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ramssuperbowl1999

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Everything posted by ramssuperbowl1999

  1. ramssuperbowl1999
    ^ Check the timestamp on the message. This was right after Lopez was assigned to Low A, which did do good things for his prospect stock. Obviously, his performance in Low A erased any of that positive momentum.
  2. ramssuperbowl1999
    Through 4 IP, Hellweg with 0 walks and Jungmann with a K per inning? Love it.
  3. ramssuperbowl1999
    These are the same thing. I rank based on potential MLB impact. He's the Astros backup catcher, got 280 PAs over 80 games between 2011 and 2012, produced a triple slash line of .216/.271/.318, and accumulated a total of -0.4 WAR. In short, he's made 0 impact to a major league team. The scouts obviously got this one right - they didn't rank him among the top 50 guys most likely to make a big league impact and he didn't make any. Not really. Each turned out to be replacement level players who produced zero impact. Palmisano had raw ability, but didn't convert it into production. Hence the original high ranking. Corporan didn't have the tools, and never made any big league impact. Hence the low ranking.
  4. ramssuperbowl1999
    You had me at 'get rid of Yuni'. I agree. Honestly, he's a 24 year old 1B. If you don't preserve his option years, you'd have until his age-28 season to send him up and down. If you can't make the big leagues by 28, barring fluke, you're not valuable. I also think it could help his development out. He'd likely be exposed a little bit, but he would be able to see loud and clear that his plate discipline needs work. He can watch tape, go back to AAA where he'll be fine when Hart returns and work on getting better. Then in 2014 the learning curve shouldn't be as steep.
  5. ramssuperbowl1999
    Yeah sorry. Pinch hit for in the bottom of the 5th. I was watching, but didn't care until the 6th since the Sounds had nothing going on. We'll see what happens. Him not being stretched out all the way would put him at 85, then 100 during his next 2 starts.
  6. ramssuperbowl1999
    Was pinch hit for in the 6th. I didn't like it either. That's a pretty ugly managerial decision. Managing for wins & losses in the minors with the best pitching prospect you have on your roster out there just dealing? Indefensible for me. The only defense is that Thornburg might not have been fully stretched out. But I agree, especially for a guy who needs more experience with 100-110 pitches so that he can hold that velocity deep into games.
  7. ramssuperbowl1999
    Was pinch hit for in the 6th. I didn't like it either. Hey, they are going to 11 in Wisconsin. Extra AB for Taylor and Arcia!
  8. ramssuperbowl1999
    At least Gameday is working great for the T-Rat game. Strong is single handedly throwing this game away, he's thrown balls away down each baseline in consecutive innings, his error last inning cost the T-Rats 3 runs (2ER). McFarland just made a nice pick to hold the runner at 3rd, hopefully the Rattlers can get out of the inning without another error costing more damage. edit. Ha-ha woot... 6-4-3 double play... out of the 8th unscathed, tie game to the 9th. Am I a bad fan for not caring because of the following? Tyrone Taylor: 2-4, BB Orlando Arcia: 2-4, 2B (CS, but whatever he's 18) Clint Coulter: 1-2, 2 BB
  9. ramssuperbowl1999
    Based on some of the controversy that I've (accidentally) generated, I won't comment on everyone's comment. I just hope that I can kind of accommodate everybody with a more sweeping post (this feels like a rankings post). I don't dislike ANY Brewers prospect. I love them all and want all of them to succeed. To prove it - I'm a huge Martin Maldonado fan. Will you find him in my rankings? Absolutely not. I didn't think he could hit, and I still have my reservations. But I definitely learned from him. I'm starting to learn the value of a backup catcher, especially to a team like Milwaukee. My job is to get the guys I best think can help the MLB club. Why am I passionate about the guys that I rank and the way that I've ranked them? Because I thought about it. When I rank Orlando Arcia over Hunter Morris (and this one is going to get me some fire I bet), it's because I've thought about it and put some time into it. If you asked me, "Why did you have Player X over Player Y?" and I don't have a good answer, I did a crappy job. Now that doesn't mean I know everything, that just means that when I publish a list I better be ready for the heat. And I like posting to this site because I'll get heat on my guy ranked 42nd. That makes my lists better. Anywho, I just wanted to post some of my passion for Milwaukee. Ultimately, it's important to know that we can be at each other's throats all day, but when the Brewers play the Cardinals/Cubs, we are all cheering for the same guys.
