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NBBrewFan

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Everything posted by NBBrewFan

  1. NBBrewFan
    That's why I have a "little" sympathy. If they were Cleveland and had this abysmal roster I would have a LOT of sympathy for them even though the Guardians attendance is worse than Cinci and the Guardians are in first place.
  2. NBBrewFan
    maybe that's Hiura's prolem. He doesn't suck enough.
  3. NBBrewFan
    I have a little sympathy for Reds fans. They still have decent attendance considering half their roster has no business playing in the majors. I've never seen so many 30+ year old players with 100 PA or 50 IP in their entire major league career.
  4. NBBrewFan
    Narvaez is productive if it's the first 2 months of an odd year.
  5. NBBrewFan
    I guess the good thing about McCutcheon is that he is so bad at getting good contact that he can't put a ball in play, but he sure can get a lot of foul balls until the pitcher ends up walking him.
  6. NBBrewFan
    I think the reds would be better off if they just held a lottery before each game where a LH fan can get selected to start the night pitching for the Reds. With the Brewers skill at missing left handers they would likely struggle even against someone off the street.
  7. NBBrewFan
    Here are the Brewers MLB rankings for several offensive metrics: BA = 22nd OBP = 13th ISO = 4th This offense is 4th in the majors at hitting extra base hits. That's great, but they are abysmal at hitting singles and pretty average at getting on base (mostly because they can't get hits as their BB% is 4th also). Taking away McCutcheon and Wong and replacing a bunch of CF plate appearances (Cain, Davis and Taylor who are all bad at BA and some slugging issues) you can increase team BA and OBP while only compromising ISO slightly. This team relies so heavily on HR because they pretty much have the same hitter across the board, replacing some of those hitters with higher average/higher OBP hitters should help improve the offenses scoring without giving away much of the power, Looking at Mitchell, he's actually produced better than any other player who's played CF (outside of possibly Tyrone Taylor, but he is the poster child for the bad in this team with over 0.200 ISO, but a 0.280 OBP). Frelick plus Mitchell likely by the end of the year (2023) will be contributing more than we got from our DH and CF this year. Turang if used properly initially (platoon him until he gets acclimated) could also be another higher BA/OBP contributer to the lineup with a lower ISO. The way this offense is currently constructed we can give up a double to get 2 singles and give up a few triples/HR to get 3/4 more singles and be a better offense.
  8. NBBrewFan
    Wong and Urias at 3B are the other 2. They can live with Renfroe in RF and Tellez at 1B if they can improve their LF, 3B, 2B (Urias would likely be average/above at 2B).
  9. NBBrewFan
    That's definitely a way to go that I wouldn't be upset about depending on what they do with the rest of the team this offseason. Personally I would put Yelich as the full time DH (with Renfroe taking some AB), Have Mitchell or Frelick Man CF/LF (maybe with a platoon of Taylor/Mitchell) and Renfroe in RF. I would be fine with a Peterson/Brosseau Platoon at 3B (soft platoon), Adames at SS, and Turang/Urias at 2B. Then get some RP help, and an option for platooning with Tellez at 1B (hopefully with better defense). As I have stated before I would like them to get a cheap vet who could function as the #6 starter so that Ashby goes back to the bullpen as a long man/multi-inning reliever for another year and hope that he can take the next step when they move him back into the rotation. It improves our bullpen internally while still having him as insurance against an injury to a SP (plus Gasser in AAA next year).
  10. NBBrewFan
    I agree they should look for an external option for 3B. I am concerned that we get a JAG if they go the inexpensive route, but take a hit if they have to trade one of Burnes/Woodruff to plug the 3B hole for years to come. As monty said, it will be interesting to see what happens this offseason and how the Brewers approach the impending FA while improving the team.
  11. NBBrewFan
    Because we already have 6 players who are more suited for being DH as they are liabilities in the field, we need the $8M in savings to balance the overall budget/can use it to address other areas as the budget is likely going DOWN. As Monty (and others?) have pointed out, the offensive increase from Wong has been driven primarily from platooning him (less AB against LH and more against RH) which makes him only a platoon option at this point and a DH when he's in the game as his defense is crap. Turang has been young for almost every level he has played at (he is 22 in AAA). The main reason the Brewers have been aggressive with his promotions is that his defense is VERY VERY VERY good. So while he doesn't have the bang of a hitter who has spent 1-2 years at each level, he has near elite/to elite defense as a factor and part of the reason some have suggested moving an elite SS in Adames to 3B to insert another "near elite" defender. Edit: Turang has struggled his first taste at a new level, but has improved with more experience at each level. He will likely struggle with MLB pitching initially (a reason he should be platooned to start the year), but he will improve and with his defense he will likely be more valuable (either outright with his offense/defense or given minimum salary vs $8M).
  12. NBBrewFan
    I imagine they were upset until the next paycheck hit their accounts and then, yay I love getting paid, i mean playing for, the Brewers!
