Oxy
-
Posts
3,995 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Blogs
Events
Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings
Milwaukee Brewers Videos
2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors
Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources
2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project
2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by Oxy
-
Johan Santana pre-injury is probably the poster boy for this strategy. I want to say that he was in middle relief for at least a year and a half before dominating the AL. I think it is the best approach for most playoff caliber teams. EDIT: What's the deal with Johan Santana being automatically hyperlinked to QVC? -
I am convinced that he would be in the rotation for the majority of MLB teams.
-
What does this show? That you score .092 more runs with guys on 2nd and 3rd and 2 outs rather than 1st and 3rd with 2 outs? And that is if the contact play NEVER works? If I would have actually checked this table first I'd be even more adamant in my support for the contact play. If it DOES work, now you've already scored one run and if you forced a play at the plate you've got guys on the corners with one out, so you'd score another 1.204 runs if every batter and pitcher are robots and the situation has no other variables. This is practically a no-brainer.
-
As well as with a guy on 2nd and one out. The contact play should always be on in that situation. What did they lose exactly? After the out at the plate, there were guys on 1st and 3rd with 2 outs. Had the runners held, there would be guys on 2nd and 3rd with 2 outs. Not much difference. You make the defense make the play and the tag at the plate every single time there. They lost the ability to score 2 runs with a single. Its a losing play. Either a guy gets the ball and you're out at home or he doesn't and you can walk home anyway. There is no advantage to it. There are lots of times the contact play will work even if the infield is in, more often than the single run you would lose if the next guy singles, and then the 3rd out is made the batter after that. If the next guy does anything else, there is no difference. if there is a walk and a single, no difference. If there are back to back singles, no difference. The only instance it would help to hold the runners is if there is a single, and then the third out is immediately made. That is a pretty specific pair of circumstances that need to happen in order to have a benefit of holding the runners. Meanwhile, If you score the run on the contact play and they had to throw home, now you also saved an out, and still have 2 guys on base. There are more benefits to having the contact play on there than by holding the runners.
-
The contact play is pointless with the infield in, so dumb. If the fielder gets to it you are out, just wait and see if it gets through Part of the contact play is getting a large lead and secondary lead at 3rd. There are plenty of times that the contact play will work even when the infield is in, and when there is a guy on 2nd there really isn't a good reason not to go for it.
-
As well as with a guy on 2nd and one out. The contact play should always be on in that situation. What did they lose exactly? After the out at the plate, there were guys on 1st and 3rd with 2 outs. Had the runners held, there would be guys on 2nd and 3rd with 2 outs. Not much difference. You make the defense make the play and the tag at the plate every single time there.
-
Peralta wouldn't be rushed in the grand baseball sense of not being ready to contribute at some point this year; however, that's a different story than telling the kid "pack your bags, your starting tomorrow night in front of 40,000 people," when he hasn't even spent a day at Miller Park as part of the Major League ballclub. Some guys might be perfectly okay with this approach, and some guys might need more of a breaking in period. In addition, the Brewers already have a viable option in Estrada, so it really isn't that big of a deal. If Peralta can be broken in with the MLB club more softly without sacrificing victories, great.
-
Well, kind of. There are lots and lots of guys who start out their careers in the bullpen, getting used to big league life both on and off the mound before starting their first game. Give them some low pressure situations where they can be successful rather than giving a guy 24 hours notice to make his big league debut for a pennant caliber ball club. If this were 2005, starting Peralta would make a lot more sense, as the pressure to win was basically non-existent at that time. Games matter now, and the pressure to be successful is in a different stratosphere now than it was then. It depends on Peralta's make-up as well. If he has a Gallardo-type of mentality it probably doesn't matter one way or the other. If he has a Parra type of mentality, some kid-gloves may be warranted in how he is introduced to the big leagues.
-
I'd like to see what Peralta can do as well, but I would imagine that Estrada will step in and start. There isn't really a predictable difference between Narvy, Estrada, and a rookie Peralta. Heck, throw Parra into the mix as well. They all have the capability to step in and string together some quality innings, although Narveson has been the only one to show that he can be consistent over an entire season.
