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KeithStone53151

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Everything posted by KeithStone53151

  1. KeithStone53151
    That right there is a first class organization.
  2. KeithStone53151
    The best comparable I can find for trading for Scherzer is probably the Greinke trade with the Angels. The Angels sent us Segura, Johnny Hellweg, and Ariel Pena...also they took on the remaining 5 mil of his contract. Segura was the Angels top prospect at the time and was rated in the top 100 mlb prospects(i'm assuming trout graduated by this time). Hellweg and Pena were both in the Angels organizational top 10 as high ceiling low floor types. Considering the demand for Scherzer, I'm expecting at least a somewhat similar value package going back to Washington. This is the type of guy that can put a team over the top and it's easy to imagine a team overpaying for him.
  3. KeithStone53151
    Tyler Anderson has officially been scratched...
  4. KeithStone53151
    Between this and Frazier now playing in San Diego, this makes me happy. Can they hurry up and trade Moran and Newman while they're at it? Especially Moran. And to an AL club please. Get him far far away from having to rake against us.
  5. KeithStone53151
    Looks like we probably won't be seeing Tyler Anderson tonight
  6. KeithStone53151
    I agree 100%. Offense has been pretty good the last couple of months. A marginal upgrade to 1B and maybe a bench bat would be plenty if they get Max. They would have 4 legit ace type pitchers and another bullpen ace in Houser because of it. Don't need to be anything better than average on offense with that and the crew is better than average by a good bit the last couple of months. I'll lead this by saying I think it's extremely unlikely Scherzer is a realistic target for the Brewers. That said, we could also use Peralta in a multi-inning weapon role if we targeted another big horse. He could be planned to pitch 3-4 innings of game 4 but could also pitch 2-3 innings game 1 or 2 of any playoff series and still be viable for those 3 innings game 4. Even in the likely event we don't target a guy better than Peralta, I think any game 4 should probably be a tandem start with pick 2 of Houser/Lauer/Anderson. If any of them is pitching great, sure keep rolling if you think it's sustainable...but I like the idea of going into the game prepared to use 2 starters and get the 1st guy out early if needed.
  7. KeithStone53151
    It's a bit of a stretch saying a guy getting covid is a great thing
  8. KeithStone53151
    I'm not super interested in watching him belly flop in the corner diving for balls he has no chance at...unless it's playing for the Cubs.
  9. KeithStone53151
    If true, that's a downright reasonable ask. Tax adjustments certainly could be substantial going to California from anywhere though...
  10. KeithStone53151
    Perhaps not. But operating conservatively in an effort to give yourself as many bites at the apple as possible most definitely is. From Will Sammon's Athletic article: What can history tell us? The idea of giving yourself as many bites of the apple as you can sounds great in theory, but when has it ever really worked out? The Rays are probably the best example of nearly winning a title with this strategy. They advanced to the World Series last season and lost to the Dodgers, but they seem primed for another deep run this postseason. And that was even before they traded for Nelson Cruz on Thursday to bolster their lineup. Which utilizing this strategy continuously means also that "hope" is part of your strategy as well. Every time the Cardinals won the world series over the last 20 years, they were definitively not the best team on paper. I'm pretty sure one year they were barely 500 and won it all(David Freese...barf). They just kinda always are around during playoff time and were fortunate to catch lightning in a bottle a couple times.
  11. KeithStone53151
    Perhaps not. But operating conservatively in an effort to give yourself as many bites at the apple as possible most definitely is. Is it better to have 3 opportunities over the course of a decade with an average of a 20% chance of winning the world series, or 8 opportunities over the course of a decade with an average of a 10% chance of winning the world series? These numbers are clearly pulled out of thin air, it's worth considering which is better though. You never know which year you're team could get hot at the right time, or worse go cold at the wrong time. For me, in a league where the very best team in the league might win 2/3 of their games against all opponents...variance can easily result in the best team not winning the world series. Having a lot of bullets is advantageous. Heck even in a league where the best team much more often wins the championship...we were one big toe away from not making it out of the second round.