  10. ramssuperbowl1999
    If it helps, you can still hate them both.
  11. ramssuperbowl1999
    I'm guessing there's some tongue-and-cheek there, otherwise that's a pretty significant dig at the prior regime and your current forum landlord... EDIT: OK, just saw your own edit in the prior post. No dig at the people doing the ranking, the work they put in, or the current forum landlord. This was intended more as a comment regarding the philosophy behind the rankings, not the people doing them.
  12. ramssuperbowl1999
    http://www.brewerfan.net/ViewPower50.do?power50Id=102 That is the list I'm talking about. Rivas wasn't a hard thrower when that list was published - he was 25 year old, high 80's low 90's guy with no curveball, who wasn't missing bats anymore. The writeup even mentioned back-of-the-rotation scouting reports (and neglects to mention that most people had him as a long reliever at that point). Equally as inexcusable is the ranking of Komatsu. This blurb from the write up sticks out - "which means that our best position-player prospect projects to be a 4th outfielder". What that actually means is that you're not ranking your prospects right. EDIT: Re-reading this I came off harsh - I was and am very appreciative of the Power 50 crew's hard work. I just disagree with some of their rankings. Thanks! I know I don't rank prospects as is the norm here, and it will take a few years to figure out who is right, but I do try and provide enough info on each guy so that even if you think my rankings suck the write ups still help.
  13. ramssuperbowl1999
    http://forum.brewerfan.net/viewtopic.php?f=64&t=29490 Lots of good stuff in this thread. Just as important, Gord Ash didn't even mention Roache's wrist in this article: http://www.jsonline.com/sports/brewers/brewers-intrigued-by-talent-of-young-players-959cft7-200980011.html By all accounts, Roache is hitting with power again.
  14. ramssuperbowl1999
    Why not? Those two things have nothing to do with each other. Yes he has. He's played in instructs in the fall and the spring. And we have reports that he's fully healthy. I do not rank strictly on potential. I have Taylor Jungmann over Orlando Arcia in my latest rankings, and don't plan to change that despite Arcia having substantially more ceiling than (anyone in the system including) Jungmann. As much as Brewerfan loves to follow all the guys who make the majors and remind us all of Eric Arnett and how highly he was ranked in the early going, the site doesn't generally hold themselves accountable for having guys like Amaury Rivas ranked in their top 5. By then the site is already focused on the next guy, like, say Hiram Burgos. To me, it's a far more egregious mistake to have a guy like Rivas way overranked after years and years of MiLB data and scouting reports than to overrank a draft pick who just can't adjust to pro ball for whatever reason.
  15. ramssuperbowl1999
    You've missed the point. I'm not even commenting on the prospects, I'm using an obvious example to illustrate that having a rule where you simply won't rank a guy number 1 in the system until he plays in the minors is silly. "The problem is, I haven't seen anything to make me think he WILL have that career either, because he hasn't even played yet." Yes he has, and yes you have. He's played in college, he's played in the cape cod league, he's played in instructs and he's played in spring training. For some of those leagues, we have stats and scouting reports to work with. For others, we just have scouting reports. Just because he hasn't played in the minor leagues yet doesn't mean we don't have a decent idea of how good a baseball player he is. And you obviously even have a decent idea of how good a player he is, since you 'loved the pick' when they drafted him. Put another way, if you didn't already know he was a good player, how could you like the pick? Not only that, but we also know his wrist is healthy based on reports from here and other sources, so the injury concerns aren't really a factor either.
  16. ramssuperbowl1999
    That's just silly. If Roache is a better baseball player, he should be ranked higher. To make it obvious - would you have had Stephen Strasburg below a different Nats prospect after they signed him simply because he hadn't thrown a pro pitch? Of course not. Because it was painfully obvious that Strasburg was better. While not as blatant, the same thing applies here. Roache's tools and upside outweigh the fact that Morris is closer to the majors.
