If we were to assume our current bench consists of Perkins, Bauers, Seigler, Jansen, Monasterio. They have a combined bWAR of 0.9 this year. The Colorado Rockies entire baseball team has a bWAR of -3.8 for all position players combined.
San Francisco would have to go 15-7 just to tie them with the Mets also going at least 11-11 and the Padres at least 10-12. Or replace San Francisco with Cincinnati going 16-6 or St. Louis going 16-5.
And mind you, this is with the Brewers not winning a single game the rest of the way.
What if they win the WC series? Then they would be in the same spot as they would if they got a bye. Either way they have to win the NLDS and NLCS to get to the WS. There is no way around that no matter how these last 21 games go. Every team's chances of winning a postseason series against any other team is going to be close to 50%.
Then that would be one of the worst guesses I've ever read in my life. Take a look around the league and tell me which teams have a bench full of great power hitters and guys batting .300.
Sure but the first actual national championship game was played in 1999. Before that, the best thing they could actually win on the field was the Rose Bowl.
The Brewers would likely clinch a postseason spot even if they lost every single game in September, anyone worried about that just doesn't understand math.
Another thing people need to understand is it isn't the end of the world if the Cubs pull off the miracle comeback. It isn't the old days where season is over if you don't win the division. They could lose every game the rest of the way and still probably get in the postseason. The WC bye would be nice but you still have to win NLDS and NLCS to get to WS.
It also wouldn't necessarily be a good thing to clinch in two weeks and then have two weeks of meaningless baseball and then a full weak off between the season and NLDS.
I guess what I'm saying is I want them to win the division but don't want the race to be easy and over quickly this month.
The 5 inning rule was another one that made sense years ago. If a starter went less than 5 innings but the team held the lead the rest of the way the starter was usually out due to injury, or maybe ejection, or maybe the score was 12-8. The reliever that came in would have likely finished the game and would have been more deserving of the win. You wouldn't have a 4 inning start followed by 5 relievers pitching one inning each.
The W/L record made much more sense and meant much more when starters often pitched complete games. A bullpen pitcher getting the win usually happens by default, and sometimes it's a bad thing when it's a BS Win.