jay87shot

With Harrison not being dominant and Woody likely done I think it is becoming clear we could use a vet starter for the playoffs. Logan Webb just went off on some reporters or something. He has 2 more affordable years and could be primed for a contender. It would take a pretty big package but he would fit really well.

Holmes would be nice but there are a lot of question marks with the health. Maybe by the dealine that would be cleared up. I kind of think we would go after Detmers or Soriano 1st if the prospect price isn't crazy. I like Ryan, the 1.5 years of control make him a little tricky just because we have traded those guys with 1 year left traditionally. I think if you would say Holmes you would add in Sonny Gray, Kevin Gausmann, and Casey Mize as well.

How about Vaughn, Sal, and Coleman Crow to the Guardians for Gavin Williams and David Fry We give up backups at this point for a young contollable upside arm and a bench bat. The Guardians get 2 much needed upgrades at position they need to upgrade and a rotation ready player.

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/49289964/sources-mlb-draft-prospect-brody-bumila-ucl-injury Bumila just had ucl surgery, not probably an option at 25 maybe in thw 2nd depending on bonus demands.

Any reports on his defense recently, that bat would look great in Milwakee in September.

Joey and Cooper have looked increasingly better at SS and 3B over the past week or two. I would expect either to set the world on fire but very optimistic. Lara just looked like a ball of energy, maybe like a better version of Nyjer Morgan.

Great day, both starters get depth and leave the pen in great shape. Pratt, Joey, and Lara all impressed.

I wonder why Vaughn isn't in with the lefty going today? Nice 3rd inning here, put up a crooked number and getting the pitch count up.

Christopher Sanchez gave up 9 runs yesterday, big chance for Mis to widen the cy young gap. Ohtani probably his competition now but has thrown a ton of innings. Good chance to do major damage to the cards if the offense can show up early in both games. Excited to watch Lara at some point today.

Movement

I think the general point is that even we add say Skubal, we might still be a good ways personnel behind the Dodgers.

O911637zI think I have 3 categories of picks. 1) Shear upside/best pick= P Brody Bumilla at 6'9" he has a similar to Misi profile at 18. Although he is already 255 pounds and mostly filled out. There are past injury concerns but he seems like the biggest upside pick who could potentially be available. He also could go in the top 10 with that upside. 2) Best Value= 2B Jarren Advincula. Absolutely raked at GT, at 6'2" he isn't just a slap hitter. Most evaluators have him as a 2B but our system could add some 3B, corner outfield or 1B to add value. For a guy who would likely take well below slot he seems like a high end value. 3) Value power bat= 1B/3B Gavin Grahovac Grahovac isn't my favorite prospect but with Fischer, Burke, and Wilken fitting this mold it is hard not to envision him as an option. I love Myles Bailey from FSU as this mold of player, he was having a huge year before injury. Probably more of a 2nd rounder. My current mock 1) 2B Advincula 2) 1B Myles Bailey 3)HS pitcher Jack Slightom Midwest arm who went from like 88 to 93-95 from JR to SR year fits our mold.

Some of my advantage analysis is just based on feeling, Smith however hasn't been terrible. He has been average which based on is career is down. I do expect him to be better especially in a playoff series. As you pointed out Rushing is also solid. As I said, the Brewers probably have an edge but not much. .249/338/.382 with an ops+ of 100 for Smith

