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biedergb

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Everything posted by biedergb

  1. biedergb
    From medical literature: "A sportman's hernia is an injury common to athletes and other physically active people. It is unique because the injury is not identifiable on physical exam or imaging. The specific injury is a tear in the transversalis fascia. A sportman's hernia presents as chronic groin pain that flares with activity and does not hurt during periods of inactivity. Optimal treatment is an open hernia repair using mesh..." It is not a true hernia (like an inguinal hernia can be) and is still referred to as such because the type of surgical repair is similar. Obviously I have no inside information as to whether or not Logan has this or the traditional inguinal hernia, but since in medicine the two may not be clearly differentiated (outside of the specialists who deal with them) I can assume Melvin and co. may not know the difference and refer to these things interchangeably. This would fit the description and time course better than a true inguinal hernia.
  2. biedergb
    Wow - Rogers is no-hitting Montgomery... but he has allowed two runs on 5 walks, a wild pitch and a error or two thrown in. He has 0 hits and 5Ks through 5 IP. He'll likely be pulled as he is at 89 pitches.
  3. biedergb
    LouisEly: valid points. On my review I purposely looked at players who are currently in the bigs now, and most have pitched in more than 20 games, or played in over 50 games, which makes them major leaguers. Prospects are subjective, and I tried to look at those who would profile as starters, as they are more likely to at least be back ups. I didn't include players who didn't sign, as if we didn't sign them, they are not part of the draft.
  4. biedergb
    Disappointing on the Arnett/Davis front. I wonder if the Arizona transfer indicates he is going for instructionals to refine mechanics in a controlled environment, as the pitching through it approach hasn't worked. Kentrail and Khris Davis should provide for some nice offense and maybe help the T-Rats out a bit, not to mention some headaches for announcers/fans trying to discern which K. Davis is playing what OF position, and which is batting 3rd or 4th. That leaves an opening at BC.
  5. biedergb
    Usually the higher rounds take a little longer to sign, since it's bigger money, and there is the so-called 'slot' system that MLB likes to think it is using. A lot of these lower round guys are quick signs for less cash that should not affect the overall signings. Also, some guys can't sign if they are in college and their team is still in the CWS, guys like Pierce who will be pitching for Team Canada at the World Juniors (since they lose eligibility for these tournaments if they sign). Others like Keeling, Gibson will be a last minute signing as they have options and may wish to use them, and they will sign for 'overslot' money which means the Commish's office needs to sign off on them, and they have been slower and slower each year (probably by design).
  6. biedergb
    I was just looking at our recent drafts, and we have the majority in full season leagues, some others released, and only a few who would be rookie league assignments. And you never know the health status. So unless several DSL players get moved up, then yes the later rounds of this draft was to fill out the Helena and Arizona rosters.
  7. biedergb
    This may be a year for 'comeback'/redemption. Cain, Green have put miserable '09 year behind them. Capuano (not a prospect, but did sign a minor league deal) has come back. Jeffress made his first start. Maybe Mr. Rogers and Mr. Jones can be healthy for a second year in a row. We have had some relief pitching emerge in Axford, Kintzler and Lamontagne. Also Gennett has had a solid first half. And Lawrie has emerged as a real top prospect. And now maybe Gamel can regain his spot. So there are some bright spots. Remember it's not about producing a Braun or Gallardo. If we could have two of these in our system every year we'd be the D-rays by now.
  8. biedergb
    I'm not sure what the average is. But usually about 3-4 MLB players per draft is a very good average. Our record has been decent. I've looked at the drafts since 2001 (from the mlb.com brewers home page). I've listed players who are currently in the bigs. With more recent drafts I've also added those who are at AA/AAA and could become MLB players. 2001 - Hardy, Sarfate, Parra 2002 - Fielder, Eveland 2003 - Weeks, Gwynn 2004 - Gallardo. Prospects = Rogers, Cain, Salome 2005 - Braun, Braddock. Prospects = Gamel, Brantley (CLE), T. Green 2006 - Prospects - Anundsen, Jeffress, C. Gillespie (ARZ) 2007 - LaPorta, Lucroy. Prospects = Gindl. 2008-2010: too early So that's 12 players in the bigs from 7 drafts, with 10 'prospects' who if only 3-4 play some significant time in the bigs, gives us 15-16 in seven years. So I guess 3-4 is a good range. 2-3 should be about average. 0-1 should be poor.
