KeithStone53151
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Everything posted by KeithStone53151
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I wouldn't put too much stock in the specific teams we beat or lose to. Bottom line is we won 5 or 7. The Mets payroll is at least double ours and the roster is loaded with quality players. Slumps can end at a moments notice. The best part of this week was 24 runs against the pirates in 3 games. Hitting is the greater concern. The pitching has been better than the hitting, and we have significant injury reinforcements coming on the pitching side with no hitters on the horizon really in the minors or injuries. Maybe frelick, maybe Hiura. Both would specifically fill a need and it would be great if they put up big july numbers in AAA to provide an option.
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Cohen all but came out and said he’s hiring Stearns
KeithStone53151 replied to brewers888's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
It wouldn't be unusual for him to pursue FO staff. For example, let's say he's familiar with really good stats guy that's ready to advance to the next level...maybe he'd pursue that guy to be stats director. Those positions may not exist in reality, but you get the concept. It's no different from a NFL head coach hire going back to his old coaching staff and grabbing a guy or two for advanced positions. Maybe the QB coach becomes his new OC. And...doing this I wouldn't view as tampering. Considering Counsell wasn't even a Stearns choice/hire, it's far less certain that he'd even want Counsell as his manager. Especially with unlimited funds. To a different point, I will say it wouldn't overly surprise me if the Mets end up being accused of tampering allegations...that they talked contract/agreement with Stearns for 2024 before he left the Brewers in 2022. I'm not about to line up and accuse, because it's not being talked about and no evidence exists that we know of, but it would make sense if evidence surfaced. A little bit of curiosity/speculation on this specific piece of this whole topic/thread is pretty darn reasonable in my opinion. -
Cohen all but came out and said he’s hiring Stearns
KeithStone53151 replied to brewers888's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Already making moves is one thing, and almost certainly not happening. But it seems fairly likely that he left the Brewers last year intent on POBO for the Mets in 2024. Maybe there was/is no agreement in place, but both parties have wanted this for a while and if/when Stearns wants to start working again...I expect this will be the outcome. -
I had to check, Yelich really is grading as above average defender this year. But, that's an improvement at age 31 over three consecutive below average defensive seasons. I suspect that's not going to continue over the life of his contract, it may not continue as soon as next season as this could simply be a small sample size. Yelich's career trajectory is most easily explainable by being a great contact hitter, and in his peak years MLB juiced the ball leading to him hitting a lot more HR than he rightfully should have...which he parlayed into a big contract extension. I have a lot more hope that the current slash line is sustainable for a few more years, and he keeps stealing 30-40 bases for at least 2 more years. That probably puts us at 2 more years of paying 25-50% above market and 3 years of paying 60-80% above market. I know that seems doom and gloom, but coming into this year he looked like he'd be in a position to get kicked to the bench by the young crop down the stretch. So this improvement is quite huge for this contract not being a massive failure.
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Agreed, except I don't think DFA Winker does anything at all...except maybe tell the roster to figure it out or you could be next. But it's not like we have a guy down in AAA pounding the baseball and ready to get a shot at this level. Either the guys we have need to improve to career norms or better, or good chance we'll be big sellers in a month.
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Agreed. An epic fail by the jets likely means Rodgers was trash, and in that case getting literally anything is better than having bad Rodgers in 2023 and the cap problem in 2024. There are far more scenarios that the Packers win this trade than the jets. The jets basically need Rodgers to be MVP Rodgers, but even in that case it would be a win/win if Jordan love is the real deal.
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Even in an extreme case? Let's say the jets are 1-8 to start the season and Rodgers looks old/bad but is healthy? In that case they are also in serious risk of that pick being an ultra valuable top 5 pick. I generally tend to agree that the 4-7 jets are not punting on the season, I think it takes a very extreme scenario for them to consider benching Rodgers to save the draft pick. I'll add the GM would almost certainly be fired at the 1-8 mark if Rodgers was bad and potentially benched.
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Yeah, pick 42 obviously completely changes the valuation. Overall this seems like a pretty reasonable compromise based on what the reported offers/asks were...although the Jets didn't protect themselves from a scenario where Rodgers only plays 1 year.
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Ehhhh, the Pirates have a good young core. One of that young core is out for the season, but they have young talent and it was more a matter of when not if they would get good. I didn't think it would be this quick...still might not be. Changing of the guards happen in baseball much quicker than projection systems can catch them. The year the Cubs won like 100 games and went deep in the playoffs with the Baez/Rizzo/Bryant core...most projection systems had them around 80-82 wins.
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Late to the party, I'm pretty thrilled that the A's are moving. Them having to play in that stadium for so long while the City threw up so many road blocks, it seemed inevitable. It's one thing to not want to shell out a ton of taxpayer dollars to build a new stadium, it's quite another to block a team from buying land to build a new stadium. Vegas seems like a weird choice, I feel like there are other more viable options. Being on the west, they could have simply gone to Portland. San Antonio would also be a good choice. Others seem to be noting that there are quite a few decent options for Milwaukee to potentially be moved. It seems unlikely to me though. Milwaukee has notably high attendance, it would seem weird to move a team from a city where fans turn out despite market size.
