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NBBrewFan

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Everything posted by NBBrewFan

  1. There's not one player I would miss if they were traded/released this offseason. Not one.
  2. I wonder if Leblanc is available. He looks like a Brewer.
  3. Did this inning start 2 hours ago or does it just seem like that?
  4. A Roger's Fly ball that didn't land in the stands!!! Celebrate Good Times. Cmon!!
  5. Swinging your head around to see if that ball that sounds and looks like it was crushed, really was crushed, takes it out of the bullpen.
  6. This team has finally morphed into the alter-ego of of it's manager's playing career. One-dimensional with the ability to go 0 for 40.
  7. Good to see Frelick have a full season in the minors when clearly the Brewers major league team didn't need him this year.
  8. Good to see Frelick have a full season in the minors when clearly the Brewers major league team didn't need him this year.
  9. I don't think any one of the remaining games is a must win, they ALL are must win. Not sure a 6-game season ending winning streak is in this team, but we will see.
  10. Isn't that the one you keep as an emergency when you run out of toilet paper?
  11. Is there $8M to spend? If there is then Wong is very good value at $8M. The issue is where do you play him? He should spend a lot less time in the field and against LH pitching (wRC+ vs LH = 33, wRC+ vs RH = 134) and Yelich should see less of the field and more DH with less of a handed bias (wRC+ vs LH = 86, wRC+ vs RH = 118) who really should be the primary DH next season. I guess when a SP has a higher Ground ball rate Yelich is in LF and Wong DH, and a SP with a higher Fly Out rate then Wong is at 2B and Yelich DHs. What we are looking at for offense is adding Frelick and Mitchel/Taylor (full time) to replace McCutcheon and Cain/Taylor then we either Lose Peterson and/or Wong or keep one (I doubt both). That offense would be worse losing both, but about the same if we kept either. What are the plans for Turang? I don't know if the Brewers really want him in Milwaukee next year. So one of Peterson/Wong are likely necessary if they keep Turang in AAA until they see how 2023 is progressing. They could very well run most of the same team back out for 2023 (minus Peterson) and have a similar offense and a better defense/health to pitching which puts us from where we are today to a likely WC spot (maybe a division win/3rd seed if the Cards regress) next year. Personally I don't think they can stay close to the same team and sell the fans (the "Average" fans that drive attendance ) that this team is going to be significantly better. I also don't know if the Brewers see a need for a 3B as they likely could think Urias just had an off year and don't look to upgrade 3B. What we think is the problem with the team may not be what Stearns/Arnold/Counsell think. We'll see which way they are likely headed as Wong's option will likely be one of the first off-season "moves".
  12. In 2018, each MLB team received $209M in revenue sharing (less for the teams who went over the luxury tax). These numbers have only gone up each year as MLB has increasing revenues year-upon-year. In 2020 only 6 teams had local TV deals in excess of $100M with the Dodgers by far the largest at $239M and the other 6 between $100M and $139M). Every one of those deals expires after 2030 so no change year to year or a big uptick. Only the Dodgers make more from their TV rights than revenue sharing, while 25 out of the teams in MLB make 2/3rds of their revenue from REVENUE SHARING. Yes a few teams have very large local TV deals, but most actually run a majority of their operations from revenue sharing. The Brewers will always be behind in local TV because they are the smallest market, but there's plenty of money, if spent wisely for them to compete. I'm not arguing that the playing field is level, but it is much more level for 75% of the teams than most people think.
  13. Revenue Sharing has pretty much made it possible for every team to run a profit unless they spend like a drunken sailor on their first shore leave in 6 months. Nobody needs to open up any books. The numbers for revenue sharing are out there and the team payrolls are too. The uncertainty is where the Team payroll lands as a % of total expenses and most teams are in the 65% - 45% range.
  14. The Brewers have ~$250M in revenues. They can absorb that plus another extension. They just like to pretend they are poor so that the owners can ride the Brinks trucks to the banks with their huge profit each year (>10% dividend). Attanasio bought into Norwich FC because he need's investment and the associated "losses" will offset the profits from the Brewers. He isn't throwing the money away he is going to increase the value of the team which goes into Capital Gains and isn't taxed until sale and at present at a fraction of income.
  15. Well if I knew what would do it I would sell it to the Brewers for $10M and season tickets for 20 years, but since nobody has the answer we can only hope he figures it out at some point. He was pretty much this type of hitter when he was with the Marlins (a little better) then he took off so something clicked in 2018. Let's hope it clicks again.
  16. Kris Bryant signed a $182M contract with the Rockies. He's put up 0.6 fWAR this year (age 30) and has missed significant time with an injury this year and in 2020. Nick Castallanos signed a $100M contract with the Phillies. He's been worse than McCutcheon with a MINUS 0.7 fWAR this year and he should be a DH because he's a butcher in the field. ETC.
  17. Did anywhere in my post and other posts did I say he was meeting the expectations when they signed him? Given his salary and his performance he isn't far from what an average FA puts up. Depending on his age related decline it could be worse, but at present he isn't a massive failure or an albatross.
  18. No it doesn't. Yes over the 7 years there will be decline, but he's literally been the same hitter since 2020 so his age 28, 29, 30 are the same. There isn't a clear path yet to where his performance will go. He could be fine for the next 3 years maybe a bump up without fielding (as the DH) before he starts to decline and who knows what his trajectory will be. As the full time DH I'd say he could easily still have a 3 fWAR year next year with age related declines after that. Pujols put up 5.9 fWAR for $240M dollars - that's an albatross.
  19. He has a wRC+ of 110 which puts him above average. He is still a good baserunner with 17 SB/2 CS, but he is a massive liability as the LF or any other FIELDER. He is suited for DH which takes away his biggest liability and plays to his strength. Have him leadoff (he still has the best OBP on the team) and be the DH with Frelick in either CF or LF depending on who is best in CF or RF between Mitchell and Frelick.
  20. He's not elite but he's far from a "huge albatross". If he was our regular DH he'd be a 2.6-3 WAR player and at his salary that isn't horrible. Just get him out of the field.
  21. Watching the Brewers is like having a root canal without any sedative.
  22. My dead mother could hit a HR off an 87 MPH fastball.
  23. 5 innings from the pen is always an adventure.
  24. And here I was about to post that Houser was settling down as he actually threw 3 balls in the strike zone, then he ends up walking Donovan...
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