Redd Vencher
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Everything posted by Redd Vencher
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Moving payroll im 2023 does nothing for future payroll that extensions would cover, so number 1 is just a wrong premise to begin with. Winker is that potential impact bat for the lineup. Renfroe's 2022 was the best offensive season of his career with a 124 wRC+. Winker's career average season is 126 wRC+, which is 10% better than Renfroe's career 116 wRC+. Winker's best production was a 147 wRC+ is basically 2022 Juan Soto (145), Julio Rodriguez (146), and Yandy Diaz (146). Even his career wost season in 2022 was still a 108 wRC+ and 10% better than McCutchen gave us. (98) Using WAR when discussing whether an offensive improvement is made. Since Winker is going to be the primary DH, it's highly unlikely he produces a 2+ WAR because fulltime DH lose 1.5-2.0 WAR just for being fulltime DH's. The WAR being made up is going to come from what we play in RF and 2B or depending on where Urias plays.
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We've pushed Jason Alexander further down the depth chart. It's hard to get a more proven veteran who could make starts when the Brewers are 6 deep in the rotation already, but improving that 7, 8, and 9 starter goes a long way to solving last year's problem.
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We've pushed Jason Alexander further down the depth chart. It's hard to get a more proven veteran who could make starts when the Brewers are 6 deep in the rotation already, but improving that 7, 8, and 9 starter goes a long way to solving last year's problem.
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It fits the oppoertunistic angle they go for. Find the the value where you can get it instead of feeling forced to overpay for something obvious.
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It fits the oppoertunistic angle they go for. Find the the value where you can get it instead of feeling forced to overpay for something obvious.
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They talked about improving the pitching depth especially for the rotation earlier in the offseason, and they've done that so far.
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They talked about improving the pitching depth especially for the rotation earlier in the offseason, and they've done that so far.
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Article: Brandon Drury is a Perfect Fit for the Brewers
Redd Vencher replied to Tim Muma's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Drury isn't an upgrade over Urias. -
Rogers 24 G 23.0 IP 5.48 ERA 7/10 SVHLD 17 scoreless, four 1 run, and three 4 run. Hader 19 G 16.0 IP 7.31 ERA 7/9 SVHLD 14 scoreless, two 1 run, two 3 run, and one 6 run. Was shutdown for 2 weeks in August as well. Mosr of the blown saves occurred before the 8th inning, so having Hader doesn't solve that. 17 BS in 14 G with a 3-11 record in those games. Brewers were 2 games under .500 the 2 months before the Hader trade and 2 games under .500 post trade. The Hader trade didn't sink the season.
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Rogers outpitched Hader post trade.
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Winker had a 108 wRC+ last season in a down year with a career 126 wRC+. Seattle is a pretty extreme pitcher's park. He makes contact (career 17.1% K%) and walks a lot (career 12.9% BB%). He should see almost no time in the field because he's bad defensively, but the potential is there for a middle of the order bat.
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Mitchell isn't maintaining a .548 BABIP over a significant stretch.
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The offense was good last year, and it accomplished by really having a hole in the lineup. Are biggest hole over the entire season was C, but that's because Caratini and Narvaez fell completely off a cliff after the trade deadline. They were right to attack the pitching that had been an issue, and they probably should have grabbed a SP in hindsight.
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It's not the best rule, so I imagine it gets reworked in the next CBA. I think it pretty much guarantees that Chourio isn't up before September next year, so we don't lose the extra year if he forces the issue midseason and performs well.
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Not necessarily OD, but they have to accrue a full service year to be eligible for the draft pick, which might as well be OD.
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If they feel Frelick and/or Wiemer can win ROTY, they need to be on the OD roster to be eligible for the comp pick for doing so.
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Too Early 2023 Ideas (or beyond)
Redd Vencher replied to jay87shot's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
You do know MLB Marathon just makes rumors up for engagement, right? -
Abreu or Bell wouldn't be replacing Tellez. They'd be replacing McCutchen and his 98 wRC+ last year.
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Abreu or Bell wouldn't be replacing Tellez. They'd be replacing McCutchen and his 98 wRC+ last year.
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You have defensive metrics. DRS says he's elite at 3B in his career, UZR says he's average, and OAA says he's below average. 2 of the 3 available metrics rate him average or better. That suggests more time unless you find a better bat to play the position. Just because scouting reports say someone is an 'elite' defensive player doesn't mean they actually will be in the majors. Orlando Arcia was a top 10 prospect in baseball because scouts saw an elite defender, and that never materialized in the majors. He was average at best at SS.
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You have defensive metrics. DRS says he's elite at 3B in his career, UZR says he's average, and OAA says he's below average. 2 of the 3 available metrics rate him average or better. That suggests more time unless you find a better bat to play the position. Just because scouting reports say someone is an 'elite' defensive player doesn't mean they actually will be in the majors. Orlando Arcia was a top 10 prospect in baseball because scouts saw an elite defender, and that never materialized in the majors. He was average at best at SS.
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With any defensive metric you need about 3000 innings before they stabilize. He has less than 1200 innings at 3B in his career, which isn't even a full season. +10 DRS -0.1 UZR -3 OAA.
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With any defensive metric you need about 3000 innings before they stabilize. He has less than 1200 innings at 3B in his career, which isn't even a full season. +10 DRS -0.1 UZR -3 OAA.
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A guy who put up a 111 wRC+ 4.4 fWAR 6.2 bWAR over the last 2 seasons isn't a hole at 3B. We've basically got Mike Moustakas over there right now. This isn't to say I'm against doing better than that at 3B as I proposed acquiring Yandy Diaz to take the 50-55% of the innings over there in my roster blueprint, but it's silly to look at it as a hole.
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A guy who put up a 111 wRC+ 4.4 fWAR 6.2 bWAR over the last 2 seasons isn't a hole at 3B. We've basically got Mike Moustakas over there right now. This isn't to say I'm against doing better than that at 3B as I proposed acquiring Yandy Diaz to take the 50-55% of the innings over there in my roster blueprint, but it's silly to look at it as a hole.
