pete
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Everything posted by pete
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I think Palmisano goes back on waivers, so other teams could pick him up but would also be required to keep him on the 25 for the year. After that he goes back to the Brewers.
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Weeks is really bad defensively? I'm not a big fan and it wouldn't bother me in the least if they traded him, but that statement doesn't seem correct to me. I'd say he's about average and the real question is whether he lets pressure situations affect him and boot critical balls.
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That is depressing. He's the kind of person who will push through an injury as well. Get him to Arizona! -
Neyer says Braun should play 1st. I thought he did really well myself. I'd put him as above average and it was his first year there.
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Speaking of Randall Simon, he snags a hard grounder and falls over but manages to pitch it toward home for the force. I don't think I've seen a throw like that.
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What if McClung becomes a better choice than Suppan?
pete replied to DonMoney4Mgr's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
If you want to follow conventional wisdom, DiFelice shouldn't even be in the Brewers organization. He was pitching in the Atlantic League at an advanced age. I think most people are afraid that Suppan exposed will be cover your eyes ugly. -
What if McClung becomes a better choice than Suppan?
pete replied to DonMoney4Mgr's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
If salaries weren't relevant, DiFelice would probably get the 5th spot out of ST. I think Suppan's salary means he'll get every chance, probably through the middle of next year, to be an adequate starter. -
The Neyer thing reads like someone needing to file a column and not having much to write about. Other than maybe catching a playoff game last year, it wouldn't surprise me if he hadn't watched a Brewers game in years. The criticism of Braun is laughable. It's a joke that the analysis is based entirely on one defensive metric. I believe Keith Law is the one who started the Rickie Weeks to CF movement. Where and when is he supposed to learn the position, AAA this year? What if he fails? What if he hits like he does now? Its decent, but what would be the point?
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BCB having immature rants about typos or criticizing because Gwynn is ambivalent about his injury and the headline writer (not Witrado) didn't fully conceptualize it is meaningless.
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I agree that the timing is terrible, but I am enjoying it immensely. Just yesterday watching the first 4 innings of Italy was great fun. If Macha was watching that I wouldn't be surprised if it affects his decision on DiFelice.
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i have to say I find criticism of typos pretty pathetic. It is a blog. I read criticism wondering if they don't use copy editors at jsonline. Why would anyone want the information delayed to prevent typos? Is there any other team that has as much information as quickly as Brewers' fans do? Now McCalvy is chipping in and I think its great.
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Big League Spring Games -- Minor League Names
pete replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
I think Angel has stiff back muscles. Mike has a bad hammy. Vinny is off catching for Italy. -
It'd be interesting if gameday was showing pitch locations. Rock made it sound like he was being squeezed.
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That play where he tagged out Abreu was great. I'd say his performance was very impressive considering the lineup he was up against, including some great left handers.
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ZR charts are used to define success or failure of defenders. I'd say that is asserting where a player should be positioned. This whole discussion started with the question of whether Bill Hall is a good defender. Hardy making plays outside of assigned zones, but the latest version of UZR saying he is good, doesn't mean that static zones is a good idea or that the problem is overcome by adding complex calculations to adjust for the flaw. UZR uses those same zones. UZR is sometimes calculated using the other set of raw data. Conceptually they should be nearly identical and they frequently aren't. Also RZR now rates Hardy as excellent because it changed the way it was calculated. Earlier, when it and other metrics said Hardy was somewhere between average and poor as a defender, all the same arguments were made about it being objective et cetera. UZR absolutely cares where a player is positioned. If a player is far out of position for the Ryan Howard shift and a ball dribbles through his static assigned zone, it is rated as a FAIL. The same is true with doubles defense. In essence what you want to see has already been shown. Look at the variance in results based on two sets of evaluations, BIS and STATS, of the same performances. Look at the variance between systems in the same year for the same player. Look at the variance of results for players from year to year.
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Arbitrary was the wrong word. How about static? If they are defined by some giant averaging of plays made, that doesn't mean that they provide a good way to position players unless the team was required to choose a single positioning point for their defenders and/or the measurement of the value of those plays in total was greater than what would be achieved by positioning elsewhere. No matter where teams position players, balls will be hit where they can't be fielded. The existence of those hits doesn't define the positioning of those players as incorrect. You can't even use the total of plays as a measure as all plays aren't equal. An example would be what is called "doubles defense." I'm not sure what you want when you ask for evidence. How about Hardy absolutely smoking every other SS in baseball in the number of out of zone plays? What is the evidence that measuring a player's defensive ability is better served by not considering where he is positioned and assuming he was positioned elsewhere?
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Have you looked at the zone charts? They are different for both BIS and STATS. The problem of a metric making a false assumption is completely with the metric. Why would a team be doing something wrong by positioning players outside of the center of arbitrary zones?
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The Venezuela Italy game is fun. DeFelice is doing great. On the MLB network.
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Man, I would hope that STATS and BIS watch every play. How would the scorers be scored? What is the determinant of correctness? That whole thing about players being able to have whole seasons where they play far above previous ratings is just an attempt to explain why the scores fluctuate so wildly from year to year and between systems. Sometimes the systems will use the same raw data and come to radically different conclusions. I don't think the hypothesis is very believable and other than proposing it, it isn't supported by anything.
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He went to a funeral. Ramy swinging for a HR.
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I was just looking through pictures of the Indians game and Brad Nelson doesn't look all that thin. He's still got a double chin. Maybe he's thinner, I don't know.
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kramnoj, how well do you know the subject? Questions about the raw data and methodology aren't new. It's a thread about bad contracts and I offered my opinion on Bill Hall and provided a perspective that was different.
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And That, is the water line leading up to the sink, galvanized or copper? If it is galvanized, there is a good chance that is your problem. They rust on the inside and slowly choke. When you see one, its pretty remarkable.
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A description means next to nothing. Its impossible to judge because its a closed system, it isn't evaluated by anyone outside of what may go on within their company. The answer to your other two questions is rather long. I think I put some of it in the stat forum at one time. Its also a subject that usually ends up in a debate that isn't that fruitful.
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Just to throw a wrench in the works, I think zone ratings are conceptually flawed and use questionable raw data. There is no way to say that it is "objective" without an examination of the system and that is impossible. I also think, based on my observation, that Hall is a pretty good defender: a natural infielder with soft hands and a strong arm. He had a cluster of errors right around the time he started getting platooned. I'd guess that he was upset and he let it affect his game, but that's just a guess. I'm not a big Hall fan either. If he hits like last year, I could see the argument that his is/was a bad contract. If not, I'd say it wasn't. But hey, its a new season. Rather than hatin' on the guy, I'd like to see what is yielded by LASIK surgery, a different training regimen focused on flexibility and the help from Sveum with Macha's expectations rather than Ned's permissiveness.
