Chone projected him for a 3.75 ERA before the season started. If he had done that over 50 IP, no way he's worth even close to $8 mil. That said, Hoffman is not an easy guy to project (not exactly like just about any other pitcher) and he had a great walk and strikeout rate. Even if he was closer to a 3.00 ERA reliever, he might be worth half of what he actually got. Melvin, like so many other GMs, is willing to pay an "established closer" tax in order to attempt to placate the fans who think they are invaluable. I would have much preferred spending that $8 mil on someone that wasn't projected to have 46 IP. Melvin's motivation is placating fans? Then why is Suppan still on the roster? No, Melvin's made this mistake before. He did it when he signed Turnbow to a multi year deal, then watched him implode in 2006. He did it again in 2008 with Gagne after Cordero priced himself just out of his range. I don't think you can pit that on the fans. He got "lucky" when Hoffman had a bounceback last year, but that just set him up to overpay this year. Melvin's problem is the same with most FA he signs. He can't quite afford quality so he goes for guys past their prime, or 2nd and 3rd tier guys that aren't cheap but within his budget.. The reason he couldn't afford Cordero was because Cordero was actually a top tier closer in his prime. Brewers can't afford top tier guys. When it's the closer position, and that guy fails as less than top tier closers often do, it can jettison the season because it takes too long to replace guys you are paying a lot. So what's the solution. In the short term, Hoffman needs to be taken out of the role. Sorry Trevor, you have to win it back. It's not like the Brewers don't have options to close. None are perfect, but a case could be made for Hawkins, Coffey, Villanueva and most certainly Braddock. If you try one of these guys and he doesn't work, try another until you find the one guy that can do a decent job. They replaced Gagne in May of 08 with a journeyman guy in Torres and still got to the playoffs. They have a Torres on their roster. They just have to find out who that is. Yeah it opens up spots that have to be filled in lesser roles, but that Nashville bullpen has more than one major league quality reliever on it. In the long term, the Brewers need to focus on developing closers internally combined with looking for bargains elsewhere. That's one reason I'd leave Braddock in the pen. They may not have a premier name guy every year that way, but that way, it makes changing out guys who are failing a lot easier.