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topper09er

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Everything posted by topper09er

  1. topper09er
    When Marcum gave up the grand slam to Paul Goldschmidt in the playoffs he had to call Lucroy out to the mound because of sign confusion during the AB. Wolf clearly has problem with him so much so that they never play together, thus forcing Kottaras to start vs lefties and Lucroy to face tough righties more than they both should, which hurts the team. I feel like this is not an acceptable solution just because it is the easiest or because it makes Wolf, the veteran, happy. RRR should figure this out, hopefully he will. Kottaras vs LHP: .184/.308/.327 Lucroy vs LHP: .288/.313/.494 Kottaras has started 22 games the past 2 seasons vs a LHP.
  2. topper09er
    It also gives Hank Aaron a 4% chance of reaching 755 HRs after his age 31 season.
  3. topper09er
    He was already guaranteed to be around for the next 4 years
  4. topper09er
    Not a chance is pretty rediculous considering the historical context. He has the 4th most HRs through age 31 and the 2nd least PAs on the list. He has a whole season lead on Hank Aaron. [pre]Rk Player HR Age PA 1 Alex Rodriguez 518 18-31 8482 2 Jimmie Foxx 464 17-31 7858 3 Ken Griffey 460 19-31 7736 4 Albert Pujols 445 21-31 7433 5 Eddie Mathews 422 20-31 7799 6 Mickey Mantle 419 19-31 7412 7 Frank Robinson 403 20-31 7651 8 Hank Aaron 398 20-31 7855[/pre] The Bill James career estimator gives him a 26 percent chance to break the record with a projected average total of 685 HRs. http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/billjames/_/age/31/careertotal/445/yearone/37/yeartwo/42/yearthree/47/goal/763
  5. topper09er
    Lucroy [pre]Year Inn A E DP Fld% PB WP SB CS CS% lgCS% PO 2010 655.0 44 5 6 .992 1 40 37 17 31% 29% 1 2011 1043.2 63 7 6 .993 1 62 77 30 28% 28% 0 Total 1698.2 107 12 12 .993 2 102 114 47 29% 28% 1[/pre]
  6. topper09er
    I wanted to post Lucroys defensive numbers from baseball-ref, but none of the options work in the new forum. Mods, how do you make a table that is readable in this new format?!?!?! Edit: never mind, still not as nice as the old style tables which looked exactly the same as on bb-ref
  7. topper09er
    Lucroy never got to catch Wolf in ST before this season. I can see why Wolf wouldn't want him learning his habits and rhythms on the fly during the regular season. Still, how hard could it be? Cant he just catch a few side sessions and get it down?
  8. topper09er
    I haven't seen it mentioned yet, but seriously what is his deal with Randy Wolf? They say Wolf has complicated signs, but is Lucroy too stupid to figure them out? What does Kottaras do with Wolf that Lucroy can't? Was it possible that Wolf just did not want to deal with a rookie's learning curve, or might Lucroy have problems with other pitchers' signs down the road. Also, when Marcum gave up the granny to Paul Goldschmidt he threw his glove like a 10 year old, but I seem to remember him having to call Lucroy to the mound that AB because of the signs. I remember thinking Marcum looked pissed at Lucroy even though he just gave up a grand slam.
  9. topper09er
    How does Jonny Gomes feel about this?
  10. topper09er
    It said Wainwright to start on April 13, 5 days before that is April 8 which is game 3 of our series with them. Its a nice little break to face Jake Westbrook on opening day
  11. topper09er
    Surprised this isn't here yet. http://www.stltoday.com/sports/baseball/professional/cardinal-beat/new-setback-for-carpenter-lohse-gets-opening-day-start/article_6170f614-734f-11e1-8dca-0019bb30f31a.html "Manager Mike Matheny confirmed this morning that Lohse will indeed serve as the Cardinals' Opening Day starter with Jake Westbrook set to start against the Milwaukee Brewers on April 6. Adam Wainwright is slotted to work the defending world champions' April 13 home opener against the Chicago Cubs." Lance Lynn will replace Carpenter in the rotation, so we will face Westbrook Fri, Garcia or Lynn Sat and Wainwright Sun our first 3 games.
  12. topper09er
    Exactly, but when Matt Kemp under performs compared to last season (99% guaranteed) no one will make a big deal out of it
  13. topper09er
    He's the 3rd fastest right-handed hitter to ever reach 2,000 hits. When you present incorrect arguments to support your position it should be pointed out. I agree right now he shouldn't get in but the possibility of him making it in can happen. I guess if your argument is that there is about a 1% chance of Michael Young making the HOF then it "can" happen, but that is basically the point everyone here is making. You asked for people to say why he is not a HOF player and I did that any you are acting like I am attacking you. I said he is an average player because he is, by the time he retires I guarantee he will average 2.0 WAR/season or less, the very definition of an average player. You need to get over the fascination with his batting average because it the only thing he does above average.
  14. topper09er
    Um, no its not. The average Brewer fan probably couldn't even name last year's ASG MVP. The next time you are at a game ask the people sitting around and see how many get it.
