biedergb
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Everything posted by biedergb
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At the top of the draft it could be better than 2023, as Fischer is already hitting better than Wilken did in 2023, and Ebel if he can stay SS or 3B has more positional availability than Bitonti or Boeve. Knoth is returning from injury and may be the key to the top 5 rounds given that Wilken is off prospect status, Boeve is a likely DH, Birchard is still trying to figure it out, and Woodward is slowly coming back from injury. But 2023 was a new gold standard for the later picks (Pratt, Yoho, Letson, Adamczewski) as a super talented 4 some. If Ragsdale, Owens, Hughes/Mills, Bentley/Roupe/Holden can recreate some of that magic, then this system can remain stocked for years
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- andrew fischer
- jd thompson
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Thanks. Also - Ricki Moneys raised his WRc+ from 118 to 128 with just yesterday's game. That is wild
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- luis matos
- logan henderson
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Awesome write up, Jim. Great outings by Dubanewicz and Broughton. Any updates on either’s velo? Henderson - great context 0n those videos, as yes he may have had only an 1-run outing with better defense, as Adams and Black are excellent hitters their defense at the hot corner and LF are not quite gold glove caliber.
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- luis matos
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Watching Torres made me think of two things. FIrst (and this itself would go in the alumni thread) but other than Manuel Rodriguez the last IFA/DSL pitcher I had high hopes for was Yujanyer Herrera. He is back pitching again, at high A. He is now 22 going on 23. But also, Yannick Walther is up and caught two gems this week. I know it's two games, but I do wonder if his promotion was due to defense/calling a game as his offense is clearly limited. And as he is a kid from Germany, I will follow his career closely. The other is in the midwest league only Braylon Payne is a teenage among qualified hitters with wrc+ > 100, and he 9th overall, and Made is the only teenage among qualified hitters in the SOuthern League overall. Those T-Rats and Shuckers hitters are leading their respective leagues in hitting/OPS/wrc+ and are still the youngest teams in the leagues.
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- rob zastryzny
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Thurs. 7/2: Hopeful for a Frank Cairone Sighting
biedergb replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Ok, glad I posted. I was thinking - ok here is biedermann being all negative again. But - I had not thought of THAT angle. So that is really a good tidbit I knew but overlooked/forgot. Would explain the pitching line throughout the lower minors. SO now I get to worry about the inflated stats of the hitters instead right 😉 -
Thurs. 7/2: Hopeful for a Frank Cairone Sighting
biedergb replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
So is it just me? But after the success of the young pitchers drafted in 2023-2024 (Knoth, Letson and Meccage debut in low A holding their own; break outs from Wichowski, yoho in 2024 and Hardin in 2025; the great pitching from Dorchies, Dubanewicz, Tobias and Renz forcing promotions to low A last year), I feel let down by the 2025 draftees. We haven’t seen much of Thompson and Flores will miss this season. But Morrison and Healy struggling early for a college arms at low A, and really unimpressive pitching stats for Roupe, Holden, and Vucinovuch at the ACL so far. Holden had a few nice starts and Bentley has some solid peripherals. But it’s Owens really- well outside the best story of the year in Cairone. injuries happen (Hayden Robinson lost a year plus; Broughton is slowly coming back; and last year had Episcope recovering with Flores having to undergo surgery), but this young season is not so much that but not seeing or hearing of a true break pit And yes this is early and a hot take. And I am not saying anything wrong. This is the norm whereas ‘23 and ‘24 classes look like the outliers in reality. But those expectations have me now almost feeling like it’s a given we get 2-3 pitchers fly up the charts. And I will hope to look at this post next year while shaking my head at myself. But it’s not that the kids aren’t ok, but more I’m not ok expecting every draft pick to be a future ace level prospect. But that is what we have started to come to expect the past 3-4 drafts. -
Wed. 7/1: Shuckers Play Their Usual "Game and a Half"
biedergb replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Yikes. Yeah all of the other three full season affiliates are playing at home… T-Rats are not -
Wed. 7/1: Shuckers Play Their Usual "Game and a Half"
biedergb replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Biloxi wins the regular scheduled game. Manuel Rodriguez gives 6 innings, but did give up 5ER, 2 K, 2BB and 2 HR which remains his weakness - too many HRs against Collectively between the two games some nice offense (mostly from last nights game completed today) but: Made went combined 4-7, with a K, and Fischer a combined 3-7 with a BB and a K. Adamczewski 2-7 with 4 RBI (2 in each contest). Ragsdale 2-4 (with his first HR last night) but 5 walks in the two games. And in Appleton, Dorchies with a solid start or at least solid pitching line. 6 IP, 7K, 1BB, and 4 hits. Sounds shut out 1-0 ACL Crew also,shut out 5-0, and also mustered 3 hits, but 1 hit by Antunez and 1 hit by Juan Martine. Wilson offense keeps churning 9-6 win, 9 hits and 7 walks! Ebel with 4 walks, and Hamdelfry and Mills with multi hit games. -
Wow. So the organization has anywhere from 5-7 top 100 prospects, with the general consensus #1 overall, and last years #1 pick still absent from these lists despite 20+ HR (is he at 24 or 26 total?) before 4th of July. With 30 teams ~3 per organization would be normal, so this is clearly disproportionate and we have double the number of top 100 prospects than would be expected, and several who have a chance to make it (Fischer, Payne, Hardin, Dinges, Letson) if they progress or continue to do well and improve on the few flaws they have. I still contend the 2001-2008 era was the golden age of Brewer prospects driven by a lot of high draft picks (Sheet, Hardy, Weeks, Fielder, Braun, Hart) all overlapping for a wonderful stretch of 2006-2011 when the team went from perennial last place finisher to >.500/borderline playoff club to NLCS particpants. If that was the golden age, then 2021-current may be the Industrial Revolution of the Brewers player development since being top 5 organization with 5+ top 100 prospects is happening AFTER already seeing Chourio and Miz both graduate and become key players on the team already. A lot of clubs have that "top system" award and then a couple of guys make it to the bigs and then they are top 10 and then fall lower. This has been since 2022 on a consistent top 10 organization with multiple top 3 and no immediate sign of slowing down this year or probably next....
