CheeseheadInQC

I guess I just don’t care. If you think he can step in and be a 3 right away with potential to spend most of his team control a 2, that is a top 100 guy even if his age related regression will likely start soon after. A lot of pitching prospects have warts. Henderson was quite rightly a top 100 guy on some lists despite his injury woes. Stuff talks.

Ryan didn’t start focusing on pitching until he was 23, was cracking top 100 lists when he debuted in the big leagues less than 3 years later, then got hurt, missed a year-plus, and is back to showing why he was a top-100 guy before the injury. This isn’t someone who stalled out in the minors, then started dominating once he had more experience than the guys he was facing. I was really hoping he would be included back when it looked like the Brewers might deal Burnes to the Dodgers.

I guess good for Knaak getting the payday, but this might hurt other Clemson players in the long run. It makes them too big of a risk for rounds 3-10 especially.

Eh, circumstances sometimes change. Until we know more, it is tough to say much about the decision other than I personally wish it was different.

Levonas sounds like they drafted him knowing not signing was a possibility but liked him enough to draft him anyway and just take the pick the next year if he went to college. Knaak is something different.

Interesting. I wonder what the story is. My mind immediately went to a higher NIL offer, but raising the offer post-draft would I imagine negatively affect future potential picks from the school, so that would be a dangerous game to play.

In Fangraphs’ defense: 1. They say that their model mostly sticks with the preseason projections because they have found historically it has been more accurate than adjusting heavily for season performance. 2. They fully acknowledge that the Brewers are an outlier that confounds their model year after year.

I could be wrong, but I thought it came back in a limited form in the last CBA.

I think draft and follow does technically exist but only for players who choose to go the JUCO route. I don’t know if it has been used since it was brought back, though.

The Brewers have had seven teenage prospects have low-A seasons with at least 200 plate appearances and a wRC+ of 120 or more since 2021. That includes Chourio, Adams, Pratt, Made and Pena. One of the two recent additions, Handelfry Encarnacion, didn’t even get a vote here. Neither, unless I missed something, did any of the DSL breakouts. Kind of amazing (the depth, not the voters excluding them).

I might end up disappointed, and I hate that I am using betting parlance, but it really feels like the over-under is 18.5 signing.

There is no Made or Pena relative to the rest of the league, but the only first-year guys across the league who are on that level statistically this year are carrying 29+% walk rates. When you strip out some of the walk wackiness, you could make a statistical case for Matos as a top 5 bat, but the rest aren’t there. This year’s group is really impressive in the aggregate, especially when it comes to power. The five best multi-team organizations in the DSL as far as offensive production this season are the Yankees, Rangers, Brewers, Guardians and Rockies. The Rangers, Yankees and Rockies get a high percentage of the production from returning players. The Guardians are young like the Brewers, but their youngsters are more OBP machines. The Brewers have six 17-younger qualified hitters with a .200+ ISO. Those other four teams have two combined.

I tried to use Google’s AI to find out the most high school picks signed in the 20-round era. I must say, AI is becoming very human-like. It was both very confident and very wrong at the same time.

That is how you get a 1.000 OPS with only 5 extra base hits.

I am beginning to wonder if we should be paying more attention to Enrique Lovera. The fact they have him leading off in that lineup does convey a sense of confidence from the organization.