  9. biedergb
    I thought it was stated that he told teams what it would take. Maybe he thinks it's worth $1M + to forgo college and become a pro, and if that's what he thinks then that's what it takes. Not sure what he is envisioning, but if he is top rated prep arm now, he may believe he could become a top 10 pick in college and expect that kind of money now to forgo it all. I don't think we should commit anything close to $2 M to him personally.
  10. biedergb
    It is all subjective at that level. To paraphrase to old adage "there is no such thing as a pitching prospect". Until these guys are at AA/AAA and ready to be called up it is far too early to annoint them the next coming of (insert favorite pitcher's name). As another homer, I know that Ty Hill, Jeff D'Amico, Nick Neugebauer, JM Gold, Mike Jones all looked good at the A-ball level, and then injuries took them from us. I don't know about the Braves guys, but many hyped groups of pitchers from the vaunted Generation K of the Mets in the 90's to the "DVD" of the Rangers (and several inbetween) have failed to meet expectations.
  11. biedergb
    "he is signed" Just to clarify Josh, you are referring to Deglan with this response, not Covey, correct?
  12. biedergb
    Not sure if he is really considered and 'underachiever' as he is only in his first full season. He is a disappointment in that we were hoping for a 'fast track' 'advanced' college pitcher, who we hoped would be in AA next year and knocking on the bigs in 2012. That is not going to be the case. In terms of our success (or lack thereof) of 1st round pitchers, I don't know in I'd call anyone underachieving: '99 Sheets (All Star), '01 Jones (derailed by numerous injuries yet has persevered through and now in AAA), '04 Rogers (injuries, but still young and in AA), '06 Jeffress (still young, and while foolish with his choices, still through hard and could see AA this year), '09 Arnett (not yet a full season) Bad luck - yes. Bad scouting maybe? Underachievers, I'd say no.
  13. biedergb
    The thing that's odd about Arnett is that it's not like he was a "Fredericksonian" pick, where people were like, where did that come from? But he was rated a solid 1st rounder. It's hard to imagine he is not injured. 22 year old college pitchers, even roster fillers, can usually get out A-ball hitters. So much for him being "fast tracked".
  14. biedergb
    And That-- Any chance of adding a certain closer's name to you sig?
  15. biedergb
    Re: Rivas and age. I don't know if age is as important in overall 'prospect-ness' as experience. A 24 yo who pitched in college and is now dominating A-ball after 2 years in the minors is not a real prospect, because that pitcher should be dominating AA/AAA hitters at that level of experience. A 24 yo who was from HS or Latin America, who missed 2 years, should be viewed as a '22 yo' because of the lost years and experience. Also pitchers who repeat a level and then succeed are obviously more of a red flag than those who do well one level and one year at a time. This also applies to a guy like Mark Rogers -- he lost a few years with injuries, and now is finally pitching at AA full time. A good year there, and he can become a prospect. A down year, and he become even more linked with Mike Jones.
  16. biedergb
    "With (Brewers) catching coordinator Charlie Greene, it's receiving first, blocking and throwing guys out last. " "He had a major league average arm in high school, and that's 16, 17 years old when they had him graded. Now, he's changed some things with his footwork. It's not as good as what our scouts have seen in the past. It's below average right now." This is interesting, because as I recall wasn't he 'called out' by a poster who attended the T-rats game. I'm not trying to single out the poster, but if throwing is a work in progress and the last of the things he works on, that may explain why the first hand report was anything but glowing. Yet another reason it is hard to gauge minor league C's based on SB/CS%. You have to depend on the pitchers, coaches and scouts to relay whether they will stick behind the dish or not.
