Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

kramnoj

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,293

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by kramnoj

  1. kramnoj
    KC would have been much better off not spending money on either player, instead spending that money on international free agents, increasing scouting, or saving money to offer to truly elite talent. There isn't a magical number that prevents teams from having a portion of their payroll devoted to one player. The Rockies in 2007 made it to the World Series with an opening day payroll of $54M and Helton was making $16.7M that year. The Giants just won the World Series with an opening day payroll of under $100M and spent $18.5M on Zito and $12M on Rowand. That's around 30% of the payroll and they got 4 PA out of Rowand in the WS and Zito didn't make a postseason appearance.
  2. kramnoj
    If this player had a 6-7 year contract (which many of these guys seem to be getting at minimum), and he got injured that would kill them. That's true. It's also true that not acquiring talent isn't a great way to make a team get better. I think many would soon realize (about 2 or 3 years into that contract) that it's not the smartest of moves. Lots of teams that spend money do so inefficiently. It's much smarter to identify a star and pay them. How many current teams with payrolls of $100 million or less are paying anyone on the roster $20milliion or more? I really don't know the answer to this, but I'm guessing the answer is probably 0. Again, the Brewers have offered to do so twice. Just because it doesn't exist doesn't mean it can't exist. It just means that with the current structure, players choose to go where they can get more money and win if that opportunity presents itself. And some players, like Werth, will take the most money that is offered to them when there is a vast discrepancy.
  3. kramnoj
    Do you honestly think the players would be open to full revenue sharing or a salary cap? Those are two different things. I don't see a reason to believe that players would oppose full revenue sharing, as long as there was some guarantee of a percentage of revenue that goes to players. This seems to be about the limit for the small market clubs (see Suppan, Wolf, etc). The Brewers have twice offered $20M, so I don't see a reason to believe that the actual limit is half of that. I believe that the offers that the Brewers have made towards elite players haven't been enough, and the Brewers feel comfortable spending money on players that project to be average or better at positions of weakness. The players know that with complete revenue sharing, there may be no club that can afford the $20+ million per year multi-year contracts If MLB has $6Billion in revenue, and spend half of that on player salaries, then each team could have a $100Million payroll. Every team could afford a $20M contract, and some teams may choose to spend more on a special player.
  4. kramnoj
    If the other owners decided they have had enough and wanted to have a vote for full revenue sharing (including TV contracts) and a Salary Cap, it wouldn't matter because even with a majority of owners in favor of it they would have to get approval from the players union, which would never happen. That's what I mean when I say the players (employees) are calling the shots. I don't see how you can say that with so much conviction. If the revenue was distributed equally, the players wouldn't care as long as they get paid. If anything, the players weren't satisfied with the current structure where money was going to teams that weren't spending it, which is why we saw the As sign Sheets to the deal last year and the Marlins spend the money for Johnson.
  5. kramnoj
    The problem now is that the players run the game. They call the shots. What was the last shot the players called? The owners are all willing participants in signing these deals. The owners decide how money is distributed, and the percentage of money going to players compared to MLB income was decreasing.
  6. kramnoj
    They have a large amount of their cap room available this year and for the following years. We desperately need starting pitchers for the next 2 years and have the money to spend now; so why not fill our only need with the best pitcher available. That is a compelling argument to get the best pitcher available. I have no faith in Pavano being that guy. The last time Pavano had a guaranteed contract for more than one year, he was only able to start 26 total games during the 4 year contract. I think a 1/$15M offer with two individual vesting years at the same amount at 30 starts each year would be okay, but I would have no interest in guaranteeing 3 years. I also know that some team is going to be desperate enough to make the guaranteed offer and have no interest in the Brewers being that team.
  7. kramnoj
    Werth's contract now becomes the bargaining point for OFs, and de la Rosa's 3 yr/$33MM contract becomes the bargaining point for average SPs. Neither one of those contracts was the first of it's kind. Werth got the deal Vernon Wells got, and Gil Meche got 2 more years than DLR. To my knowledge, Crawford would be the first non slugger position player breaking $20M average, but the Red Sox are a team that will value his defense and base-running that are a huge part of his value.
  8. kramnoj
    I think it depends on how you ask the question. Should a team target players in their walk years and then expect better performance? The answer to that is no. A team should not expect increased performance based on picking up a random player who will be a free agent at the end of the season. There has been one study that players tend to appear in more games or innings in their walk year, so players as a whole may suck it up for a year, or try just a little bit harder to stay healthy, but that's it. The other question that I find more interesting, and basically unanswerable to a reasonable degree of confidence is: if you see a player who happened to have their best year in a walk year, should you treat that player any differently when doing a projection, or would a simple Marcel be better? I think the answer is a simple projection is going to be more reliable, but some players just have such outstanding years in walk years, it's hard to invest tens of millions (or more) in them with any degree of confidence.
  9. kramnoj
    Boras set Prince's price at 8/$200M last year when the Brewers were trying to extend him. I don't see him getting that, but nobody saw Werth's deal either.
  10. kramnoj
