Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

cragi

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    240

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

News

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects Ranking

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

Milwaukee Brewers Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Pick Tracker

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by cragi

  1. cragi
    Brewers have been willing to pay guys like OHearn for one year as a proven stopgap. I cant see them unloading Vaughn over that price tag, unless someone like Adams was forcing the issue, especially with Bauers likely gone. But even then, you keep Vaughn and he has trade value in-season or offseason. I dont think its realistic they just let him walk at that price.
  2. cragi
    in the couple years prior to Woodruff's injury, he was a 4 WAR pitcher who could pitch 160 innings. over the past 3+ years, he's average just over 1 WAR and maybe 60 innings. Thats proven a very expensive lottery ticket. Not saying the initial deal wasnt reasonable, but cant argue its paid off in any way.
  3. cragi
    I think its short sighted to deal Pena. He has freakish speed, great plate discipline and could probably play most anywhere. This would definitely be selling low. Williams' 2026 has been a rare disappointment for the org. Selling low but definitely a possibility if the price is right. Lara is part of a logjammed OF. I dont know that anyone outside of Payne and maybe Adamczewski shouldnt be part of the conversation.
  4. cragi
    just wondering if the hamate has sapped a little power. EVs are down a bit from a last year's peak year, even with the luxury of facing lefties. But purely as a hitter, he seems very different than with the ChiSox and still building on last year.
  5. cragi
    Adams seems a 1B prospect in this defense-first system and his bat seems ready now. I definitely expect arbitration next year for Vaughn and for him to remain or make a trade if Adams is putting pressure on it. Burke and Fischer no later than 2028 at their pace.
  6. cragi
    There just aren't as many holes to work with up and down the upper levels to add more talent. Adding a piece now likely means dropping someone else. The positions that feel shakiest for prospects to me are catcher (lots of prospects but serious questions) and pitching. They could trade down to multiply lower level prospects and extend the window. Trade a 10-20 rank prospect for a few low-a pitchers. But that hasnt really been their approach either. Or they find a trade partner willing to let go of a young conttollable upgrade at the MLB level as you say. Pitcher. Catcher. But that's not necessarily a trade deadline move. If the new CBA changes the prospect game, maybe best to hold your cards. But otherwise they are in good shape to position against the dodgers for this postseason
  7. cragi
    if the plan is to walk Sanchez, at least force him to use up a couple challenges
  8. cragi
    knew i was forgetting someone. yes, Burke. Logjam that needs clearing up. You can make that case that Bauers is the proven commodity in his prime, but that means he is likely to get paid long term, which makes no sense for the Brewers. That said, if CBA still nets prospects after this shakes out, perhaps a QO makes sense? A year of that thump in his prime is probably going to get outbid but doesnt hurt if he accepts.
  9. cragi
    Right, he doesn't make sense for the brewers long term for a number of reasons though he is perfect for 2026 Brewers can't financially risk a serious veteran contract but someone will roll the dice Pipeline (OF) - Lara - Adamczewski - Payne - Ragsdale First base: - Adams - fischer? Too many guys in the upper minors knocking at the door we are already paying
  10. cragi
    Not surprised on Pena or Jett. Jett hasnt lived up to expectations this year so far and Pena's injuries arent the type that affect prospect status, while the numbers are still very positive for his age. Fischer and Payne should be getting more love. Would they be off the list if they were on the Dodgers?
  11. cragi
    im not the one trying to use WP% as a dismissal of the legitimate concerns regarding the impact of Perkins' performance.
  12. cragi
    comes down to the price tag and how our staff views the current pitchers available. Skubal's last few starts dont scream like someone we should bet the farm over. Sonny Grey could be a better choice but the price may be too high for either. I agree we cant hang onto all these prospects for much longer so may as well pick a few to unload. More likely the Brewers will sell high on someone who seems to be outperforming projections than sell low on someone like Pena with a ton of talent but minor health issues.
