ramssuperbowl99

FIFY

This just means that getting hits are all the more valuable, and particularly when you already have a runner on. Actually hits are less valuable in a lower run scoring environment because they are less likely to lead to runs, and playing small ball is more valuable than in a higher run scoring environment. Events 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Single 0.238 0.333 0.398 0.448 0.488 0.522 0.551 0.576 0.599 0.619 Double 0.407 0.556 0.653 0.725 0.781 0.826 0.864 0.896 0.923 0.947 Triple 0.572 0.773 0.901 0.994 1.065 1.121 1.167 1.206 1.238 1.265 HR 1.236 1.31 1.354 1.384 1.406 1.422 1.434 1.443 1.449 1.454 Walk 0.144 0.21 0.257 0.295 0.327 0.354 0.378 0.4 0.42 0.438 IBB 0.069 0.112 0.145 0.174 0.198 0.221 0.241 0.26 0.278 0.294 HBP 0.159 0.23 0.28 0.32 0.353 0.382 0.407 0.429 0.449 0.468 Error 0.248 0.346 0.413 0.464 0.506 0.54 0.57 0.595 0.618 0.638 Interference 0.175 0.251 0.304 0.346 0.38 0.41 0.436 0.459 0.48 0.498 OtherSafe 0.336 0.462 0.546 0.608 0.657 0.698 0.732 0.761 0.786 0.808 Sac 0.041 0.011 -0.031 -0.078 -0.129 -0.181 -0.234 -0.288 -0.343 -0.398 Strikeout -0.068 -0.132 -0.195 -0.256 -0.316 -0.376 -0.435 -0.493 -0.551 -0.608 Out -0.06 -0.122 -0.184 -0.244 -0.304 -0.363 -0.421 -0.479 -0.537 -0.594 SB 0.113 0.149 0.17 0.184 0.195 0.202 0.208 0.212 0.216 0.218 CS -0.166 -0.261 -0.342 -0.416 -0.486 -0.552 -0.616 -0.678 -0.738 -0.798Care to explain the "events" row? Is that the amount of runs scored or something?

Corey backs up the HR with a nice defensive play. Love it.

We're winning. And wow. ZG does it all. And Corey's dinger now makes the ZG SB worthless but still awesome.

Its better to bunt against Halladay because you are more likely to make an out anyways, so if you are going to make an out why not try to significantly increase the chance it will be a productive out. Your point about Halladay K'ing batters with few walks just adds to my point that you are more likely to end the AB with 1 out R1 if you swing away.This just means that getting hits are all the more valuable, and particularly when you already have a runner on.

That doesn't mean you should give away outs, and that's what bunts are. 27 outs >>>>>> 25 outs Its not absolute, good managers understand that you are going to make all of those 27 outs, so if you can pick a spot when you think a player has a bad chance of reaching base and not making a productive out then it is better to bunt. The real skill is understand that there are spots to bunt, however basically no one does this and you either get guys like RRR who will bunt every single time or people with your mentality who thinks every single bunt is a waste. Today might be a bad day for Morgan to bunt since this pitcher is particularly bad vs lefties, but if Morgan is facing Roy Halladay I say you bunt. Which is why having a pitcher sac bunt doesn't bother me - I'm not universally against it. Why do you think Morgan bunting against Halladay is any better than him bunting against, say, Jon Niese? You're giving away and out against Halladay, and not only that, you're giving away an out to a guy who has good strikeout numbers and never walks anyone.

That doesn't mean you should give away outs, and that's what bunts are. 27 outs >>>>>> 25 outs

Slight argument could be made that we are winning because of it too. Do I think Hart scores on that double from first ... yeah. But the Brewers bunt the second most of any team in the league and when you are playing close games and can get guys into scoring position for the two guys leading the way right now in the MVP race ... I think it's often a good decision. I actually think Morgan is unbelievably unselfish and extremely smart for how often he bunts/sacrifices. I have no comment on Yuni's bunt.Worst case, Hart goes to 3rd base on Braun's double. Then Prince sac-flys him home. Bunts are useless more often than not.

Be patient, they are more valuable in the playoffs if you are facing studs pitchers, so I like that they are doing it now.Yeah, because if we are facing Roy Halladay we may as well go, "Sure, Roy, we'll spot you 2 or 3 outs this game."

Random bunt FTL. These bunts are going to be the end of me. We've given away 2 of the 4 outs we've made this game.

I like SB or going 1st to 3rd, etc. But the hit and run is stupid and will always be stupid.