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Well they are at it still despite Ragsdale getting promoted, he hits his first AA HR, and right before that in highA Braylon Payne hits a 2-run HR to take the lead. These two had been so hit the last week or two in Wisconsin together but another anything you can do I can do moment for these two potential future OF in the bigs
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Mon. 6/29: 16-Year-Old's Lighting it Up in the D.R.
biedergb replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
The ACL Baby Crew taking out my anger against the Baby Cubs with a 9-0 lead so far through 5 Innings. But I won't watch GameDay, because the biedergb jink will mean that the Baby Cubs come back to win 11-10 C'mon Brew Crew, let's make it a 4-0 day please -
Good points. The mLB draft is always a very difficult one to gauge. First what constitutes success in the first place- getting several MLB players even if they weren’t all stars or had a lot of statistical “value” like war etc? Is it getting high end prospects who can turn into trading chips? Is it getting great players drafted even if they don’t sign? All of these are debated in terms of evaluating classes. If we draft Drew Rasmussen and he has a solid career in TB and we get value for Adames - who gets credit for what? Would we want a 2014 or 2016 draft where we selected an elite player (Woodruff and Burnes) even if our top picks fizzled? Do you want a 2011 where you get several players (Jungman, Lopez, Barnes and a few others who had success elsewhere)? do you get credit for drafting Carlos Rodon - as a scouting standpoint - if you don’t sign him? obviuosly 2018 drafts where you get Turang and Ashby and Adames (via Rasmussen). And even David Fry and Reece Olson. That is a standout draft. But 2022 gets us the Miz and right now not much else (obviously the jury is out on Adam’s and O’Rae), is that an amazing draft? Anyway long rant. I want quantity and quality, but if not both which do you prefer? and I know I want instant gratification- but some drafts like 2018 take years to truly come to fruition.
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- brice turang
- brandon woodruff
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T-Rats with a huge offensive output - thanks to Ragsdale and Payne, and the aforementioned Bitonti. Pitching wise Owens was fine: 6H, 2 ER, 2BB and 3 K in 5 IP. But Yerlin Rodriguez with a good outing- his WHIP and walks are trending down and if he can have average command this could be an arm that rockets up the organization but so far in his career that has been so elusive. Shuckers lose 4-3, as they only had 3 more hits other than the Boeve and Fischer HRs. And pitching-wise, too many walks issued. Birchard takes the loss in a hitless inning pitched where he gave up 5 walks!! Birchard is another one who just cannot command the strike zone often enough. Hard to hit and gets Ks, but walks about 1.4 batters per inning. Wagoner has a scoreless inning and hopefully he gets back to more scoreless outings like he had been doing until earlier this week.
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For a guy with as much helium as Yoho in 2024, the cups of coffee in the big leagues have been underwhelming. He looked like air bender v2.0, but doesn’t have that 96-98 mph heater. Maybe not a “two pitch” guy but his 2nd and 3rd offerings are not as dangerous from how I read this, so players can wait for a change up and hit the mistakes, or just let his movement turn into walks. Either pinpoint control if you are not blowing guys away, or another high end pitch to keep batters honest is my thought, but I am pretty bad at truly understanding pitch movement, tunneling, induced breaks etc.
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To be fair our low A pitchers were both 22 today ….. but were last year draft picks But out starting high pitcher tidal is 20. And our AA starter pitcher today is 21. That BA article from earlier this month showed that the Brewers had the youngest hitters and pitchers in the minors and that was before we moved some guys up and promoted some more teenagers. That same article had the hitters just under average in batting average, we were easily tops in minors for OBP and walks - our clubs walk a lot. Power was rated low, but I have to think the recent barrage by Fischer, Burke and Payne will get the organization at least to average at some point. for those with BA subscription this is what I am referencing which I think was linked in another thread: https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/4-intriguing-data-insights-from-may-2026-milb-games/
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First “rough” start for Hardin in AAA. And yikes Wagner with 2 ER in the earlier game for Biloxi. however.,.. T-Rats on fire right now. Ragsdale, Pena, Bitonti and Payne are having a nice stretch. And wande Torres with a very solid start. ACL Crew the only ones still playing. Antunez with 2 hits. Payano with a hit - his first stateside hit?? But still trailing ACL Royals
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Thank you sir. My brain is not fully functional so I clearly missed that in the write up. And yes the podcast should be on my daily listening 😃
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- brock wilken
- cj hughes
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And to confirm, his being replaced late in the game was likely just managing a player returning from injury in what was by then a blowout win, as I don't see anything in what was written that indicates anything other than that, but if anyone watched the game or listened to it please help ease this paranoid mind 😬
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- brock wilken
- cj hughes
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