  13. cragi
    Sounds like we agree then that the stats were cherry-picked to push a counter-narrative instead of using stats that speak for themselves. Look, I appreciate the stat research you do, but would appreciate it more if there wasnt an added slant. If you want to use winning percentage as some kind of litmus test as to whether or not Perkins' has been a detriment, the honest take would be to compare WP% with and without him in the lineup. There is a .078 spread between games won without him and those won with him. When compared with their .622 WP%, the honest take is that the Brewers have a 12.5% greater likelihood of winning when Perkins doesnt start, which matches the eye test we can see for ourselves. And Im no Perkins hater, having just put out a thread about him showing some life. Sometimes stats are just putting lipstick on a pig. pwuiz39cpjx41.mp4
  14. cragi
    Exactly. this a great example of the "lies" of statistics being able to push people to a particular conclusion instead of just letting the results speak for itself. If you tell a casual observer that the Brewers have the 5th best record baseball when Perkins starts, they might think "Amazing! They should start him every day!" However, when you invert that statistic you realize that the Brewers were 38-21 (.644) with him not starting, which puts them in a nearly a tie with the Dodgers (.647) for best record in baseball. This is where the eye test of "man, Perkins has really struggled and its hurting the team" prevails. Sometimes its just what everyone obviously sees.
  15. cragi
    Just noticed that Perkins might be turning the corner some. As historically brutal as the first couple of months was, he's managed to raise his BA from .091 to .161 and OPS from .314 to .512 in June. He carries a 7-game hitting streak over games with at least 2 PAs. Probably gives the Brewers a bit more flexibility with trade chips, if nothing else.
  16. cragi
    how does the promotion of Miller impact the Quero situation?
  17. cragi
    13 pitcher max
  18. cragi
    yeah its been hard watching the bucks even with Giannis because you could see they were making moves for the sake of making moves and losing ground with each one of them. They should have seen a few years ago the writing on the wall and made a giannis trade so that they could be competitive but their moves and non-moves are so questionable that i stopped following a couple years ago. Brewers are the complete opposite. in fact, my kid was at an event recently where they had key internal members of the braintrust from these orgs give a talk and the brewers made the bucks look really bad in comparison.
  19. cragi
    if the Brewers were willing to stick out with a younger Sproat as a starter through the roughest part of his starts, what makes anyone think they would bail on him while he's now been stacking some quality starts? and even if they did remove him from the rotation, he would still be a valuable long reliever.
  20. cragi
    Just that Matt Arnolds game is bargain hunting. He's not paying top dollar for anyone outside of the org. Sorry of the confusion. I actually don't think Attanasio is cheap at all. We had the Seligs..
  21. cragi
    Let's be honest for a second about Arnold paying full price for an obvious name. MA is the guy wearing a leisure suit and fanny pack holding up the line at the card show because he's digging through a box of commons for a rare misprint. And I mean that with all respect and admiration
  22. cragi
    We've seen a different approach regarding prospects at deadlines for a while now, so if these are the prices, I just don't see the brewers moving and that would be fair Add to that skubal might not be the same and that makes a doubly problematic choice. Not going to roll our dice on the future unless it's a sure fire ace
  23. cragi
    yeah ive gotten the same feeling that this would be terrible. brewers bet big on international development despite the small market capabilities and now that its clear we can finally compete, we get it stripped away. Meanwhile the Dodgers and Yankees who have have been dominating the international game still get to play the same high stakes game, while taking away our sudden ability to compete. BS
  24. cragi
    i expect they will definitely want 6 starters.. all the starters need to be spaced out for various reasons and Gasser has proven adequate lately and that translates to innings relief. Definitely one of Rom/Kuhnel/Yoho.. id guess Rom
  25. cragi
    yeah i like pratt's measured approach. seems to be looking for a soft liner over the infield each team. better than swinging hard and grounding out that we see so much of
×
×
  • Create New...