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DougJones43

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Everything posted by DougJones43

  1. DougJones43
    It's happening.
  2. DougJones43
    Thanks for the new sig. Oh yeah, boo.
  3. DougJones43
    'Clutch' is also a stat that's listed on the fangraphs website. It should be in one of the columns near WPA. Obviously, WPA is a more informative stat about a player's true overall value and contributions, but the clutch stat seemed relevant to examine here because it compares how players have performed in high-leverage at-bats versus how they hit the rest of the time. That is what the thread is about, after all. I'm sure it's flawed (like most stats are), but I thought it was interesting to at least look at, to see if there is actually any substance to the idea that Fielder's performance has dropped this year in high-leverage situations. Turns out it has, slightly. And that's in addition to the fact that his overall performance has dropped dramatically.
  4. DougJones43
    Those numbers fail to take many clutch, truly game-breaking things into account that WPA type stats include. Double plays are much worse than creating one out, but are not taken into account. How many runners were on base? Was it the third out? What was the exact situation? A-Rod could have hit a solo HR in the 9th while down by 3 runs, and it would give him the same 'close and late OPS' score as somebody hitting a grand slam down by 3 runs in the same situation. Obviously, those two outcomes have drastically different effects on improving the chances of winning a game during a clutch situation. edit: Also, this stat compares their "clutch" performance to "context neutral" performance. So, the fact that Rodriguez suffers a dramatic dropoff in numbers during clutch situations hurts him. On the other hand, Lopez is not nearly as good normally, but has performed much better in at-bats that were more influential in determining the outcome of the game.
  5. DougJones43
    I was just posting the numbers. I agree that clutch ratings don't make for good predictive tools -- that is, it's probably not a true "skill" that can be continuously repeated. However, like it or not, it does offer factual information on what that player has done in that season. Maybe it doesn't mean much about his real ability, but A-Rod has been horrible in clutch situations this year, it's a fact. Prince has been slightly below average as well. Last year, A-Rod was great in the clutch, and Prince was slightly above average.
  6. DougJones43
    Come on man. Are we seriously giving credit now for turning double plays that should be completed pretty routinely? The fact that you have to point out Weeks successfully completed two whole double plays speaks volumes about him...
  7. DougJones43
    It's the in-game thread. It's generally considered a place where more emotional, and less-well-thought-out posts are somewhat expected and acceptable. If you don't like that kind of stuff, avoid in-game threads and probably the vent thread. Stick to the rest of the stuff in Major League forum. And for the record, at the time I wrote it, I really felt in my heart that Prince was being a big smelly turd. It was just for poops and giggles. Relax.
  8. DougJones43
    You finally hit the nail on the head. You keep (mistakenly) thinking that all the vitriol is about this one game. It's not. Like I said, it's a compilation of all of the blunders he always makes. That's why people give somebody like Hart a break, even when he has a bad game. All things considered, Hart has proven himself to be a competent baseball player. Weeks is anything but. It's great that he finally got a few hits, but it's pretty fleeting when he does two bone-headed things later in that very game. Also, if you look back through the thread, you'll see a lot of people are starting to get down on Prince -- so it's not just Weeks. He's just the primary mistake-maker on the team.
  9. DougJones43
    For me, it's not so much about what it "proves" at this point, but what the ramifications of these losses could be as far as making the playoffs. I'm starting to get a little worried myself. Statistically, the Brewers are supposed to still have about a 93% chance to make the playoffs. For whatever reason though, I'm not getting much reassurance from that. I'm sure an argument can be made that it was just "noise" or a bad coincidence, but Ned's two monumental second-half collapses keep creeping into my brain. As a Brewer fan, I feel as though I've been bred to expect failure and fantasize about worst case scenarios. I never think this way late in games, or late in seasons about the Packers.
  10. DougJones43
    I'm not sure if it is a "mental strength" issue, but the team's poor fundamentals and constant mental blunders do seem like something to be concerned about going forward.