  15. topper09er
    Are contending that Michael Young is not a bad fielding SS/3B? If so you should present argument backing this position up. Are you also contending Michael Young is not a weak hitting DH? If so you should present an argument backing this position. Are you saying 2000+ hits with a .300+ average by age 34 is good enough for HOF consideration or is a good standard to judge HOF worthiness? If so then Barry Bonds and Ted Williams don't make the cut. I won't even address the fact that you think a gold glove or AS game MVP should even be considered in a HOF argument.
  16. topper09er
    Who cares, we are talking about Michael Young who was a bad fielding SS/3B and a weak hitting DH.
  17. topper09er
    Except he does not make consistent contact, he just has a lot of hits because he rarely walks. He does strikeout a lot at 14.6% (near league average over his career) but does not have the power numbers to show for the Ks. A .304 average is not good enough to justify the low number of walks. This is reflected in his pedestrian 106 OPS+ or 107 wRC+ Also the BA is not as good as it looks because of the high offensive era and park Young has spent his entire career in.
  18. topper09er
    What? I made that manually and missed Wagner, Lajoie and Aaron originally, but I think I got them all now. He is the 13th fastest RH hitter to reach 2000 hits by games played, and he did that with a .304 BA because he never walks. Not very impressive, and given he is a DH with little power who cant contribute on D makes it unlikely he will continue. If he reaches 3000 hits he will get in the HOF and be in the same boat as Lou Brock (3000 hits but not HOF worthy)
  19. topper09er
    Least games to reach 2000 hits for a RH hitter: (pretty weak argument to begin with, conveniently throw out many of the best players all-time, not to mention that by using games you are rewarding Young for not walking very much) 1393 Al Simmons (from Milwaukee) ~1414 Nap Lajoie (exact game not known but likely would fall here) 1462 Rogers Hornsby 1495 Ducky Medwick ~1515 Honus Wagner (exact game not known but likely would fall here) 1537 Joe DiMaggio 1542 Kirby Puckett 1571 Derek Jeter 1586 Pie Traynor 1593 Hank Aaron 1609 Harry Heilmann 1615 Billy Herman 1621 Michael Young So Young is not 3rd on this list
  20. topper09er
    I am saying this should NOT be a Young vs Molitor comparison since they aren't close. If the argument for Young is that all he has to do is match Molitor's numbers post age 34 then that is unlikely to happen. Also, how is Michael Young the 3rd fastest to reach 2000 hits? What does that mean, 3rd least PA to reach 2000 Hs? No. 3rd least ABs? No. 3rd youngest? No. Michael Young has a 106 OPS+, so hes a little above average on offense, and way below average on D so overall he is an average player. 11 full seasons with 26.9 WAR = 2.4 WAR/season = slightly above average player.
  21. topper09er
    Through age 34: Young 7369 PA, 2061 H, 388 2B, 169 HR, 87 SB, 499/1052 BB/K, .304/.350/.451, 106 OPS+, 34.8 oWAR Molitor 7742 PA, 2086 H, 369 2B, 148 HR, 381 SB, 682/816 BB/K, .302/.365/.442, 124 OPS+, 53.5 oWAR They have similar counting stats but that is only because of the different eras they played in. Molitor was a much better hitter, not even close. Using bb-ref neutralizer tool, here are Young's stats if he played for the 1989 Brewers his entire career: 1930 H, 161 HR, .290/.335/.432 And here is Molitor through age 34 playing for the 2007 Rangers: 2359 H, 165 HR, .324/.389/.472 And another reason they are bad comps is because Molitor had one of the best late careers of all-time so its not a good idea to expect an average player to live up to Molitors post 34 standards. Hit leaders from age 35 on Rk Player H Age PA 1 Pete Rose 1709 35-45 6648 2 Sam Rice 1574 35-44 5341 3 Honus Wagner 1288 35-43 4866 4 Paul Molitor 1233 35-41 4425 5 Carl Yastrzemski 1152 35-43 4876 6 Ty Cobb 1136 35-41 3720 7 Craig Biggio 1091 35-41 4602 8 Omar Vizquel 1080 35-44 4552 9 Carlton Fisk 1043 35-45 4570 10 Edgar Martinez 1037 35-41 4085 11 Stan Musial 1033 35-42 3905 So Michael Young will need to get the 4th most hits ever after the age of 34 so stay on pace with Molitor's counting stats, but he has never done anything ever good enough to be 4th all-time
  22. topper09er
    I think the major factor was a desire to level the playing field for the poor teams and the ratings are a bonus outcome. There are lots of things MLB could do to sell out for more ratings, like have the playoffs drag on and on like the NBA so they don't have to play day games, or make all the series 7 games, or add another round to the playoffs. The Big Ten and college football in general is the golden standard of always selling out with the integrity of the sport a very minor point in any decision, such as making the dumbest possible divisions just so that they could get their precious OSU-MU championship games, which would be a rematch of the previous weeks game.
  23. topper09er
    easy grounder right under Gamel's glove, is it possible he could be a defensive downgrade from Prince?
  24. topper09er
    I like watching the game without the stupid pitch tracker which is wrong half the time. "Here is Carlos Gomez...he doesn't waste any time"
  25. topper09er
    Well they just said they will be showing the game after the currents commercials.
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