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JoeHova

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Everything posted by JoeHova

  1. JoeHova
    The Mariners must be hoping Chavez's real ability is closer to his 2009 season than it is to his 2008 (.595 OPS). It seems like an underwhelming return for a guy who Mariner fans were convinced could be the centerpiece of a Prince to Seattle deal. I have to believe Jack Z would have preferred Prince to League & Chavez. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif
  2. JoeHova
    I'm not saying that I necessarily agree with it but the reason a lot of people consider Vazquez significantly better than Wolf is that Vazquez's career FIP is half a run better than Wolf's. The disparity in xFIP is even greater.
  3. JoeHova
    Corey Hart 2009: .335 OBP, .418 SLG, 100 OPS+ Melky Cabrera 2009: .336 OBP, .416 SLG, 99 OPS+ If he looked like an overmatched minor leaguer last year then so did Melky. The year before that, Melky had a 68 OPS+. Hart was bad in 2008 too but not nearly that bad. Melky is probably a more valuable commodity because he's younger and a better defender but I don't think there is much difference. It would be great if Hart could be traded for even half the return the Yankees got for Melky.
  4. JoeHova
    This is another great move for the Yankees. Obviously they might miss Vizcaino down the road but the Yankees don't have to worry that much about that kind of thing compared to other teams. They can fill holes with proven talent if they choose so they don't need to count on 18 year-olds developing. A great luxury.
  5. JoeHova
    On the surface this appears to be an odd deal for Seattle. Morrow is under team control for one more year than League and League is a Super-2 so he's already going into his 2nd year of arbitration. Morrow also might be able to start whereas League is (probably) strictly a reliever. I don't really like either guy as a player (Morrow in particular is excruciating to watch) but it seems like Morrow should have a little more value than this. Of course, the quality of the PTNBL is a big unknown at this point. If it's somebody good this starts to look better for Seattle.
  6. JoeHova
    Too bad he had to take a minor league deal but at least it's with the defending champs. Hopefully he'll get a shot to make the team.
  7. JoeHova
    It's true that Surhoff had a nice career but I think that because the Packers (Mandarich, maybe Hawk, Holliday, Ahmad Carroll, Jamal Reynolds, T-Buck, Rich Campbell, etc.) and Bucks (Russ Lee, Benson, Day, Grayer, Traylor, Respert, Bogut to some extent, etc.) often get bashed for making bad draft picks that it's only fair to point out that the Brewers passed on the 2nd best player of all-time when they had the first pick in the draft.
  8. JoeHova
    Problems with his rotator cuff. He had at least two operations on his throwing shoulder (9/06 & 9/07) and has thrown only 61.1 innings (including minor league rehab time) in the 3 seasons since the first surgery.
  9. JoeHova
    You better get used to it because every time a Wisconsin team makes (or doesn't make) what appears to be a stupid (or at least suboptimal) move, Suppan is going to be brought up. He should be because signing him is arguably the worst move in Wisconsin sports history. Their are other contenders, of course (trading Kareem, dumping Sheffield, taking Surhoff over Bonds, hiring Bart Starr as coach, etc.), but by crippling the first good team the Brewers have had in a generation, he has really earned any negative comparisons thrown his way.
  10. JoeHova
    If Macha starts Wolf over Gallardo, that's a real slap in the face to Yovani. Also, disregarding the fact that Gallardo is better, Brewer fans don't care about Randy Wolf, we care about our homegrown Yovani. The same thing applies in Seattle so I would assume Felix will start. To start a guy in his first year with the team over a better pitcher who has been in the organization for years and is a fan favorite is the definition of a slap in the face.
  11. JoeHova
    The other side to that is who cares if he is flipping off fans and fighting announcers if his OBP is near .400?
  12. JoeHova
    Wow, getting it done in Japan. Of course, the last NPB flameout the Brewers signed (Gabe Kapler, who hit .138 and was released after 38 games) ended up having good success, so maybe this will work out.
  13. JoeHova
    This is such a great deal for the Mariners. Even by sending the Cubs $9 million, they still are only paying Bradley $3 million per year more than they would have had to pay Silva, who is basically totally worthless (at least to Seattle. They have 4-5 other guys who project as 5th starters (Olson, French, Vargas, Fister, etc.)). Considering the fact that guys like LaTroy Hawkins, Brandon Lyon, and Garrett Atkins have all recently signed for more than that per year, this makes a lot of sense for the Mariners. Also, they won't have to suffer through having a Suppan-esque anchor on their pitching staff for the next 2 years.
