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kramnoj

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Everything posted by kramnoj

  1. kramnoj
    And those strengths played very well in the outfield and out of the 5 spot in the order. As a leadoff hitter, not so much. What evidence do you have to support the notion that power and baserunning aren't strengths for a leadoff hitter? I also remember Dale being interviewed on the move before his first game as head coach and he said the reason was to get a veteran up at the top of the lineup. I have no idea if that was the actual reason that Sveum moved Cameron up, but I wouldn't take the fact that he said so to the press to mean he thought that. People say things we think are silly to the press because that's the conventional wisdom, and they won't get challenged by the press. If I was a manager, the last thing I want to do is spend more of my day talking to the press, so I would say whatever they want to hear so I can spend the rest of my day with the team.
  2. kramnoj
    What about 2 weeks ago is important? The fact that defensive stats can change in such little time means that quoting them and putting enough meaning in them that you can describe it as terrible doesn't gel with the fact that you don't put a lot of stock in UZR. Or you choose to throw around adjectives like terrible to the point where they have no meaning.
  3. kramnoj
    I think base running, especially first-to-third, is probably another example. People who research this try to account for much of your thoughts here. Look at the baserunning info found on Week's page at bref for example: http://www.baseball-refer...rs/w/weeksri01-bat.shtml
  4. kramnoj
    Yeah, I'm getting tired of the, "Our defense sucks and makes our pitching worse", argument. Suppan had a 3.84 ERA this year with the Cardinals, which was better than league average. URZ has Braun at -11 and Hart at -7.7. Thats terrible. That's not terrible. You writing that it's terrible is terrible. UZR is so subject to small samples that Braun and Hart both improved by the end of the season. Braun ended at -8.3 and -5.9. I would say that this season showed that they were merely bad to below average.
  5. kramnoj
    JB, it's helpful to get one's facts straight before forming an opinion. When Suzuki set the record, the regular season consisted of 130 games. Since then, the season has been extended by 14 games, and Murton was playing in his 142nd game of the season.
  6. kramnoj
    It comes off that you're implying that since you have stats, there's no additional credibility to the perspective the beat writers have by watching the players play everyday You should stop trying to figure out what I'm implying and actually read what I wrote. You choose to call Ennder intolerant, but you can't read what I write without your own biases reading things that I didn't post.
  7. kramnoj
    Homer & I have stated different things to prove our respective positions. You disagree but don't support your position. So in the spirit of good discussion -- and using your logic -- prove it. What position do you think I hold? I already stated that anything that happens in a baseball game is going to be reflected in a stat. I didn't say that Player A's stats will reflect their entire contribution to the game. If you thought I did, you made an assumption. If Hoffman helped others in the bullpen, it would be reflected in their stats. If the journalists see this, than it should be documented and referenced. If the Brewers recognize this, they should try to put a value on it and offer Hoffman a salary commensurate with his value as an assistant pitching coach/traveling consultant.
  8. kramnoj
    Kramnoj, not everything can be quantified statistically (your comment implies that as your point). What do you think happens in a baseball game that isn't quantified? the eyes see not just what someone does, but how he does it . . . and how he goes about doing it, and how he functions as a team member, how he interacts with his teammates & how he's respected by them, and much more. Anything that happens because of that is going to be reflected in a stat.
  9. kramnoj
    If Lawrie stays at 2B he is part of a logjam that includes Weeks, Gennett, and possibly Dykstra This really isn't true, at least not until Weeks signs an extension. And once Fielder is gone, there is a hole at 1B that could be filled by Lawrie, or Braun or Hart could go to 1B and Lawrie could replace one of them.
  10. kramnoj
    Getting too worked up about someone else's opinion makes little sense. These guys watched this team all year game after game, and they not only had stats to use as a guide but what they saw also What do you think they saw that wasn't reflected in the stats?
  11. kramnoj
    Durham never started 5 games a week for Sveum, so I'm not really sure why it's relevant to whatever you are trying to say. Durham was a switch hitter, and a better choice versus a RHP than Weeks. 9/16 Dempster RHP 9/17 Marquis, RHP 9/18 Harden, RHP 9/19 Ramirez, RHP 9/23 Karstens, RHP 9/26 Dempster, RHP 9/28 Guzman, RHP
  12. kramnoj
    If you are playing closer to half the games than all the games in a certain time period, you are in no way playing almost all the games. Durham was a better player than Weeks in 2008, and Sveum used him in the way he thought would help the Brewers win. I see that as a point in his favor, and would need to see actual evidence presented that this should be counted against him.
  13. kramnoj
    Didn't he also decide to put Mike Cameron and his steller .330ish OBP as the leadoff hitter because of his veteraness? I don't think there was really a clearly better option, and Cameron certainly offered strengths beyond his OBP. That wasn't as bad as him playing Durham in almost every single game even though his body couldn't take it I see Durham starting 7 of 12 games, and his OPS being slightly higher at the end of season than before Sveum took over.
