DougJones43
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Everything posted by DougJones43
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2009 Post-Season: Who you got & Who you want?
DougJones43 replied to lcbj68c's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
A-Rod is at the current moment 0-for-7 in the series with 5 strikeouts. If he continues to struggle for a few more games and the Yankees lose the series, he will go back to being considered a choke artist despite hitting well earlier in the playoffs. There's still hope! I just don't like him, and I hope his legacy goes down as a ball-slapping steroid user who (right or wrong) couldn't come up big in important games. -
Is Chuck the new Scott Bartell??
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I had an early Halloween party this past weekend, and my zombie Billy Mays costume was quite well-received. If you can sprout enough of a beard to fill in with black makeup, and don't mind being in questionable taste, I highly recommend the costume.
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I love the crushed pepper they put on the bottom of the deep dish.
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If there ever are instances of a game being fixed at the professional level (I'm looking at you, NBA), I would assume it would come in the form of the officiating. The players make enough money that they don't need to resort to that. Also, with how often they switch teams and stuff, I just don't think it's possible that players would be involved with fixing games because somebody would have blown the whistle by now.
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I've never been interested in the playoffs
DougJones43 replied to jerichoholicninja's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
The only interest I have is rooting against certain teams -- usually the Yankees or Cubs. I always pull for any small market teams as well, but that's already done for this year. -
Or maybe it will give a bad name to those who decide what gets coverage on television news. All the networks got played by this non-story, while actual real stuff was happening in the world. They got caught chasing a spectacular nothing while the kid is hiding in his own house the whole time. God forbid they get scooped by the other channels. . .chumps.The worst part is that the coverage continued (including interviews with the hoax family) AFTER it was found out that nothing actually happened. So, basically the news media feels the two biggest news stories in our world are Jon and Kate, and a kid hiding in his garage.
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There's no doubt in my mind this improvement is a direct result of him being in such good shape this season. I agree though, that his height and inability to dig throws still makes him a below average defender. At least he's not totally awful anymore though.
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I would definitely have to say some kind of super-virus is the most likely threat posed to humanity.
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Somebody give this guy a cookie. Nicely done. How can you not be results oriented when the object of the thread was to predict the results?? This wasn't the "determine the true talent level of the club if everything happens as expected" thread. I don't see why you can't just admit that in reality the team was 8 wins worse than you thought, and just be okay with that outcome. Not terrible, but still wrong. Not horrible, but still wrong. Or you could look at how many runs they scored, how many runs they allowed, and how many games they won.
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Narveson looks like he has some decent peripherals, albeit in limited work this year. He averaged about 1 K per inning, and his K/BB was 3.15. He throws hard enough, and was a well regarded prospect at one time I believe. Also, LHP seem to develop a bit later than RHP, and Narveson is 27-years-old, which would be the time for him to put things together if he was ever going to. Maybe he could turn out to be a Capuano type pitcher? I really don't know. Looper figures to get even worse next year as he turns 35. I'd prefer to see Narveson get a shot next year over Looper. If we can get someone better than both of them that would be ideal, and in that case Narveson would make for good depth at AAA.
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Mercy. Uncle. Do the Brewers have a "safe word"??
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Another notable fact: The average OPS of NL All-Star starters was .843 (.899 if you don't count the pitcher). That means having Suppan on the mound is essentially like facing the NL All-Star starting lineup every game...without the pitcher's spot!! Also, something that will really put the awfulness of the starting staff into perspective for those who don't like ERA. Of the 67 NL pitchers who pitched at least 100 innings, 4 of our starters appear in the bottom 7 slots for OPS against. Truly one of the worst starting staffs ever put onto a baseball field.
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Its below average, and bad for a team with playoff asperations. Plus, it's not really fair to compare him to all MLB starters. He has the advantage of pitching in the NL, where the overall ERA of starters is 0.27 points lower than the AL counterparts.
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This is another case of Milwaukee's lack of depth making something like this more destructive than it would be for other teams. A team with any other viable options would have pulled the plug on a guy getting shelled that badly way before June 13th. They also would have had the luxury of leaving him at AAA longer to get back on track. So again, if a team leaves itself no choice but to continue to play somebody who is grossly underacheiving, it's hard to view that player's negative effect on the team as some kind of bad luck, unavoidable circumstance.