  13. NBBrewFan
    Well there are unbiased sites that use numbers to calculate the odds and the Brewers are behind both the Phillies and Padres for the last 2 spots so while nobody is guaranteed anything until they clinch, the odds are for the Padres and Phillies.
  14. NBBrewFan
    That just doesn't take into the account of the bigger picture. If the defense is significantly better with Adames at 3B (provided he's 100% for it either through an extension or some other inducement), Turang at SS and Urias at 2B than having Turang/Brosseau or Peterson at 3B, Adames at SS and Urias at 2B or Urias at 3B, Adames at SS and Turang at 2B then you should do it. It's the overall performance that matters more than whether 1 player is elite at SS, but the rest of the infield is still subpar.
  15. NBBrewFan
    I've been a proponent of Jung for months, but now that he's up with the Rangers and is striking out 50% of the time it's clear he's no better than Hiura. If they trade for a prospect/Rookie for 3B like Baty or Jung it likely means you've dealt Woodruff or Burnes and that hit to the rotation and the growing pains of that new 3B will likely reduce the multiple apple bites approach for 2023. At that point would it be better to clear out both Woodruff and Burnes and shoot for 2024/2025 as the start of the next multiple apple bites? Personally I don't see Attanasio going that route, I see it most likely they try again with most of the current roster (sans Wong and McCutcheon) and see if Stearns can wheel and deal some upgrades at the fringes (Bullpen, 1B platoon) with Frelick/Mitchell likely taking over 1 full-time OF spot and likely more playing time at another spot. I would prefer they do a larger roster overhaul, I just don't see it given the owners MO.
  16. NBBrewFan
    Can we stop ignoring Mike Brosseau? He's played about 40% of his Innings at 2B in his career with a DRS that is equivalent to 2019 Kolten Wong. His history at 3B isn't as positive, but he's also not as bad as Urias at 3B. You have an excellent platoon partner for Turang whether he is playing 3B or 2B with Brosseau and you are saving about $6m letting Wong go. They could use the $6M to keep Peterson and have a plan to both bring up/play Turang and having backup across the infield. That means no 3B upgrade via trade, but more money for the Bullpen and maybe to sign a veteran 6th SP so Ashby can spend another year in the bullpen as a multi-inning/long relief. Then have Yelich and Renfroe man the DH with Mitchell/Frelick in CF/RF or CF/LF depending on who is DH and maybe add a 1B platoon for Tellez who can also man DH depending on how Frelick/Mitchell are doing.
  17. NBBrewFan
    Plotting so it's a little easier to see (adjusted for fielding Innings): The uncharacteristic data point is OAA for 2019.
  18. NBBrewFan
    That AB to Reynolds is perfect example of the Brewers pitching philosophy. Here's a guy who's 32, with a smattering of Major league experience, a lifetime wRC+ of 74 and an iso of 0.101 and Woodruff is throwing balls a foot off the plate to see if he'll chase, while the 2 strikes he swung at he didn't even make contact. Just throw STRIKES. He won't even hit the ball!!! Treating every hitter like they are Babe Ruth is the reason most of the starters can't get past the 5th inning because they've reached their pitch limit AND it's boring as ****. Next, 3 Balls to Siani then Woodruff has to start throwing strikes because he doesn't want to walk a useless hitter. You would think that our pitchers all have crap stuff and can't get "batters" (loosely with the lineup the Reds trot out there) out unless they chase balls out of the strike zone. Sheeesh.
  19. NBBrewFan
    We're 5 games (including tie-breaker) behind the Padres. I think the realistic chance is to pass the Phillies. So, No you don't.
  20. NBBrewFan
    Greene was giving up a lot of homers the first 2ish months of the season to everybody, but he's been much better since then averaging about 1.5 HR/9IP.
  21. NBBrewFan
    I don't think it's uncharacteristic since he peaked defensively in 2019 and has been getting worse each year since. Last year he was significantly worse than 2019 and this year the trend continues as he is significantly worse than last year.
  22. NBBrewFan
    Good jinx job
  23. NBBrewFan
    I'd feel a lot better if the DL wasn't pushed around more than a group of girl scouts playing their first roller derby game. Haven't seen much from them and maybe with a makeshift Oline for Tampa they can finally live up to the preseason hype, but I'll believe it when I see it.
  24. NBBrewFan
    I think they should look to sign an inexpensive vet for the 6th spot and have Ashby as the long/multi-inning reliever and 1st level depth for SP. Then have someone like Small (if he can figure out where the strike zone is) and Gasser as minor league depth for SP. Hopefully we won't have the same injury situation in 2023.
  25. NBBrewFan
    Barry is coaching as if this would be his last chance if he screws up - play as conservative as possible. I was hoping for a top 10 defense and I think they have the talent, but I have serious doubts he can coach to their level. Brady will pick the defense apart and we'll be wondering how we could lose another game to Tampa when they are down to their 4th/5th WR.
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