  12. KeithStone53151
    Are we sure Tyler Anderson will actually be pitching today? I feel like there's a very real chance he gets traded before this game starts.
  13. KeithStone53151
    It's kinda tough to make that assessment considering the Dodgers are still in the NL. I mean yes the Brewers can beat them, but the probability can't be 50/50 as the rosters stand now. And that's before the Dodgers bring in probably Scherzer and Kimbrel and Iglesias simply because they can. As much as it sucks, I like the current strategy of continued success...continue to be good. Make prudent trades when available, but I don't really want to fall into a 5-6 year rebuild if we can avoid it, and I certainly don't want to become the Pirates/Marlins/yuck teams that it's a miracle if they go 500 more than twice a decade.
  14. KeithStone53151
    I'd bet heavily on the Dodgers. The Betts trade tells me there's just no way he isn't a Dodger, especially with the need/injuries.
  15. KeithStone53151
    I feel like this is a huge win, I'm not sure why the Twins would do this unless buxton is jettisoned.
  16. KeithStone53151
    If the two options were the one provided, and locking him up for 4 more seasons beyond this year...I think the current option is far better. Rodgers will be 38 next year. I highly doubt he has 4 more good years left in him. Most qb not named Brady hit a wall at 38. Getting one more good year and being able to potentially trade him for multiple high picks including at least one 1st is way better. If Rodgers has a career average year, I think we'll easily get that from a team built to win minus the QB position. Whoever trades for him, I highly suspect he'd be willing to add a couple years to his deal if the team was built to win...heck he'd probably take the veteran minimum if said team brought in Cobb, Nelson, and James Jones to play WR.
  17. KeithStone53151
    Can we just wait until the Brewers pass on signing him before we make jokes? Please? I was thinking the same thing. I won't feel comfortable about him not becoming a Brewer again until September 1st.
  18. KeithStone53151
    This seems weird to me. Matt Dyer is a 4th round pick last year that is 23 and struggling to hit in low A. This feels like they are literally giving away Hill for nothing/salary relief. Hard to question that org, but I certainly don't understand the move.
  19. KeithStone53151
    Tommy Hunter and Matt Dyer heading back to the Rays. Interesting trade between 2 contenders
  20. KeithStone53151
  21. KeithStone53151
  22. KeithStone53151
    Jose Ramirez WOULD be one of the top bats on the market, if not THE top bat. I can see how that comment is a bit confusing/contradictory. In the unlikely event that we do land a top bat, I think those 2 would be the most likely(or at least more likely than Bryant/Story/Cruz/etc other top bats). I still think a big splash on the hitting front is unlikely. I think a CJ Cron caliber makes the most sense. If we go big anywhere I think it's relief.
  23. KeithStone53151
    Agreed, with Bryant's flexibility though he's a great fit for pretty much anyone. Also it's one thing for the Brewers and Cubs to make a trade for Chafin or other inconsequential piece, but to trade for one of the faces of their franchise for the better part of a decade doesn't seem realistic. In general, I would be fairly surprised if we ended up landing one of the top bats on the market. Jose Ramirez or possibly Whit Merrifield seem the most likely. Could also see us bringing back Aguilar.
  24. KeithStone53151
    I suspect if we brought in Gallo, we'd ask him to play 1b. We have pretty good defenders out there and nobody that plays 1b for us can hit. It seems a bit wasteful to use him there, but plugging Gallo at 1b makes the lineup so much better. He's so strong he'd get some Adam Dunn type hr here, where he'd clearly get under it but dude is so strong it carries over the short porch in RF.
  25. KeithStone53151
    I've read a fair amount of speculation that it relates to the incident where he broke an unwritten rule, got thrown at the next day by the Twins, and his manager more or less commended the other teams handling of the situation. It's really easy for me to jump on a "get TLR out of baseball" bandwagon. I like the idea of bringing this guy in as well, but don't expect it to be very feasible for many reasons.
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