I can't see Arrieta signing for less than 5 years. This is his one shot at the long term contract. With all the big free agent names next season there will only be so much money to go around. Machado, Harper, Kershaw is going to eat up a lot of that money. Arrieta is not going to sign a one year deal. I don't think he will sign a two year deal either, two years from now he will really be getting long in the tooth so no one is going to give him a long term deal then either. He will hold out for now and he will get that 5 year deal from someone this season. In looking at his numbers from last season one thing really jumped out at me. His numbers were really good except for one thing. Five different catchers caught games for Arrieta. Four of the five catchers had very good numbers while catching him. In games when Miguel Montero was his catcher his numbers were horrible. Why? Montero caught him in 7 games, 35 innings or about 21% of the innings he threw. His numbers were bad across the board with Montero. ERA was almost 7.00, BABIP was extremely high, walk rate was up, hits were up. Was Arrieta just off in those games or was it how Montero called the games? I don't know how good a catcher Montero is but those numbers I thought were striking. I am not advocating signing Arrieta in any way, just found it interesting how bad he was when Montero caught him.