  14. kramnoj
    Lucroy was sort of thrown to the wolves because of Zaun's injury. And some here thought Lucroy was rotting on the bench. Zaun's last game was May 20. Lucroy started 5/25, 5/30 and 6/3 and then was mostly the starter on 6/10. I personally think Lucroy's situation wasn't handled all that badly. I don't think getting 3 starts in almost 3 weeks is being thrown to the wolves, and I don't think he was rotting on the bench as he spent time getting to know the pitching staff. The grades are a good example of people, even professionals, who use facts to support already formed opinions.
  15. kramnoj
    Does the Riverwest Watchman have a secret identity here? http://www.jsonline.com/n...milwaukee/104252724.html This sounds like a case for the Great Lakes Heroes Guild.
  16. kramnoj
    Well, sure. But if Toronto is in great financial shape, there wouldn't be an obvious need to do that. They presumably would rather pay money they have than give up a prospect in exchange for money coming in the deal.
  17. kramnoj
    Toronto absolutely belongs on this list. They have a ton of JP Riccardi's mistakes coming off the books. They're in great financial shape It's true that Toronto has lots of money coming off the books, but they have only 4 players with guaranteed contracts next year. But they have 12 players who are arbitration eligible and according to the blunt averages compiled by bref, those players would generally cost around $47M. Combine that with the players under contract, and Toronto is over last years payroll. Granted, I've looked at this for 2 minutes, and haven't really figured if the averages are way off or how many will be non tendered, but at first glance, I'm not seeing the same thing you are with Toronto.
  18. kramnoj
    perhaps your definition of "a lot" is different than mine I never used "a lot", which shows that you didn't actually read what I wrote. You saw something that didn't align with your dogma and chose to disagree with it. If you are going to accuse others of not grasping the point, you should actually make sure that you are grasping theirs.
  19. kramnoj
    The info is all in this thread for you guys to read, yet you keep repeating that guys who strikeout will fail to be MLB players for long. If this is what you think I wrote, you didn't actually read my posts, you chose to read what you wanted. I used the word very high deliberately. Players who strike out too much will fail to be good major league players. There are players who strike out at a high rate who can be very productive players. But there is a limit. Edit: I used to believe in the theory that strikeouts don't matter at all, until I saw a poster by the name of Walt Davis over at bbtf talk about on-contact numbers. For an example of one discussion regarding strikeouts and on-contact numbers, read his post 86 at http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/oracle/discussion/2010_zips_projections_toronto_blue_jays/ I would quote the discussion I like, but this thread is about Fielder and should return to that discussion.
  20. kramnoj
    Post 26 really isn't good, as 27 supports. Players with very high strikeout rates will fail to be major leaguers for long, because if you strike out too much, you won't get enough opportunities to walk, and you won't have enough opportunities to make contact to get on base enough. If you hit with enough power, that can make up for some of it. Listing the strikeout leaders, while conspicuously excluding the actual NL leader is weak. Those are the players that are able to strike out at a high amount while being productive. The creator of ZiPs projected Gamel to do poorly as a major league hitter this year because he had struck out around a third of the time in both the minors and the majors. Gamel did better this year in the minors than last year, and I don't think it's a coincidence that his strikeout rate dropped.
  21. kramnoj
    If you make and out and don't put the ball in play, nothing good can result. A K is better than a DP. Strikeouts for hitters in moderation aren't significantly worse than an out on contact. Hitters who strike out at a very high rate, however, will struggle to be productive hitters.
  22. kramnoj
    I'm curious, jb, how does your mind work with small sample sizes? Daniel Hudson pitches an incredible 79 IP with Arizona, and the Brewers should kick themselves for not trading Fielder for him. Capuano throws a respectable 66 IP for the Brewers and we shouldn't make an offer for him right now? Where is your line?
  23. kramnoj
    Here is a quote from logan when the Braun contract was rumored Longer than 4 years can lead to franchise crippling contracts. post 111 from http://brewersfandemonium...u.com?topic=11573?page=6
  24. kramnoj
    Two teams competed for his services, and Wolf got more than he was first offered by the Brewers in both money and years. While war might not be the most accurate description, Wolf clearly benefited from competition, and the Brewers clearly "won" it. As for overpaying for him, that's most likely a given at this point, but that is a different thing than saying the Brewers can't win a bidding war. Beltre is going to get a lot of interest this offseason Most of the big spending teams won't have the money or the place for Beltre. I don't doubt there will be interest, and I don't think he'll be cheap, but if the Brewers feel that Beltre is the best fit for them and if Prince has been traded for a cheap starter, I don't think it's a given that the Brewers couldn't give him the best offer. As for whether it makes sense for the Brewers to go after Beltre, I'm just not convinced. It might be a coincidence that Beltre's best years have come in walk years, but I wouldn't want to spend $30-$50M to find out. And it would be tough for Beltre to provide better value than the Brewers could get by just playing Gamel and Casey.
  25. kramnoj
    One thing the Brewers can't compete with is a bidding war. This isn't really true. The Brewers clearly won a bidding war for Wolf. Now whether the Brewers should win a bidding war is a different question. I don't really know who wants Beltre and who has money to offer to him, but if the Brewers trade Fielder for a cheap starter that is part of the rotation, the Brewers will probably have more money than they can wisely spend.
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