    The only way we can compete and save his job is if we have pitching. Selling the farm system really doesn't matter to him at this point. He already started to show that by trading Lawrie. He has pride in his job. And even if he does get fired, he will have plenty of opportunities to work in baseball beyond that, and he will be regarded better if he can tell his future employers that he will always do what is best for the team, rather than act completely out of self interest. Trading Lawrie doesn't show anything. It just reinforces the fact that in order to get good players, you have to trade away good players.
  11. kramnoj
    Throwing 87 rather than 95 isn't an issue? It sure is when you lose 2-3 MPH on that fastball. I think any pitcher losing a couple miles off their fastball would have issues if they didn't adapt. Besides, Marcum isn't in his mid 30s. He's not likely to lose that in the next 2 years. I think huge injuries to pitchers arms the year before we trade for them is KIIINDA a negative and not a plus. The injury is fixed. There isn't any support that I'm aware of that would justify this fear.
  12. kramnoj
    Being a soft tosser doesn't preclude one from being successful. That in and of itself isn't an issue. Having two years left? I don't see that as an issue. If we wanted to trade for someone with more control, we would have given up more. How is going through TJ an issue? I am curious to see some documented evidence that this should be an issue. When I say it's a plus, if anything, this is my reasoning: A certain number of pitchers will undergo TJ. The majority of them will not need a 2nd one. By picking up somebody who has already gone through it, we have minimized the risk that a pitcher that we are obtaining will need TJ while under team control. Not having had 200 IP isn't an issue. It's a matter of opportunity. He lost a year due to TJ and was recovering from it last year and did quite well. I don't see any reason to believe that he won't be capable of being a 200 IP for the next two years.
  13. kramnoj
    I'm not sure how my issue with trading our top prospect for a guy who has the issues surrounding him that Marcum does automatically qualifies as "being delusional" I'm not really sure what issues you think Marcum has. Pitchers can be successful throwing less than 90 MPH. That's why they are called pitchers, not throwers. I don't think that Marcum having gone through TJ surgery is an issue. If anything, it seems to be a plus. Most pitchers that go through TJ don't have a second one, do they? What evidence is there to suggest that Marcum having gone through the surgery is an issue?
  14. kramnoj
    Does anybody else remember Dickerson being so bad that the Brewers called up Lo Cain early? Cain broke the bigs in July and was up for good Aug 6th. Dickerson's first appearance with the Brewers was Aug 10th. I liked Cain and was looking forward to rooting for him for years, but if he can bring back a decent starter, it makes sense.
  15. kramnoj
    I think what's really best for the Brewers is to take a few years off from trying to add impact pitchers and settling for soft tossers(though Marcum's certainly a legit pitcher), let our prospects catch up, and then when we've clear the salaries of some of these guys(or hell, re-sign a couple of them) then be a bit more aggressive. The Brewers would be in a better position prospect wise if they had traded Sheets in 2008 and not traded for CC. The Brewers would be better prospect wise if they just traded anybody worth of value and waited to build, but then many fans that care for this team would find other things to do with their time and money. They could follow the Twins model of stinking for 8 years, building up draft picks along the way, and finally they are able to put together a series of successful teams. That could definitely work. It just wouldn't be much fun for Brewers fans while it happened. And for a guy as competitive as our owner is, he doesn't want that to happen.
  16. kramnoj
    I would be reasonably content with bringing back Cap and going after Webb.
  17. kramnoj
    I personally don't see Washington as a trade candidate, but MLBTR noted that Washington has negotiated 3 contracts with Boras in recent years: Werth, Strasburg and Harper. Maybe the Nationals would trade for Fielder if they got the sense that they could be the highest bidder for Fielder and get him (and with quite a few of the big market teams locked up, that might not be an impossible notion).
  18. kramnoj
    Rosenthal tweeting "One reason #Brewers willing to give up top prospect Lawrie for 2 yrs of Marcum: They think they have chance to sign Marcum long-term. #BlueJays were talking to Marcum about 3-yr deal. Marcum, from KC, said to be excited to return to Midwest"
  19. kramnoj
    I don't neccessarily see this as Melvin trying to save himself. I'd be fairly surprised if this didn't have Attanasio's approval (at the very least a heads-up before it went through). Attanasio wants the Brewers to win right now every bit as much as Mevlin does, and this move improves the chance of that happening in the immediate future.
  20. kramnoj
    Lawrie for Marcum is probably as fair a trade as could be made. The Brewers are dealing from depth, and one very good prospect for a good pitcher with 2 years control is reasonable. I'm sure there are going to be plenty of Blue Jay fans that aren't going to be happy about trading away a good pitcher for a prospect that has questions about his defensive value. I don't like losing Lawrie, but this should improve the team for the next two years. The Brewers were in a fairly tough position. They have enough good players and a fanbase that wants to come to the ballpark that there is pressure to keep the team decent. The future of the Brewers may be better off by selling off players and building for 2013, or whenever, but it's tough to tell the fans that bought millions of tickets in recent years that the Brewers don't plan on being competitive for a couple of years.
  21. kramnoj
    He's a good pitcher and the Brewers get him for two years of arb control. I'm curious if the Blue Jays want pitchers closer to the majors or young lottery tickets.
  22. kramnoj
    Heyman now tweets "Appears #redsox will add about 7 yrs at about $23 mil per to a gon's $6 mil '11 salary. But no extension will be announced yet."
  23. kramnoj
    This is one example of when a player gets paid close to his Fangraphs value. If there is enough competition for services, those dollar values aren't completely worthless.
  24. kramnoj
    AG reportedly wanted 8 years and Boston was offering 6. There was also speculation that the Red Sox may have wanted to agree to a deal in principle, but not sign it until after the 2011 season started so that it wouldn't be included in luxury tax calculations for 2011. AG should be asking for the Teixeira deal and the Red Sox were probably hoping that he would take a Halladay type of extension.
  25. kramnoj
    If Boston wasn't willing to meet what AG wanted, they aren't likely to give Prince enough to keep him off the FA market.
×
×
  • Create New...