  11. DougJones43
    I'm still not sure how that makes it acceptable. Are all stupid mistakes okay, if you can't prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that cost the team a run or the game? Making up strawman quotes that don't represent what anybody actually thinks. A true sign of desperation for somebody who doesn't have much to fall back on while debating.
  12. DougJones43
    Did you even read my post? The general idea behind it was that he doesn't necessarily have to be fully to blame for a loss, in order to be completely disappointed with his play. For the record, I do think he was a factor in the loss tonight. Maybe only like 10%, but still, it's just something that gets added to the compilation that is his career filled with bad at-bats, piss poor fielding, and stupid decisions. He did have some nice hits tonight, but it doesn't mean much when you can't make routine, fundamental plays during the rest of the game.
  13. DougJones43
    Well, per Fangraph's rating for clutch, Prince hasn't been good, but he hasn't really been horrible either. He does have a negative rating, of minus .09. This means he's cost the Brewers about one-tenth of a win during clutch situations -- he's done slightly more harm than good. His contributions in these situations have, overall, left the Brewers less likely to win these games then when he came to bat. Alex Rodriguez has been far and away the worst clutch player in baseball this season, with a rating of negative 2.70. Jose Lopez and Lance Berkman have been the best. For reference, here is how Fangraphs defines their clutch rating: Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment.
  14. DougJones43
    Why does this game have to be 100% Weeks' fault in order to be upset that he constantly makes stupid, costly mental errors? He gets thrown out jogging to second, drops a throw right in his glove that leads to the game-losing run, and then strikes out to end the game. But it's okay because other players are at fault too? No, it doesn't make it okay. Weeks is a complete disappointment as a baseball player. When he took off for third while Suppan was still standing there a couple of days ago, I realized his mental capacity hasn't improved one iota since he entered the league.
  15. DougJones43
    I hate you Rickie Weeks. What a disheartening game to watch.
  16. DougJones43
    Weeks is a choke artist. I'd be pleasantly surprised if he didn't strike out or pop up on the first pitch.
  17. DougJones43
    TGJ looks like he's wearing skateboarding shoes.
  18. DougJones43
    You're only setting yourself up to be disappointed if you believe there's even a chance of this happening. Even with all the call-ups, it won't. Once you accept that Ned is dumb and won't change, it's easier to not get so mad - you just expect it.Jason Kendall just gained like 30 pounds and started batting lefty, apparently. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif Ned's actually pinch-hitting for Kendall...maybe the sky really is falling. I stand corrected. Color me impressed. And surprise, it actually worked! Maybe he should have been doing it more often.
  19. DougJones43
    Still Rickie Weeks. He is easily one of the dumbest players to ever don a uniform. His constant brain farts are maddening. This is his fourth year, but he still plays like a rookie. I can't stand the guy. I want him off the team.
  20. DougJones43
    You're only setting yourself up to be disappointed if you believe there's even a chance of this happening. Even with all the call-ups, it won't. Once you accept that Ned is dumb and won't change, it's easier to not get so mad - you just expect it.
  21. DougJones43
    I swear Brewers management must have instructed the official scorer to stop giving so many errors to Weeks. It seems like everything with him is ruled a hit, or an error on somebody else. Probably so they can't point to his reduction in errors as "proof" that he's a much improved defender, when in all actuality, he's still completely awful.
  22. DougJones43
    OMG. I can't stand Weeks. The guy is just too stupid to be useful. He's actually hit well tonight (for once) but bad fielding and baserunning negate it. He never seems to learn anything. He's like a permanent rookie. This is your 4th year, loser. Act like it, or get lost.
  23. DougJones43
    That was an amazing play against Hart. Not much you can do about that. Geez. I have to believe if we didn't have the 2 stupidest people in all of baseball (Sveum and Weeks), we would have won this game.
  24. DougJones43
    Good lord, Prince is definitely a big, fat, SMELLY turd.
  25. DougJones43
    Come on, Prince. Time to prove that you're not a big fat turd.
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