions but Olt could still end up being another Josh Fields vs. Segura who held his own against big league pitching at 22.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    I don't think he's going anywhere this year.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    Seriously? That isn't going to happen. Just because they did it all at once, is it any worse than Houston dismantling it's team piece by piece by piece? Marlins now have a rotation with 3 really good young starters, in Turner, Alvarez and Eovaldi. They have a young top of the line star in Stanton, a solid middle infield with Escobar and Hechavarria, and a promising young catcher in Rob Brantly. They weren't going to contend this year anyway, but they are pretty far along in building with youth now. They also have money to add pieces here and there and be very respectable this season
  7. JohnBriggs12
    Again, it's November 14th. We have no idea what his team will look like in spring. As for last year, they were 13 1/2 games back when they dealt Ramirez to the Dodgers and were playing awful. So he's supposed to hope they don't do the same thing this year with the same high priced players and only draw 2.2 million again? In the same division as the Nationals and the Braves? After 2 failed years, what trade value would those guys have left anyway?
  8. JohnBriggs12
    I don't get how it's a "slap in the face" to Marlin fans. Without this deal, they become the Cubs of 2011-2012 in a couple years, with burdensome contracts preventing them from doing anything. Loria spent to put a winner on the field but it didn't work out, and he cut his losses. He now has money he can spend elsewhere if he chooses and he's added young talent. Let's see what their team looks like on opening day before we jump to conclusions.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    Did I miss something? How many games did the Marlins win with those guys? 69? Buehrle and Johnson were a combined 21-27. Buehrle's contract was backloaded and he is scheduled to make $37 million when he's 35 and 36. Reyes had a solid year but his OPS was down nearly 100 points from the year before. His contract is backloaded too, with him due $66 milliion over the final 3 years when he'll be 32-34. After a career year in 2011, Bonafacio reverted to just another guy in 2012. Escobar's 2011 was very similar to Reyes' 2012 and he's a fine defensive SS. Hechavarria looks like a fine middle infield prospect who's major league ready. Alvarez at 22 started 31 games for Jays and wasn't all that bad either. Bottom line, the Marlins weren't going to win with those guys and the Reyes and Buehrle contracts were really bad in the out years. In the long run, they did a smart thing. The casual fans (aren't those the only type they have) won't like it, but the reality is it was a good move. As for the Jays, I doubt this gets them over the top. But big burdensome contracts haven't bothered them in the past.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    Sanders actually looks like he can play. They are sort of force feeding Harris right now at the SF, but playing with the first unit should help his development. The key to the team is the 2nd unit which can be a strength if Dunleavy and Udrih stay healthy. The bigs on the 2nd unit are pretty interchangeable but they need those two to provide offense. The most disappointing so far? Ilyasova. Typical Buck move to give a journeyman like that a 5 year contract after a couple good months and then have him fall off.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    One year deal apparently. Not bad value on the surface, assuming he's healthy, but the guy is a fly ball pitcher pitching in Wrigley in a division with Miller Park and Great American ballpark. It's likely he'll contend for most HR allowed.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    Hart is the fall back guy and would go back to RF if someone is needed there long term. They have either Gamel or Morris to replace him at 1B. As for the RH pinch hit role, in the everyday Brewer lineup, the only guy they will PH for is the pitcher, and I just don't see a lot of opportunities for a backup. Roenicke has no qualms about using his backup catcher to PH, and there's Bianchi too. The logical FA names out there like a Reed Johnson or a Matt Diaz might be looking for a bigger role. They could also add a RH middle infielder to the mix. Sure Cody Ransom had trouble making contact but he hit some big HR late too and he gives them double switch options. So I wouldn't be shocked if they tried bringing him back assuming he's non-tendered in Arizona.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    It's not that I wouldn't take any power hitting young 3B (remember Braun was once one) over Segura, but Olt isn't the guy. He's already 24, and while he has big time power, he's done nothing above AA yet.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    Aoki made the entire lineup better. What a terrific find. I just wish he were 3-4 years younger. I don't think finding a RH corner OF is a priority at all. This team has right handed thunder up and down the lineup. Aoki helps balance it out and he's a great leadoff guy. Even against lefties, it helps to have a lefty or two in the lineup just to give the opposing pitcher a different look. Aoki is enough of a pest, he'll make the guy work too. He is so impressive situationally. He could probably hit 25 HR if he wanted to but he only looks to drive it in certain situations. It seemed every HR he hit was in a tight game.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    I don't know that I would call it falling off the cliff, but I always fear he could revert to his flailing at everything way low and outside like the end of the 2008 season. That said, if he is willing to take a discount, I would see about bumping his 2013 pay and tacking on two more years as someone else posted. Early in his career when he ran a lot, Hart was somewhat conflicted as a hitter. He saw himself at times as more of a speed guy and his power disappeared for long stretches. In 2010, he finally realized power was his biggest asset, and he focused more on waiting for pitches he could drive. Since then, he's been a very potent hitter. I don't think we'll see him go back.