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topper09er

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Everything posted by topper09er

  1. topper09er
    So in 1987 it is a juiced ball but in 1993 every player in the league all systematically used steroids at the same time to cause a uniform increase in power? Did you know in 1987 Rawlings opened a new manufacturing plant in Costa Rica for its balls? Maybe there were some start up problems in making the ball the exact same way they used to previously in Haiti, causing a juiced ball for the 1987 season? And yes I have read Juiced and biceps do not make you better at hitting a baseball. Just because the players Canseco named have turned out to have used steroids does not mean that every other claim he makes is true.
  2. topper09er
    Like when Mark McGwire set the all-time rookie HR record of 49 in 1987? Steroids do not make you better at baseball, just weightlifting!
  3. topper09er
    Thank you, guys come back from Tommy John and throw harder than before, but thats OK? What about the advantage these guys have over Sandy Koufax who had to retire at age 30? Thats OK but Mark McGwire being able to lift weights more intensely than Mickey Mantle could is some unforgivable, unfair advantage? You still have to hit the ball, there isno evidence steroids does anything besides allow guys to spend more hours in the weight room. The reason for the 90s power surge was a change in the baseball itself, which everyone just ignores because people are so angry that their childhood heros' stats look bad compared to all these 50 HR seasons that have been rare...since the the 1930s.
  4. topper09er
    There is a difference between 12 year olds and the majors. Is there a league wide scouting report that the other teams have that says your players always swing at the first pitch? Do the other 12 years olds have good sliders they can get to break low and away for an easy strike one? Its not coaching him to just auto-take, it is trying to get him to use his pea sized brain up there. He should have some idea the other teams know he is a free swinger which means pitchers will not "pound the zone" against him because they dont have to. And when he does swing, he should not be falling over and taking the ugliest uppercut swing of all time and finish with 1 hand on the bat, off balance and looking in the 3rd base dugout.
  5. topper09er
    Good point. Are there any NL teams left besides us who seem like they have a decent chance for Prince?
  6. topper09er
    From MLBtraderumors The Cubs say they do not have the cash to sign Fielder, tweets Peter Gammons of MLB Network.The Marlins are not and will not be in on Fielder, a high-ranking Marlins official told Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports. Fielder can't drive the Latin market like Albert Pujols could have.The Brewers are far from out of it on Fielder, tweets Jon Heyman of MLB Network.Most of the teams talking to Boras about Fielder don't want to commit to the seven or eight-year contract Fielder desires, topping out at five years, tweets Tom Haudricourt of the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel.From Tom H twitter @Haudricourt Tom Cardinals have said emphatically that if they lost Pujols, they would not go after Fielder. Considered Pujols a special case for club. So, who does that leave for the chance to sign Fielder for only 5 years? Brewers, BlueJays, Orioles, Mariners?
  7. topper09er
    The way it works is if a ball in that zone is caught by someone say 90% of the time (a lazy fly ball), then whoever catches it gets credited with .1 out. So things like that don't make too big of a difference for whoever catches it.
  8. topper09er
    Is this a joke? Unless we fire our manager this has no chance of happening.
  9. topper09er
    Well I guess signing Holliday did cost them Pujols
  10. topper09er
    No way. If he thought K-Rod would accept, he'd have never offered.There is no reason to think he would not accept for that money so I strongly disagree. Whether I think the move is smart or not is something else but there is no reason to think it was likely he would turn it down. He could have gotten more total money with a multi-year deal and could have closed somewhere. Now he is risking an injury or a horrible season which may cost him more overall money plus he will be 1 year older. I expect him to be great for us this year, because he will be pitching for a multi-year closer deal next offseason. "Just give me 25 guys on the last year of their contracts; I'll win a pennant every year." -Sparky Anderson
  11. topper09er
    Good point, they are
  12. topper09er
    The only thing I can think is that Sveum allowed him to keep his embarrassingly pathetic approach, he did for Yuni and could not convince McGehee to go the other way all season long. Maybe a new hitting coach will get in Gomez's head and tell him he sucks, needs to get on base any way possible and not try to hit HRs.
  13. topper09er
    I am glad if we keep KRod, especially with the way our idiot manager refuses to adjust his bullpen use at all. He is going to use someone to pitch every 8th inning for the whole inning and every 9th inning for the whole inning. KRod + Ax will be around $12M at the most, we just just paid Eric Gagne $10M for nothing and that didn't kill us. This also may force Melvin to go with Green at 3rd even though he seems to think that would be automatic doom for the team instead of over paying for Ramirez who will underproduce, get hurt and block Green.
  14. topper09er
    "Nice guys finish last" -Leo Durocher
  15. topper09er
    If the Marlins also land Pujols, I assume they would trade Gaby Sanchez? I hope we would at least be in on those talks, or try for some 3 team trade in which we get a SS
  16. topper09er
    Not that long ago we paid Eric Gagne $10MM for 1 year of absolute garbage, and we made the playoffs. KRod pitched well for us and would really help us at the back end of games. Even if we are overpaying we should see good on field production, its not like he is Casey McGehee who will be on the roster and see significant action while being the worst player in the league.
  17. topper09er
    You need to understand the context better. Looking at the WAR values, Morris's WAR is seems low because he is credited with having an amazing defense behind him (meaning his ERA is artificially low). He had 16 runs saved from defense, Hass had 2 runs lost, according to 1 season of WAR data. If neutralized, it says Haas had 3.7 WAR and Morris 5.0 that season. When you get extreme single season defensive values in WAR, that is something to be skeptical of. Maybe a good time to look over at fangraphs and find the average WAR. Doing that, Morris = 3.4, 6.2 --> 4.8 WAR 1983 Haas = 3.9, 3.1 --> 3.5 WAR 1983 Which is more in line with what you expected. You are criticizing something you don't understand
  18. topper09er
    Jack Morris wasn't that good ever except for 1 game. Other than that he is just a compiler who is a little above average. Clemens in the 80s alone was more valuable than Morris' entire career.