  17. biedergb
    There was once a time we had about one prospect per position, and usually they don't all pan out (injuries, loss of production, trades, etc) so having several guys who could step in is a good thing. Their health, production, time and other teams' needs will sort this out -- between if (Farris, Green, Gamel, Lawrie, and then lower levels Prince and Gennett) and c (Salome/ Lucroy and lower ?Zarraga, Garfield) and now OF (Lawrie if not at 2b, Kentrail Davis, Cain, Shafer). I like this better than praying that our (insert position)-of-the-future actually makes it. This is kind of a reply to both this and the "Lack of Impact Bats" thread.
  18. biedergb
    College arms that are tabbed for relief work, can move pretty quickly. But it is encouraging he gets the bump.
  19. biedergb
    I believe McCalvy stated in one of his blogs that Nick Green will be closer/relief in Brevard County. Forgot how to add links, so I'll do it manually (someone can feel free to fix). It's in the last bullet point. LINK: http://brewersbeat.mlblog...cide_on_relief_role.html
  20. biedergb
    I remember that article well. That is pre-BF.net days, when I got most of my info from the JS-Online. I was really excited and watched Cristian and Hector closely, even penciling them into my future Brewers starting line-up back then (with Gold/Neugie as #1/#2 starters of course).
  21. biedergb
    The reverse way of looking at it is this -- to get CC we needed a top prospect to trade, if we traded Heyward, maybe we would have second guessed the CC trade more, but losing LaPorta doesn't seem too bad for the player who single handedly brought the playoffs to Milwaukee.
  22. biedergb
    Wow -- when I looked at Nate82's I thought he was reading my mind --- my five 1. Jeffress 2. Rogers 3. Cain 4. Gamel 5. Salome or Lucroy -- just one the catchers Obviously all upper level players, but that's what I'm hoping for, this next 'wave' to produce. We can wait a year or two on the '07-'09 picks (OK Lucroy was an '07 pick), we need the '04-'06 picks to step up.
  23. biedergb
    Pitchers -- JM Gold, Nick Neugebauer -- these guys were supposed to be the 1-2 punch for the '00s, or at least in the rotation. Neugie had his cup of coffee, but then got hurt. Position players -- how about Cristian Guerrero. Again late 90's prospect that was part of a near decade of dearth of talent. (He sits there with Kevin Barker, Ronnie Belliard and Santiago Perez, but at least Barker and Belliard did make the majors). While recent years have produced some duds, the great depth of the organization softened the blow. Imagine Jeffress and Gamel falling from grace like that in 1999-2003 -- we only had 2 or 3 prospects to seriously consider back then.
  24. biedergb
    Josh -- I'm sure you cannot divulge details, so I won't ask specifically about JJ. Do you have other clients who have been suspended (for PED or others)? If so, does someone help him with education, rehab, etc? Is that the team's job or something the agent handles? Otherwise, glad to hear JJ is doing well. If he doesn't know about the site, he should know there are a bunch of die hard Brewers' fans pulling for him to succeed.
  25. biedergb
    Re: age and prospects. The truly elite pitchers generally make it to the bigs in their early 20's (20-23), not all are succesful immediately, but serve their apprenticeship at the majors (some in the bullpen) in those years. Now there are many good/serviceable and at times All-Star pitchers who make it later in their 20's due to injuries or other set-backs, and some top notch relievers make it to the bigs a little later some after transitioning from being an unsuccessful starter. Guys like Gallardo and Sheets are examples of what the expected timeline is for developing Cy Young-type of starters. But there are some guys this day in age who are taking the road less traveled into stardom (Greinke, Wainwright), so hope is still there for Rogers. But Jones is a little too old to be an elite pitching prospect, and may serve to be a quality starter or reliever. Guys like Stetter/DiFelice are quality middle relievers who carve out a niche, not #1 - #3 starters on a playoff team.
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