Botched hit and run. Our manager is doing all he can to screw this up.

Well Corey's just having a great night and they had him shaded wrong. I'll take it. We get that run back.

Odds of Yovani coming up to bunt? 100%

You know your stuff is flat when you throw 24 strikes out of 29 pitches and give up 3 runs in an inning.

Worst case is that you just gave away an out.

STOP HAVING MORGAN BUNT

Yeah, and I'm sure if the Marlins offer Mike Stanton Doug will accept. But Peralta is all but assured to see the MLB club, and do so in September.

Absolutely outstanding post SoCalBrewfan, and right on the money. I'll go as far to say that the Brewers minor league system, with the exception of the SS position, matches up quite well with their big league club. We have a nice number of young pitchers, one of whom is almost MLB ready and another 3 who could be ready within a little more than a year. That fills rotation holes. We also have at least one reliever with big time stuff (Manzanillo) and another few who could be successful, which should help us deal with the loss of Hawkins, Saito and K-Rod. Most of our position players are under contract, with the exception of SS/3B/1B, and Gamel/Green fill two of those holes (depending on whether McGehee is a long term option, in which case one of them becomes a bench or platoon player). Then we have guys like Schafer, Gindl, etc. who would be cost controlled bench players and could play multiple OF spots. I'd certainly take them over Mark Kotsay. Saying the Brewers have a bad system and not many impact players isn't that big a deal, really. We still have many of our home grown players, and now have prospects who can come up and be successful role players for them.

When did I say they don't deserve to be on a major league roster? I think they are both MLB players, and would be roster upgrades right now (Green > Wilson, Gindl > Kotsay). I just don't think either has the tools to be an above average player. And the reason I don't go on this board that much is precisely this - a substantial group of people on here are really homer on Brewers' prospects. I'm as big a Brewer fan as anyone, but when people on here are talking about Fiers, Rivas and Austin Ross as guys who could be significant big league contributers, I tend to log off.

Wily Peralta is living on the BA Hot Sheet, checking in at number 11. Also, the phrase used in the sheet, "one of the minor's most effective pitchers" makes me smile.

Won't is strong, "shouldn't" is what I should have said. Maybe a terrible team would start him, but if the Brewers start Caleb Gindl full time in an OF corner, we have a serious, serious problem. He's got no real remaining power projection, his average arm is going to kill his value in RF, he doesn't have the speed for CF, and he's a good bet to strikeout 20% in the big leagues, which limits his value as a slap, contact hitter kind of guy. Not a good combo.

Yes I do. And no I don't. He's a guy who gets the most out of his tools, but isn't the kind of defensive whiz or offensive juggernaut to post consistent seasons with more than 2 WAR. And no, Gindl won't be a platoon starter, because the only place that could happen is CF but he doesn't have the speed to stick there. I guess if a team thought he was a CF, he might, but I doubt it.

A. Because a big league team's record has nothing to do with their farm system. Kansas City had the best farm system in baseball last year, and they stunk. The Brewers had among the best systems in baseball in 2004-2005. B. I'll take the players' realistic ceiling in order:1. Green - Average 3B.2. Gindle - 4th OF. 3. Peralta- #2 SP, clearly our best prospect and the only one I would consider a good bet to be a significant contributer4. Schafer - Below average CF starter, more likely a backup utility OF5. Fiers - Fringe middle reliever6. De La Cruz - Fringe middle reliever7. Maldonaldo - Has absolutely no use to any major league ball club ever. Further, it's worth noting that people often say because a team's system is bad, there is no MLB talent. That's not true. It just means the Brewers have less talent in their system than other teams. FWIW, even with the draft picks, we've got a bottom tier system. It's not as bad as the Chicago White Sox's system or anything, but it's in the bottom third. Aside from the picks, there is only 1 guy who I think is a good bet to be an above average regular in the MLB (Peralta), and a ton of role players or guys with substantial question marks (Thornburg's height/durability, Green/Gamel making jump and hitting outside the PCL, etc.). EDIT: Also, did someone really mention Fiers as a prospect because Josh Hamilton struggled with cocaine and heroin instead of dominating the big leagues at 21, Randy Johnson was a 6'10" lefty who threw 100 mph and took a while to figure it out, and John Axford had a fluke mechanical change that magically improved his velocity like 8 miles per hour? I can't really tell because my eyes are bleeding.

You know your stuff is good when you make Prince Fielder look terrible. Wow Kershaw is good.