-
Miller Park minutiae: Small changes for MP in 2012
Oxy replied to hawing's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I'm sure mine is a minority opinion, but gah, the Iceman. I know he's beloved and all and he goes to Maryvale and I don't begrudge him any of that, but his "YYYYYYYYYYYO!" flat out haunts my dreams. And every time I'm on the loge (even if I'm just passing through), he's near me belting out his YYYYYYYYYYO!s. My guilty pleasure sausage of choice at MP last year was the Cheesy Grillwurst, and it doesn't appear on the "Hot Cheese" menu anymore. At least we found a Klements equivalent at Woodman's, so I'll just enjoy them at home. So I ordered a "cheesy grillwurst" once last year during a game against the Cubs. Even before ordering, I thought it odd that it just wasn't called a "cheddarwurst." After the concession lady asked me "Are you from Chicago?!?#?" I questioned myself even further, thinking that the menu display was merely a clever joke against non-Wisconsinites who know not of what they order. If so, I guess me and Hawing are in the same boat. -
I love the squeeze play when a good bunter & bad hitter is at the plate with 1 out; precisely the situation today. Although I was surprised that Sveum didn't see it coming, since I saw it coming. Late in a close game helps as well, although at that point it almost becomes predictable with Roenicke, which then makes it decidedly a bad option.
-
Tim Dillard may not be long for the Major Leagues.
-
I would guess it is because it is very early in the year so the starters aren't quite totally stretched out yet and the Brewers don't have an off day for another 8 days. The bullpen is going to get used a lot in the next week, so if Estrada could give them two strong innings, great.
-
Meh, it's just Rock being jocular about the catcher position. Kind of a throw away tongue-in-cheek comment coming from a former catcher. I don't think anything personal was actually meant toward either Lucroy or Wolf.
-
Corey Hart is one of the more underrated players in MLB.
-
Macha is an interesting case. In more ways than one, he WAS a cyborg version of Earl Weaver, and yet it obviously didn't work. The team underperformed under him. Perhaps he was just unlucky.
-
Let's hope the baseball gods aren't catholic. No kidding. We might win today, but the Crew would take one heckuva beating on Sunday.
-
Let's hope the baseball gods aren't catholic. No kidding. We might win today, but the Crew would take one heckuva beating on Sunday.
-
And Gogo accounts for both runs. Here's to fast guys going on contact from 3rd.
-
And Gogo accounts for both runs. Here's to fast guys going on contact from 3rd.
-
Sorry for the snarky response, it is not what this board is about. But are you open to the possibility that what appears like a poor in-game decision or lineup decision by the numbers and on paper might actually have a valid unscientific reason behind it that may help the ballclub win games in the future? Or do you believe that "valid unscientific reason" is an oxymoron? If so, who is the one with the closed mind and their head in the ground? I did some googling and found this- http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2012/3/28/2908044/manager-wins-above-expectancy It may belong more on the statistical analysis forum, but it is good stuff.
-
So we should give him the benefit of the doubt? When last year he repeatedly met our worst expectations of being clueless. i could see that making sense last year when we didn't know where actions related to words, but we have a full season plus of our worst fears often coming true to just etch-a-sketch away what he says. And what a horrible season it was! Our worst fears come to life in the form of a division championship.
-
Wow. That is the best sports message board post I have ever read. Thank you for sharing. Go Brewers.
-
I guess his reasoning is that Carlos is a free swinger so he wants to put him in a position in the order where he is most likely to get good pitches. I know that protection is a bit mythical, but I think it makes more sense to "protect" a guy who has poor plate discipline than a guy who will just happily take a walk. Of course, I'd rather stick a guy like Hart, Lucroy or Gamel up there who will get on base 10% more than Carlos. Oh well.
-
I guess his reasoning is that Carlos is a free swinger so he wants to put him in a position in the order where he is most likely to get good pitches. I know that protection is a bit mythical, but I think it makes more sense to "protect" a guy who has poor plate discipline than a guy who will just happily take a walk. Of course, I'd rather stick a guy like Hart, Lucroy or Gamel up there who will get on base 10% more than Carlos. Oh well.