  14. JoeHova
    Another thing to keep in mind is that those guys were not Jack's prospects. He may not have had high hopes for any of them. However, even if he did, the Mariners do not have a very good farm system so sending out 3 of their top 15 is not necessarily the same as it would be if a team with a great system did that. One more thing about prospects is that they often don't pan out. Think of how many Brewers prospects had value when they were in A ball but never even made the majors, much less had an impact when they got there. The Mariners traded a lot of uncertainty for much less uncertainty.
  15. JoeHova
    The stats (at least UZR) disagree with this one. UZR has Bill being a well above average CF (+6.3/150), though of course sample size is an issue (138 games).
  16. JoeHova
    I don't like any of these trades. They aren't nearly as bad as what I've been seeing proposed on Mariner message boards though. Stuff like Brandon Morrow and a mid-level prospect.
  17. JoeHova
    I agree that Beltre was fine, I brought him up in the context of all the money they were losing from their payroll. If you want to make the claim that Bavasi was a good GM, go for it.
  18. JoeHova
    I don't know about a chip on his shoulder but it would be great if he could fluke his way to a 4.25 ERA or something. Of course, Doug would probably re-sign him after that, so maybe it wouldn't be great.
  19. JoeHova
    2009 Brewers pythag record: 78-842009 Mariners pythag record: 75-87 I'm not seeing a lot of difference there.
  20. JoeHova
    They shed a lot of salary too. They lost Washburn, Beltre, Batista, Johjima. Just those 4 guys accounted for over $40 million dollars last season. Jeez, Bavasi was terrible. They're also stuck with Carlos Silva, who is even more awful than Suppan and is under contract for 2 (or 3, depending on how his option works) more years. (In his 2 years in Seattle so far, Silva is 5-18 with a 6.81 ERA. Disastrous.)
  21. JoeHova
    I'm well aware that Aumont may start. The Mariners didn't start him because they think he is a major injury risk. If the Phillies want to take that chance, good for them, but as a Mariner, he's a reliever. Gillies was playing in High Desert last season, the team as a whole had an .854 OPS. The Futures Game doesn't mean much. A lot of good players play in that game but so do a lot of guys who don't end up doing anything.
  22. JoeHova
    The thing about that is that there are only 25 roster spots. All 3 players have a ton of uncertainty as Aumont is the only one who has played above A+. They might not even make the majors or become guys anybody would want to keep around for 6 years. If they do make that hurdle, average and below average players have value but not so much that they can't be used to trade for a good player. The only way this comes back to haunt the M's is if one (or both) of the pitchers becomes a good starter. Even if they both become good relievers, it probably won't haunt the Mariners because relievers are pretty replaceable.
  23. JoeHova
    I don't think they're the favorite (yet), but I think they have a chance. Also, the Lee move indicates (to me, at least) that there will be more to come from Zduriencik. The Mariners still have room in their budget for another couple signings. Also, some more trades could possibly be made. I agree that it seems as though the Mariners gave up some good talent to get Lee if one looks at the prospect lists. However, the guys they gave up are an AA reliever, an A ball pitcher who hasn't been getting great results, and an A ball CF who has no power. The two pitchers do have good arms and could come back to bite the Mariners but they don't seem irreplaceable. The Brewers, for example, gave up far more for 3 months of CC.
  24. JoeHova
    I could not disagree more. If one looks at the dregs that the Brewers have had catching for them over the years, it makes it clear how terrible catchers on the whole are. I would never trade a catching prospect that actually had a chance to be a good major league hitter. Let them pan out in the majors first and if your team still has an excess of catching, then make a trade. A young catcher who has shown he can hit in the majors and has 4-5 years of service time left is very valuable. That way a team doesn't make the mistake of trading a guy who can play and keeping a guy who can't, thus sentencing them to more years of terrible catching. There's no other position where it's so hard to find a good player.
  25. JoeHova
    I like the "another" in there. It's like if I gave a kid half a box of Cheerios and then said, "don't expect another Christmas present".
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