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    I don't think there's any correlation between height and back problems. Some guys just have bad backs (Fred Couples comes to mind). Guys' production falls off based on any number of factors as they age, but I think the odds are pretty good that Hart will still be productive at age 33. Dave Winfield was productive into his late 30's. Dave Kingman hit 100 home runs from age 35 to 37.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    I've seen it reported multiple times on MLB Trade Rumors. Unless it's a 1 or 2 year deal I hope it's not true. I'm guessing Dempster is going to want a no trade or limited trade clause as the Cubs had trouble finding him a spot last year. I would hope they don't entertain a 3rd year. I think it's likely Dempster reverts to his 2011 form as soon as next year so not only would I not go beyond 2 years, I wouldn't go higher than $25 million over 2.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    You are right. The same year they signed Riske to that deal, they signed Salomon Torres for one year $3.3 million. The difference was Riske was coming off what for him was a very good season, and Torres was coming off a lousy year. Both were essentially the same though. That's why I cringe when I read stories linking the Brewers to Jason Grilli. Grilli is a buy high guy and will command more years than say a Jon Rauch who's essentially in the same class but wasn't quite as good recently.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    First of all Jackson is nowhere near the pitcher Kuroda is regardless of age. Kuroda has a career 3.42 ERA and a 1.182 WHIP vs. Jackson's 4.40 ERA and 1.438 WHIP. Secondly, I'd offer Kuroda more like 1 year $15-16 million, not a 2 year deal. He's not going to turn down a one year $13.3 million deal to take 2 years at less per year than that. The one year offer accomplishes this for the Brewers, (vs. Jackson). They are getting a true no. 1-2 pitcher (vs Jackson who is at best a 3), and they aren't tying a spot or money beyond this year. The risk is that Kuroda at 38 will suddenly drop off, but that risk isn't any worse than Jackson throwing in a clunker year like he has at times in the past.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    To answer your question about Narveson Roderick, I don't see why they couldn't. At the very least he could stay in extended spring and get work in that way and then go on a rehab. Just read where Kuroda isn't limiting himself to the Yankees....Hmmmmm. Kuroda would cost a draft pick, and wants more than the qualifying offer, but it won't take more than 2 and possibly just a one year deal...he'll be 38, but showed no signs he's losing it last year with a career high in innings. Somebody get Aoki on the line and have him make a recruiting call.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    Monty, I find myself agreeing with you more and more. Your analysis is spot on. But forget 2014 and 2015, any one of those names with a solid start, and the right set of circumstances, can't be ruled out for 2013. Which as you point out, makes locking up another rotation spot with a high priced middle level pitcher like Jackson very problematic. The beauty of the Brewer rotation as it now stands, is it's flexibility. Worried that Fiers starts the year more like he ended it? Fine, option him and bring up the next guy. Same would go if you started the year with Peralta in there. Rogers is out of options, and I know people think he can't clear waivers and get sent down, but if he's so bad the Brewers can't at least carry him as the 12th guy, teams won't be interested, because he'd be without options for them as well. Estrada, a likely starter, has shown he can pitch out of the pen if room has to be made. Narveson could start the year in Nashville for a month long rehab, then come up and fill in for a struggling starter. The need and it's really not all that great, is for some additional veteran presence for this year, not the future. There are guys who can be had on one year deals that are likely to perform as well or nearly as well as the likes of Edwin Jackson. If they fall on their face, again, just jettison them, and go the the next young guy or pull a Narveson out of the pen.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    I wouldn't go Capuano because they already have Narveson. That's not to say they can't look for value though. I'd consider Liriano, who could be anything from a #2 to a #5, or a guy who's solid, but can also pitch out of the pen if the young guys beat him out. Guys like Correia and Villanueva fit that bill.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    There's a reason the Dodgers are after FA. The guys behind the top couple aren't very good or are injury risks. Now if Lilly looked good in spring and the Dodgers paid a good chunk of his salary, that might be an option.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers might have paid him a little more, or maybe were the only team to guarantee him a 40-man spot. Or maybe Olmsted thought Milwaukee presented him with the best opportunity to contribute at the major league level the soonest. He was a FA - there was no claim order. Don't underestimate the Axford factor. Axford had very similar background. He may not have been aware of it, but a good agent would be.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    If anyone got traded to make room for Hamilton, my money is on Weeks. Though I'm not convinced anyone gets dealt to make room. They appear to be stockpiling young bullpen arms which is a hint they have a contingency for saving money in that area to pay for Hamilton. They also can make room by staying away from any pricy starters.
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