Not to go all math-nerd and derail the thread, but wouldn't each outing be considered an independent event and, thusly, not guarantee a regression to the mean? Also, we don't really know what the mean is from year to year, as a myriad of non-mathematical things (like tipping pitches, injuries, loss of control/confidence) can have a negative effect on what "should" be the mean. Just because a player is having a rougher season than normal does not necessarily imply that he will have moments of greatness to make up for it. Derrick Turnbow and Dan Kolb would be two recent Brewer examples that come to mind. Of course, it is only early May. 6-game losing streaks do weird things to the mind.