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Redd Vencher

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Everything posted by Redd Vencher

  1. Redd Vencher
    Only on one list was he in the top 50. The other lists had him at 69. His peripherals didn't support the 3.01 ERA, and he has a pretty lengthy injury history that probably keeps his value down. He's topped 100 IP twice in his professional career. 100.1 IP in 2018 and 110.1 IP in 2022. There's still a chance he ends up in the bullpen longterm because he can't handle a SP workload.
  2. Redd Vencher
    The idea would be getting a longer term SP for the post 2024 rotation, and using one of our short term SP to address other parts of the roster. Mitchell for Cabrera and Houser for Santander would be a potential way to go about it. With the addition of Miley, you could trade both of Lauer and Houser in this scenario. Current post 2024 rotation. Peralta, Ashby, Gasser, Junk, and Small Potential post 2024 rotation Peralta, Ashby, Cabrera, Gasser, Junk/Small If you could get Woodruff on a Castillo type extension, that would really help.
  3. Redd Vencher
    The idea would be getting a longer term SP for the post 2024 rotation, and using one of our short term SP to address other parts of the roster. Mitchell for Cabrera and Houser for Santander would be a potential way to go about it. With the addition of Miley, you could trade both of Lauer and Houser in this scenario. Current post 2024 rotation. Peralta, Ashby, Gasser, Junk, and Small Potential post 2024 rotation Peralta, Ashby, Cabrera, Gasser, Junk/Small If you could get Woodruff on a Castillo type extension, that would really help.
  4. Redd Vencher
    I thought Arnold signed a 5 year extension last offseason. Am I just misremembering that?
  5. Redd Vencher
    3.50 ERA 4.12 FIP 4.33 xFIP since the Brewers resurrected his career in 2018. Solid SP at a decent price. This is a good move.
  6. Redd Vencher
    They missed on the Urias/Lauer for Grisham/Davies because they use the public prospect lists, and Grisham slipped past and graduated before the lists could catch up. The list makers said he would have been a top 50 prospect going into 2020 had he not burned through his rookie status. The way BTV handled it and nerfed Urias' trade vslue post trade was a poor move on their part.
  7. Redd Vencher
    There was a reported 3 team deal on the table involving Wong that didn't happen. I wonder if it involved the Red Sox.
  8. Redd Vencher
    Against the run environment is the important bit. Back to back 10+% better than league average bat and 2-3 WAR player should make you feel good about an extension especially if you think he takes another step forward as he enters his prime.
  9. Redd Vencher
    A 112 wRC+ to a 110 wRC+ isn't a big drop off from 2021. He posted a 4.4 fWAR/6.2 bWAR over the last 2 seasons, and he's entering his age 26 season.
  10. Redd Vencher
    April 20th assuming no set backs from his recent wrist surgery.
  11. Redd Vencher
    McCutchen isn't currently on the team. Do you want McCutchen back on the roster as a short side platoon bat in the OF?
  12. Redd Vencher
    Here's a list of FA RHB that fit the positions we could use another bat, and their wRC+ v. LHP the last 3 seasons and 2022. v. LHP last 3 seasons. (2022) Pollock 155 wRC+ (161 wRC+) McCutchen 145 wRC+ (106 wRC+) Grossman 139 wRC+ (157 wRC+) Solano 121 wRC+ (112 wRC+) Pinder 118 wRC+ (108 wRC+) Mancini 116 wRC+ (88 wRC+) Pillar 112 wRC+ (only 4 PA) Pham 111 wRC+ (115 wRC+) Harrison 107 wRC+ (95 wRC+) Duvall 95 wRC+ (129 wRC+) Profar 95 wRC+ (115 wRC+) Anderson 83 wRC+ (111 wRC+) Andrus 81 wRC+ (139 wRC+) Pollock would probably number one on my list. Pinder's versatility is an interesting add as an IF/OF. (3B, SS, 2B, LF, and RF)
  13. Redd Vencher
    I suggested a 6 year $56 M with 2 option years for Urias earlier this offseason, so I'm down for extending Urias.
  14. Redd Vencher
    Sounds like the Marlins have been discussing Edward Cabrera at least with the Rockies for Brendan Rogers. Maybe a Mitchell for Cabrera swap could happen.
  15. Redd Vencher
    That's awfully high for arb numbers to get little discount on 1 extra year of control. Murphy signed his with 3 years before FA while Realmuto's was signed in FA. Both players are better than Contreras.
  16. Redd Vencher
    What's your breakdown for a 6 year $40 M extension because that seems high for that type of deal.
  17. Redd Vencher
    Fujinami's posting period is over at the end of the month, so we'll find out shortly where or if he signs with a big league club.
  18. Redd Vencher
    I would have definitely done this deal with Segura. I wonder what the Marlins' plans are with him and Jazz Chisolm.
  19. Redd Vencher
    Was Wong less risky? He set career best offensive seasons in his 2 years with the Brewers. Does he maintain that in 2023 or does he return to Cardinals Wong without the elite defense?
  20. Redd Vencher
    Hiura has a consistent hole in his swing dating back to his rookie season that he hasn't shown he can close yet. Until that happens, he's going to continue to struggle making consistent contact.
  21. Redd Vencher
    Based on the actual performance, those 3 were better last year. Based on the expected performance stats from statcast, Winker was better than all 3 last year. He had a BABIP .046 points below his career average last season. His career numbers dwarf their career numbers.
  22. Redd Vencher
    Last year's version of Winker is still an above average hitter.
  23. Redd Vencher
    This guy has 0 inside information. In the reaction to the Wong trade, he said the Mariners had to have been a new development despite Morosi reporting the Mariners contacted the Brewers a week before the poster's Thanksgiving thread. In the Thanksgiving thread, he said the Brewers purposely took a losing trad in the Hader deal because of their reputation of raking other teams over the coals. Now that Ruiz netted them Contreras, Payamps, and Yeager, he's talking about how the scouts loved Ruiz. This is the HighHeat19 stuff all over again.
  24. Redd Vencher
    All indications are pointing to the Dodgers releasing Bauer.
  25. Redd Vencher
    There's only 15 (11.4%) instances of top 3 finishes in ROY with less than 400 PA, and one of them was Ohtani who also had 50+ IP his rookie year. Only 2 (1.5%) of those 15 had less than 300 PA. (2006 Francoeur and 2016 Sanchez) 400 PA and 100 IP seems to be a pretty reasonable cutoff when analyzing this question. Obviously, an outlier performance can still get in the top 3, but you're not going to make a decision expecting an outlier performance to happen.
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