  19. topper09er
    Nice lists, I totally agree. You could probably add Harmon Killebrew to group #2 and Boog Powell to group #1. Albert Belle is this generations version of Dick Allen. Relatively short career, HUGE peak, big jerk (and 1 MVP which I am awarding to Belle in 1995) and little HOF love.
  20. topper09er
    Rebuilding has nothing to do with money, you dont rebuild with free agents. You rebuild by getting really lucky in the draft. Our previous rebuilding phase was 20 years becase that was how long it took us to gets guys like Gallardo, Braun, Fielder, Weeks and Hart to all be drafted close enough together that they could be on the same team pre-free agency. Once this happens you stop signing free agents and dump your pricey veterans like Carlos Lee/Lyle Overbay. Then you know you actually have something so you clear enough money to afford them all through arby, try to resign them to a team friendly deal and then say goodbye to some and turn into just an above average team. With Fielder towards the end of his contract those years will likely depend on how 4 minor league pitchers turn out, Thornburg, Peralta, Jungmann and Bradley. If 2 of them can turn into #2/#3 pitchers we can contend regardless of how much we are paying Braun and Fielder. If they suck we may have been able to contend with Greinke instead of Fielder, but keeping Fielder helps us now and still gives us the chance to be good when he is older. Without him I think we take a big hit next year and if we don't extend Greinke we will really be in trouble
  21. topper09er
    Stieb, Ryan, Blyleven, Hershiser and Clemens were all way better than Morris in the 80s. Morris belongs with guys like Saberhagen, Valenzuela, Gooden, Tudor and Welch, and hes not obviously the best pitcher from that group.
  22. topper09er
    This is the key, with ALL free agents, you overpay them in the end of their contract because that is the price for their prime. I think we need to stop being so delusional to think the Brewers can remain contenders forever, its basically impossible unless you are rich. You need to have a very strong young core all come up together to be able to afford them, like the Rays now, but soon those guys are leaving. Then the good players become free agents and leave (Oakland). We got VERY lucky to have Braun at a great price right now (like the Rays with Longoria) when the pieces are coming together and we will probably be overpaying him by a lot down the road. We are not going to win 90s games every year this decade, get over that thought. Now is our time to strike, we are going to suck the last years of Prince's contract no matter what team he is on. So Id rather it be us and Id rather go for it all now. Also, one minor positive is that a very top heavy payroll will force us to play young cheap guys, which we hate doing now, and may help us discover some good players who otherwise would not get a chance.
  23. topper09er
    Yeah, Larkin is the same player as Trammell except with a big plus on the bases. Trammell also averaged 119 games per season, same as Larkin. If either one of them could have had the durability of Derek Jeter they would be considered premium HOFers. (you can probably say that about a decent number of guys however) I forgot Trammell was still on the ballot, I would vote for him. As was mentioned earlier, I dont see how you could vote for Larkin but not Trammell unless you value the baserunning that much or think Larkin would be the most extreme borderline HOFer possible and Trammell is the first guy out. There will always be a best player not in the HOF. Larkin's most similar player is Trammell and Trammell's 2nd most similar is Larkin.
  24. topper09er
    Larkin's rank among SS all-time-- 9th in HRs -- 13th in Hits and in Times On Base -- 10th in Runs -- 15th in RBI -- 12th in OPS+ -- 8th in WAR --6th WAR/PA He has the same OPS+ as Derek Jeter with more SBs at a better rate and about 15 wins better on defense. The only plus Jeter has is that he averaged 150 games/season and Larkin only averaged 119.
  25. topper09er
    I think that honor generally goes to Honus Wagner, 1908..354/.415/.542, OPS+ = 205. The average NL line that year was .239/.299/.306. He led the league in the following categories (second place) BA .354 (.334) OBP .415 (.402) SLG .542 (.452) OPS .957 (.816) Hits 201 (198) TB 308 (268) 2B 39 (30) 3B 19 (18) RBI 109 (106) SB 53 (48) OPS+ 205 (155) Good for 11.6 WAR, however Yount's 1982 is the AL SS record and 2nd all-time according to bb-ref WAR. Here are the only double digit WAR seasons by a SS: Rk Player WAR/pos ? Year G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG OPS 1 Honus Wagner 11.6 1908 151 641 568 100 201 39 19 10 109 54 22 53 .354 .415 .542 .957 2 Robin Yount 11.5 1982 156 704 635 129 210 46 12 29 114 54 63 14 .331 .379 .578 .957 3 Cal Ripken 11.0 1991 162 717 650 99 210 46 5 34 114 53 46 6 .323 .374 .566 .940 4 Alex Rodriguez 11.0 2000 148 672 554 134 175 34 2 41 132 100 121 15 .316 .420 .606 1.026 5 Honus Wagner 10.6 1905 147 616 548 114 199 32 14 6 101 54 54 57 .363 .427 .505 .932 6 Lou Boudreau 10.5 1948 152 676 560 116 199 34 6 18 106 98 9 3 .355 .453 .534 .987 7 Honus Wagner 10.0 1907 142 580 515 98 180 38 14 6 82 46 37 61 .350 .408 .513 .921 8 Honus Wagner 10.0 1906 142 590 516 103 175 38 9 2 71 58 31 53 .339 .416 .459 .875 9 Ernie Banks 10.0 1959 155 671 589 97 179 25 6 45 143 64 72 2 .304 .374 .596 .970Its cool that Yount and Wagner had the same OPS, however Yount's was only good for a 166 OPS+ because the league average line was .264/.328/.402
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