  17. ramssuperbowl1999
    That same player could barely crack a .300 OBP coming from college in his first two seasons. That's not even the whole issue (though it does matter). The same guy plays the easiest position in the NL, is a below-average defender, is a terrible baserunner, etc. etc. All that adds up to something like -1.5 to -2 WAR per year (-7.5 runs position, -3-5 runs baserunning, and -3 to -7 runs on defense) . So if Morris is league average hitter, he's actually a near replacement level player. The takeaway lesson - you need to hit a LOT to be a great 1B prospect. How sure are we that Morris can hit? His tools aren't great, he's not particularly young, and he's so walk adverse that he has to hit .300 to support a good OBP. Give me a guy like Roache, who can be a very good defender in LF, OBP more, and hit for similar power. Give me a guy like Coulter, who isn't just interesting with the bat but also may end up playing the most valuable offensive position. Etc.
  18. ramssuperbowl1999
    Morris is (likely, it's not final yet) going to be rated the 5th best hitting prospect in the system on my list.
  19. ramssuperbowl1999
    I'm doing writeups for my top 50, and in some of the research I came across a fun fact regarding how ridiculously aggressive Orlando Arcia's Low A assignment is. Does anyone know how many 18 year olds recorded a full season in the Midwest League last year? 1. Francisco Lindor.
  20. ramssuperbowl1999
    I'll be updating this in light of the minor league rosters and assignments. Expect Orlando Arcia, Tyrone Taylor, Michael Reed, and Jorge Lopez to rise.
  21. ramssuperbowl1999
    I'm planning to update this throughout the year with maybe 2 rounds of full scouting reports and a monthly rankings tinkering. Hope that helps give you guys some direction. I know people are kind of critical of my rankings of low-ceiling, close-to-the-majors guys like Burgos, but I hope most people don't have any major gripes.
  22. ramssuperbowl1999
    You get the gold star for getting this right. KLaw places an emphasis on premium prospects, of which the Crew have very few. He devalues depth, which the Brewers have a great deal of. In my opinion, this approach is valuable for a large market team (read: the markets Law is selling) and inappropriate for a small market team like Milwaukee (who Law doesn't care about and would gain tremendous value from a bullpen full of prospects). To each his own. There is no conspiracy here, nor is Law an idiot. Milwaukee has a system lacking in elite prospects but filled with depth.
  23. ramssuperbowl1999
    Soft-tossing, command-based, right-handed, one year wonder (as of now) who saw his peripherals get worse as he moved up the ladder. That's pretty high for him. If he fails as a starter, he isn't an MLB player since he doesn't have the velocity or secondary stuff to fill out a bullpen.
  24. ramssuperbowl1999
    I would guess these two numbers are the main issue: Stats (AAA): 28 GS, 146.2 IP, 4.66 ERA, 8.8 K/9, 4.8 BB/9, 1.83 K/BB, 3.83 FIP But I would think that even his small sample stint at the MLB level would temper that some, since it was quite a positive step for him: Stats (MLB): 6 G (5 GS), 29.0 IP, 2.48 ERA, 7.14 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, 2.09 K/BB, 2.65 FIP I don't think he damaged his expectations either unless your expectations went in very, very high. His seasonal numbers at AAA are skewed by one horrible month (May) from which he rebounded and he threw the ball very well in the majors. If anything, the fact that he recovered from a bad stretch is a plus and something he can draw on in his career. Take a look at his 2011 stats. After 30 IP of 2 ERA ball at AAA in 2011, he shows up at puts up ERAs of 6 and 7 the next year. If that's not failing to meet expectations, I honestly don't know what is. The expectation for Peralta was for him to dominate AAA hitters and be a Super 2 callup. He ended his season on a very high note with some good big league starts, however. Hence, being ranked #1.
  25. ramssuperbowl1999
    I actually feel really good about these rankings, particularly the top 15. I think the Brewers' system is going to break out a little bit in 2013. The fact that there is so much depth here is really nice, especially on the pitching side.
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