I am writing this to show how much we likely need to add to have a chance to get to the world series. We might have to beat both team if we dont have the 1 seed. Catcher- Contreras, Smith, Baldwin =Wash Will Smith is having a slightly down year but is a high quality player. If you wanted to give the Brewers a slight edge I would be fine, however all 3 of these guys are allstar calibar catcher. 1B= Bauers/Vaughn, Freeman, Olsen= Disadvantage Brewers Olsen and Freeman are stars and our guys have been good. In a 7 game series a coupke Bauers bombs are possible to even this out. 2B= Turang, Freeland/Rojas, Albies= Advantage Brewers Albies is inconsistent but as we saw in the series a couple weeks ago always a threat. I fully expect the Dodgers to trade for a 2B like Arraez (SF rivalry iffy), Gleybar, or CJ Abrams but for now this is a solid plus for us SS=Pratt, Mookie, Mateo/Dubon/Kim= Dodgers Advantage Rookie is no longer playing at a superstar level but he is solid. The Braves combo has been solid, Pratt is clearly behind both. 3B= Ortiz/Hamilton, Muncie, Riley= Huge Dodger advantage Munch has been really good this year, Riley not so much. Our platoon can hang with Riley who has not been the same guy he was early in his career. OF= Chourio, Mitchell, Sal/Bauers (Lara) Hernandez/Edman, Pages,Tucker Harris, Acuna, Dubon/Yas/White Advantage Dodgers This one is tricky, I would call the top dogs Chourio, Acuna, Pages a split, #2 Harris, Tucker, Mitchell a disadvantage for us. Lastly I would call the 3 OF spots a split but they could go either way with trades, Edman coming back or Sal/Lara playing better. DH=Ohtani, Yeli, Dom Smith. Massive Advantage Dodgers Maybe Yeli can play better and close the gap. 4 man rotation= Misi, Harrison, Henderson, Sproat? Ohtani, Yamamoto, Wrobleski, Snell/Glasnow Sale, Strider/Lopez/Elder/Holmes/Perez Huge advantage Dodgers, Brewers advantage over Braves. I expect Snell and Glasnow to be healthy by the playoffs. Misi and hopefully can hang with Ohtani and Yamamoto and Sale but after that the Dodgers have a big advantage unless Henderson and Sproat get it together. Even Eric Lauer has been good for the Dodgers Bullpen= Braves advantage Iglesias, Suarez, and Lee have been dominant, throw in Fuentes and Dodd and that is though to beat. Megill, Uribe, Ashby can hang with Diaz, Scott, Vesia but the the Braves are a notch above. That really only puts us above par at 2B and behind in many key areas. We can hang with the Braves but at least personnel wise we need some quality additions to compete with the Dodgers.

I am expecting Bauers to get a Ryan O'Hearn style contract 2/29 (3/40) if he finishes the year the way he has played so far. At 10 million or so I would be ok with Vaughn for 1 more year. If we could just extend Bauers for 1 year now (say 10 million) we could easily get a young controllable bullpen arm for Vaughn. I cant really see Bauers taking a short term extension. This offseason seems perfectly aligned for him to cash in big. With Fischer, Burke, Adams, and Bitonti at 1st that is the future. I wouldnt be against getting Burke and Fischer to AAA sooner than later with the intention of 2 of those guys taking 1B in 2027.

I two would love Scmitt at 3rd, I would worry about the price. I think to get a guy having a year like Schmitt it would take at least Fischer/Josh A, Hardin/Letson, Bitonti/Dorchies (maybe more). for me that seems like a lot for someone who has struggled in the bigs before this year.

Kevin Gausman and Jeff Hoffman (cash say 5 this year and 3 next) for Crow, O'Rae, and H Encarnacion We get a consistent expeeienced starter slot into the 3/4 spot and an upside pen arm with a year of control. The Jays get an immediate controllable starter and 2 upside bats as well as some salary relief. Depending on how much money they take on we could turn O'Rae into a better prospect like Luke Adams if they take on more.

DSL-Gold scored 2 more, Moneys with a 5 hit, 4 rbi game. This last year's int. class might be catching the Made/Pena class soon. Nuts

Wow, 8 HR in 80 abs with 11 sb, would it be crazy to entertain Matos or another 17 year old to the ACL if they need some reinforcements with Martinez moved up. We have a couple decent 18 year old options like Lista or Moses but Matos, Frontada, and Moneys (among others) seem special.

I think Chris Davis hopefully pre-contract is a good comp.. Both or lefty (right handed arm) power bats with k issues. 3B, 1B, probably try OF.

1 that is a bs call 2 the espn broadcast should not be defending that 3 I know he is young but Mis was in the middle of an interview, I would have liked him to mention what a bad call that was (not really a big deal.

Hopefully we can fair a little better against the left starter than we have recently.

Biloxi lost 14-9 from yesterday's delayed game. Made ended up with 4 hits, Fischer had 2 jacks yesterday, 1 for Ragsdale and Josh A (both AA 1sts). O'Rae stole 2 more bags for 38, a pretty good box score if you skip the pitching. Encarnacion is 2/2 with a HR and Ortuno just drove in 2 with a 2B, both guys over .250 batting, 4-1 Wilson.

That Jaylen Brown trade may be as bad as the Luka deal. We should have tried Herro and Turner with a couple picks (maybe like top 5 protected) for Brown.

If Fischer keeps this up how many games in AA would be a minimum until a promotion 100 abs?150? If he averages a HR every other game he will be knocking at the Brewers door in no time. Do we think Payne, Bitonti, Dinges among other will get a AA call later in July after we sign draft picks to bolster there potential promotions.