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Well, not to toot my own horn (okay, to kind of toot my own horn), but recognizing the lack of depth was part of what figured into my prediction. I said: I just expect that this team isn't going to get some of the lucky breaks they got last year, and I think the relative health...was pretty lucky. Given the lack of depth in several areas, I think even a few poorly placed injuries could really bring the team down. Anybody (including Melvin) who just assumed everybody was going to stay healthy and play up to their projections was setting themselves up for failure. We had most of our key, core players stay healthy (Fielder, Braun, Hardy, Gallardo, Parra). We also had a number of guys over-acheive (McGehee, Counsell, Fielder, Hoffman, Coffey, Felipe Lopez, Vargas), so I think this whole notion that it was a worst case scenario where "everything went wrong" for the Brewers this year is hogwash. Point is, predicting something can involve more than just "here's what the projections are, so that's the only logical prediction." A lot of it is just guessing yes, but there are also numerous things about this club that people factored in, that maybe didn't show up in the projected numbers.
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It wasn't meant to be taken seriously. And I agree with AJAY -- no way is Suppan even an innings eater at this point. He's averaging less than 5.2 innings per start. His longest start was 7.0 innings, which he only did 4 times. I don't think you can call a guy an innings eater when he never recorded an out in the 8th inning a single time all season.
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In case anybody was wondering, Suppan needs to give up 13 earned runs (without recording an out) to finish the season with an ERA above 6. That would give us 3 starters with an ERA over 6, which would have to be some kind of world record. It's not likely to happen, but you never know!
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How long of a leash would you give Suppan?
DougJones43 replied to DougJones43's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
The problem is, he was not being counted on by the team to put up 5th starter type numbers this season. Soup started opening day, and Braden Looper (if anyone) was the one they had chalked up to the 5th spot in the rotation. That's the issue I have with the "he's fine -- he's putting up okay numbers for the 5th starter" argument. You can't just ignore the fact that he wasn't actually the 5th starter on the team. As an organization, you simply can't find it acceptable to have any more than one pitcher putting up those kind of numbers, and the Brewers already had/have a couple of those guys. -
How long of a leash would you give Suppan?
DougJones43 replied to DougJones43's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Sorry everyone, for "freaking out over one bad start" at the beginning of this season. Oh wait, nevermind. Suppan is crap. -
The Yankees are not at all a model franchise, IMO. They missed the playoffs last year, and finished 3rd in their division -- all with a $209M payroll, which was over $70M more than the next closest team. To get those results with that kind of advantage is embarassing. I envy the Twins quite a bit. Imagine if they had the stadium, attendance, and payroll resources that Melvin has.
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Why Do Some Want to Fire Melvin?
DougJones43 replied to zzzmanwitz's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Posturing for what? He isn't trying to trade Looper or anything. What could he possibly have to gain by talking about Looper's win totals and leaning toward picking up the option? It's not like there's some kind of leverage at stake. Either you pick up the option or you don't. That means the only "posturing" this could be is Melvin trying to defend his own move, which isn't really posturing for anything except Melvin's own image. And at some point, when you say dumb things AND get poor results, it is time to read into what he's doing. -
Why Do Some Want to Fire Melvin?
DougJones43 replied to zzzmanwitz's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I imagine if Steve Phillips or somebody had made the comment about a pitcher being good because of wins, he would be mocked and called an idiot by a certain group. When the moustached one says it about his crappy acquisition though, it is easily overlooked by many. -
- Finish .500 or better - Don't get thrashed by the Cubs anymore - Prince hits .300 - Jason Kendall announces his retirement immediately following the season finale, in which he had the game winning hit (an infield single that blooped over the head of the pitcher and landed in front of the middle infielders)
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He now leads the NL with 90 BB. His walk rate this year is way above what it was in 2007/2008, and it seems to prevent him from going deep into games as often as he could be. He's still managed to get pretty good results, but it could be a lot better if he tightens up his command a little. I'm hoping it's a mixture of rust (earlier in the year), and now fatigue -- all due to his lack of innings pitched in 2008.
