At the risk of a huge reply, what did you do to convert the Pythagorean Win/Loss % to probability, and then probability to probability with home/road? Excellent post, I was just curious on the calculations..
Although he now has 2 bombs this year, it sounds like Prince definately needs some Tom Emanski in his DVD collection. Hard to tell over the radio how bad those throws were, but 2 throws just ate him up. Here's hoping the defense comes together this season.