cragi

Brewers have been willing to pay guys like OHearn for one year as a proven stopgap. I cant see them unloading Vaughn over that price tag, unless someone like Adams was forcing the issue, especially with Bauers likely gone. But even then, you keep Vaughn and he has trade value in-season or offseason. I dont think its realistic they just let him walk at that price.

in the couple years prior to Woodruff's injury, he was a 4 WAR pitcher who could pitch 160 innings. over the past 3+ years, he's average just over 1 WAR and maybe 60 innings. Thats proven a very expensive lottery ticket. Not saying the initial deal wasnt reasonable, but cant argue its paid off in any way.

I think its short sighted to deal Pena. He has freakish speed, great plate discipline and could probably play most anywhere. This would definitely be selling low. Williams' 2026 has been a rare disappointment for the org. Selling low but definitely a possibility if the price is right. Lara is part of a logjammed OF. I dont know that anyone outside of Payne and maybe Adamczewski shouldnt be part of the conversation.

just wondering if the hamate has sapped a little power. EVs are down a bit from a last year's peak year, even with the luxury of facing lefties. But purely as a hitter, he seems very different than with the ChiSox and still building on last year.

Adams seems a 1B prospect in this defense-first system and his bat seems ready now. I definitely expect arbitration next year for Vaughn and for him to remain or make a trade if Adams is putting pressure on it. Burke and Fischer no later than 2028 at their pace.

There just aren't as many holes to work with up and down the upper levels to add more talent. Adding a piece now likely means dropping someone else. The positions that feel shakiest for prospects to me are catcher (lots of prospects but serious questions) and pitching. They could trade down to multiply lower level prospects and extend the window. Trade a 10-20 rank prospect for a few low-a pitchers. But that hasnt really been their approach either. Or they find a trade partner willing to let go of a young conttollable upgrade at the MLB level as you say. Pitcher. Catcher. But that's not necessarily a trade deadline move. If the new CBA changes the prospect game, maybe best to hold your cards. But otherwise they are in good shape to position against the dodgers for this postseason

if the plan is to walk Sanchez, at least force him to use up a couple challenges

knew i was forgetting someone. yes, Burke. Logjam that needs clearing up. You can make that case that Bauers is the proven commodity in his prime, but that means he is likely to get paid long term, which makes no sense for the Brewers. That said, if CBA still nets prospects after this shakes out, perhaps a QO makes sense? A year of that thump in his prime is probably going to get outbid but doesnt hurt if he accepts.

Right, he doesn't make sense for the brewers long term for a number of reasons though he is perfect for 2026 Brewers can't financially risk a serious veteran contract but someone will roll the dice Pipeline (OF) - Lara - Adamczewski - Payne - Ragsdale First base: - Adams - fischer? Too many guys in the upper minors knocking at the door we are already paying

Not surprised on Pena or Jett. Jett hasnt lived up to expectations this year so far and Pena's injuries arent the type that affect prospect status, while the numbers are still very positive for his age. Fischer and Payne should be getting more love. Would they be off the list if they were on the Dodgers?

im not the one trying to use WP% as a dismissal of the legitimate concerns regarding the impact of Perkins' performance.

comes down to the price tag and how our staff views the current pitchers available. Skubal's last few starts dont scream like someone we should bet the farm over. Sonny Grey could be a better choice but the price may be too high for either. I agree we cant hang onto all these prospects for much longer so may as well pick a few to unload. More likely the Brewers will sell high on someone who seems to be outperforming projections than sell low on someone like Pena with a ton of talent but minor health issues.

Sounds like we agree then that the stats were cherry-picked to push a counter-narrative instead of using stats that speak for themselves. Look, I appreciate the stat research you do, but would appreciate it more if there wasnt an added slant. If you want to use winning percentage as some kind of litmus test as to whether or not Perkins' has been a detriment, the honest take would be to compare WP% with and without him in the lineup. There is a .078 spread between games won without him and those won with him. When compared with their .622 WP%, the honest take is that the Brewers have a 12.5% greater likelihood of winning when Perkins doesnt start, which matches the eye test we can see for ourselves. And Im no Perkins hater, having just put out a thread about him showing some life. Sometimes stats are just putting lipstick on a pig. pwuiz39cpjx41.mp4

Exactly. this a great example of the "lies" of statistics being able to push people to a particular conclusion instead of just letting the results speak for itself. If you tell a casual observer that the Brewers have the 5th best record baseball when Perkins starts, they might think "Amazing! They should start him every day!" However, when you invert that statistic you realize that the Brewers were 38-21 (.644) with him not starting, which puts them in a nearly a tie with the Dodgers (.647) for best record in baseball. This is where the eye test of "man, Perkins has really struggled and its hurting the team" prevails. Sometimes its just what everyone obviously sees.

Just noticed that Perkins might be turning the corner some. As historically brutal as the first couple of months was, he's managed to raise his BA from .091 to .161 and OPS from .314 to .512 in June. He carries a 7-game hitting streak over games with at least 2 PAs. Probably gives the Brewers a bit more flexibility with trade chips, if nothing else.