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CheeseheadInQC

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Everything posted by CheeseheadInQC

  1. I could see at least one of them taking Encarnacion’s place in Wilson if he gets promoted. The K rates on Antunez and Fenelon are such they might want to keep them in the bridge league.
  2. I was joking, but legitimately surprised that they haven’t taken a pitcher yet.
  3. Ok, everyone ready for 18 straight pitchers?
  4. I don’t know that Ebel would have lasted much longer because hit over power types were generally going higher than expected while the raw power with hit tool risk fell a bit.
  5. Does this mean I have to retire my Angels draft jokes? Grindlinger doesn’t fit the pattern.
  6. Hit tool getting valued big time by the looks of it.
  7. I was wondering if it was going to get weird. Everyone seemed to think the draft flattened out after the first few picks, so it might be a case of let’s make a deal.
  8. I don’t know if I see a hitter falling who they might pay slot for this year. That means likely either slot pitcher or under slot hitter. While it seems like pitching will be BPA, I have a feeling they do the hitter in the first then mostly pitchers after that strategy.
  9. Man, my picks this year have mostly not gone great (although I think Ortuno has quietly been one of the top 20 or so performers from his signing class league-wide). Ones from past years have been a bit better (Fitzpatrick before the injury, Torres seems to be breaking out, Daniel Corniel hasn’t been solid since he got back, Juan Martinez, Tyler Rodriguez, even Alastre hasn’t been bad given age and level). Hopefully I was just a year or two early with this group.
  10. Torres’ last 4 starts: 25 2/3 innings, 2 earned runs, 29 strikeouts, 1 walk.
  11. I would guess Moneys, Matos or DeBerry, in that order.
  12. They might not top prospect lists, but Hall and Castillo have both had success this year, and Tyler Rodriguez has been really good since joining the Timber Rattlers.
  13. Do you think the issues with DSL pitching and walks this year are just a weak (or really raw) group of pitchers, or a culmination of the emphasis on swing decisions laying waste to the old “you can’t walk off the island” stereotype and thereby bringing control problems that were always there to the forefront? And if it is the latter, do you think it will be an issue going forward?
  14. Nice to see Sarmiento have a really good outing. He seemed like a possibility to come stateside based on peripherals last season, but this year has been a little rougher.
  15. Fun with numbers on the DSL bats: - The Brewers have 12 newcomers with at least 50 plate appearances so far. All 12 have a 100+ wRC+. - 10 of those 12 have a K rate below 20%. - 11 of the 12 have an ISO of at least .1. You can increase that to .14 and still have 9. - Jose Rodriguez is a big money signing putting up an .866 OPS, 115 wRC+ with a Jadher Areinamo-esque spray line drives to all fields batted ball profile who had a great defensive reputation upon signing. And he is mostly being overlooked. - Across the DSL, there are 56 17-under hitters with 50 plate appearances, a sub-20% K rate, a 10%+ walk rate, a .100+ ISO and a 100+ wRC+. So less than 2 per MLB team. The Brewers have nine of them.
  16. I was trying to find a minor league comp for a college pick who both struck out a ton and was really successful in their first full season. I think the closest I could find in the last decade-plus was Jud Fabian, but he was never this successful. Fischer is fascinating both because most guys who strike out 1/3 of the time don’t have this much success and because unlike someone like LaViolette, this wasn’t really expected based upon his college play. That at least raises the hope there are adjustments to be made if the power can’t compensate for the k-rate once he hits the big leagues.
  17. I saw a decent chunk of Low’s walks last month in person, and, well, I have seen a lot of meltdowns at Modern Woodmen Park over the last two decades, and that felt different than most. To start with, I didn’t feel persistent pity for the catcher.
  18. Well, the jump to AA certainly hasn’t sapped Fischer’s power. Two tonight for 26 so far this season.
  19. Agreed, especially when one of the hotter hitters lately for them is a still 16-year-old catcher who has already drawn praise for his defense.
  20. The DSL is crazy this year even by DSL standards. It’s insane that Gold at one point today had its entire lineup over an .800 OPS but only ranked 15th in OPS league-wide coming into today.
  21. I am not sure about park factors, but the Brewers seem to be average relative to their leagues in slugging at the full season level with one team each in the way above average, above average, below average and way below average quadrants (Wisconsin, Biloxi, Nashville and Wilson, respectively). They are pretty far above average in the complex leagues.
  22. 2022 deserves a bit of an asterisk. Brown might have been the first round pick but he was not the highest bonus pick. That guy turned out to be pretty good.
  23. Are there many period? I skimmed the active WAR leaderboard, and unless I missed someone, once you get past the Trout/Judge/Ramirez/Altuve quartet, I think the next highest single-team player is Aaron Nola. And I am not 100% convinced Trout remains an Angel his whole career.
  24. Adding Knoth and Dubanewicz has really helped stabilize the Rattlers’ pitching staff.
  25. Lara and Quero with big nights, ton of hits for Biloxi, Owens dominating for Wisconsin, Wilson scoring 15 runs with Ebel ant the forefront, and Martinez with a walk off? Quite the night.
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