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I tend to agree that i think Burnes makes his next start. MLB athletes receive world class treatment on any injuries. It seemed he strained it during the run down and pitched through it for a bit. I'll agree that if it's a problem during his bullpen session maybe they push him back, but with the treatment he's getting and preparation for it pre-game...I suspect he'll be fine. Worst case most likely is they push him back a couple days or skip one start. I think a trip to the DL is extremely unlikely.
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- corbin burnes
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I probably should have tweaked my comments a bit. A strikeout is better than weak contact. Weak contact sometimes goes for hits while a strikeout is virtually never anything but an out. Problem is, the k rate is so sought-after right now...the option of relievers that don't get strikeouts but generate weak contact at a very high rate might be the better value option than high k rate pitchers...allowing us to utilize resources elsewhere in the roster. Also as you noted, weak contact generally requires less pitches than a strikeout, so you can get more outs and be more fresh than the guy using 20 pitches to strike out 3 guys in an inning.
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Oh man, in no universe are the Reds or Pirates or Cubs better than this Cardinals team...not right now. I'm certainly going to enjoy the Cardinals having the worst record in the division for as long as it lasts. That team somehow winning 60 games would be hilarious but it would take like 8 major injuries and even then probably isn't realistic.
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My argument is slightly more difficult with Woodruff injured, but Burnes/Woodruff/Peralta have a pretty solid track record of striking guys out. Even Lauer does. Miley is really the only guy that is a well below average strikeout guy. Looking at their numbers, all our starters except Miley are striking out about a batter per inning. Burnes has the worst k rate of the other 4, I'll go out on a limb and say that's unlikely to be how we end the season. Right now our SP is 21st in MLB in k rate, that'll improve when Woodruff is back and Junk and his 3.86 SO/9 stops making starts. Now in relief, Milwaukee is dead last in k rate at 6.18. Slightly ahead of us is the 12-0 Rays with 6.34 and then significantly ahead of them is the 28th ranked Nationals at 6.89. On one hand, we knew our relief was going to be a question mark at best with Williams really the only established guy. Also, being in the company of the Rays right now certainly isn't a bad thing and maybe us and them know something other teams don't. One other major point, our defense to this point is inarguably one of the best in the league. We are in first by a wide margin in DRS, and fangraphs has us in the top 5 in both RAA and OAA. The eye test backs that up, especially when we have our best options out there(I'm imaging a world with Taylor/Frelick in LF and Yelich DH or bench...we'd be plus or better at every spot). Bottom line is weak-moderate contact with a superb defense might be better than k's and a high pitch count.
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At this moment, the Brewers are in first in the division and the Cardinals are in last.
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I think you can so long as you don't initiate contact. If Cruz kept running and tried to like sneak a foot in while going around the catcher i think that's fine...but I'm not certain. I didn't really see anything glaringly wrong with the play. It all happened so fast, how unusual for a catcher to need to jump to catch a high throw then come down for the tag. What led to the injury is poor sliding form from Cruz.
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The over 500 talk went from very unlikely to...nope...very quickly
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It's certainly hard to know whether the 49ers are actually involved, but they can certainly be viewed as a good fit for him. If the 49ers offered 2 3rds and a 1st next year i think that's plenty of value. All speculation, Rodgers successfully keeping himself in the headlines as long as possible.
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Between this and the 49ers rumored to be getting involved...I suspect the price is only going up.......
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The pirates have a fair amount of young talent that could get rolling at any point. The pirates have plenty of time on Reynolds so I doubt they move him. I would buy a third place finish, the over 500 part is where the question comes in. I could see the cubs and pirates in the mid 70s battling for third
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So you're telling me ERA isn't the only thing to look at to determine a good start? I was a bit lazy when looking at SP stats and only looked at ERA in this case. Yes agreed, not a good start.
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Cardinals starting pitching last I saw had over 7 ERA to start the season, 3rd worst in MLB. Naturally we face the one guy who started well right off the rip. It's early of course, but you love to see a bad start from them. Regarding the O'Neill incident, I didn't see him as running slowly and not putting in effort...many of you seem to think that is the case so maybe I saw that differently. I also agree with the consensus that the much bigger problem is calling our your player publicly like that. It's generally a problem when the 20-something is more mature and more of an adult than the manager...
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I saw this whole thing play out yesterday. Complete clown. O'Neill got benched for not running the bases hard enough, but watching the replay I just don't see him letting up at any point. So more or less the Cardinals manager publicly benched O'Neill and criticized him publicly for a made up reason. To make this manager look even more stupid, I'll add that O'Neill is coming off a hamstring injury and has a history of hamstring injuries. So one could certainly understand if he was only going 95 percent vs unleashing fully and risking aggravating the injury. How sad when the young player is more mature and professional than the manager...
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Normally I'm against 99+% of ejections, but it's really hard to care in this particular case...
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This was tested at every MLB ballpark last year for a 2-3 week period. Not used, but tested. I have to imagine that will be expanded this year before implementation.
