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And That

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Everything posted by And That

  1. Watching the video, it's amazing how apparently effortless his power can be - just a little weight shift and POW.
  2. http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/01/twins-interest-will-smith-brewers-trade.html At least according to Darren Wolfson, local beat writer. Don't think they'd give up Jay for him - maybe Gonsalves? I would personally demand Trey Cabbage.
  3. He was non-tendered. He's still arbitration eligible and the Brewers hold his rights through 2018, if they so desire.
  4. http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/01/royals-to-re-sign-alex-gordon.html Looks to me like the Royals got a good hometown discount. I thought he would have gotten a lot closer to $100 mil guaranteed and/or $20 mil AAV. The impact on the Brewers is, one less valuable corner OF available on the market.
  5. Nationals Have Explored Trade Market For Catchers
  6. Stearns has said that there isn't a timetable on the rebuild, but it seems to me that going after prospects in the lower minors is more a function of having more prospect depth in the upper minors than anything to do with a timetable anyway. Stearns has also spoken about keeping a stream of quality talent coming into the big leagues as a linchpin for the franchise's success. If the top cupboard is getting full, start filling up the bottom cupboard.
  7. Davis drew a lot more walks in the minors than he ever has in a Brewers uniform, so in my opinion there is a fair amount of room there where he could realistically improve, even after last year's walk rate bump. I don't think it is out of the question that he could post a .340-.350 OBP if he hits .250. The question is whether other teams are optimistic or not about the chances of his plate discipline improving. If some are, he definitely has a market right now despite the presence of Upton, Cespedes, and Gordon. And his contract may make him a better value for a team than signing one of those guys, even if they had to give the Brewers a few good prospects. Of course his market also depends on how much other teams value defense. That arm, oy vey.
  8. A big FWIW, but Fangraphs has the Brewers at a projected 25.4 WAR heading into next year, with the roster as currently constructed. That's about 73 wins. Worse than all but three teams.
  9. It might make sense as a 3-way trade with Plouffe going somewhere else and prospects going to the Brewers/Twins.
  10. One - Parra, who I forgot to include in my list but included in the total. Like I said, about 6. And completely ignores the bad players the Brewers may well field in 2016. Again, where on the current roster are the Brewers replacing 6-7 WAR worth of production at 3B/CF/1B? As it currently stands, they are a demonstrably worse offensive team heading into 2016.
  11. About 6... there you go. Fair enough, but where on the current roster are the Brewers getting definite above-replacement level production from any of the CF/3B/1B positions?
  12. Yep, if the Brewers want Fields they need to DFA someone else and claim him on waivers. And then probably DFA him again in hopes he gets through waivers so they can outright him to the minors.
  13. Gomez, Lind and Rogers had about 6 fWAR between them. That's not nothing. If you assume they will be replaced by replacement level players in 2016, that's a pretty big step back on a team that doesn't have a ton of room to step back. I do agree though that I'd take the under on 100 losses, and maybe 95 as well. Unless they have major injury problems, this is not a truly wretched team. If Garza bounces back, they have a chance to have an above average pitching staff. The offense might well be awful, but with a few breakout years you never know. Plus the Brewers never really seem to get where they need to go, whether it's the World Series or the #1 draft pick.
  14. This is exactly right. If they don't spend money on salaries this year, it does not mean that cash will be available in the club's bank account for spending later, per se. In years when the team needs extra cash due to a payroll bump, the owners can/do make contributions to the team to increase their equity stake in the club. In years like 2016 when it looks like they will have more cash than they need, they'll make distributions to the owners (reducing their equity, offset by any revenue) to cover taxes as monty mentions above. Baseball/LLC budgets are generally very much a year to year thing that try to be as lean on cash as is prudent. They usually won't build a huge cash stake in the LLC to fund post-current year expenses. As my boss says, "better the money in my bank account than the corporation's bank account." If the club needs the money later, they'll ask the owners for it. You have to remember that Mark Attanasio (and the rest of the owners), and the Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Club are two very different legal entities whose finances do not in any way mirror each other's.
  15. He's a small switch hitter with some plate discipline who can play multiple positions... how did we not see this coming? Edit: The only other guy on MLBTR's free agent tracker who really meets these qualifications is Jonathan Herrera, but he's going to be 31 next year. I'm sure there are some minor league free agents still out there like this, though. I'll comb through that list some other time.
  16. Let's try to get away from the "there's no way it will happen" thing - that's not the point of the question in the OP. Even if there's only the tiniest sliver of a chance that the Brewers are playing .600 in May - which there is - then the hypothetical is valid. I don't think anyone is saying it is likely, or maybe even remotely likely to happen. As for me, given Stearns' manta of "young, controllable talent", I would be extremely surprised if the Brewers would be buyers in May or early June. With the addition of the second wild card, more teams are still very much in playoff contention at that time of year (or at least they perceive themselves to be), so getting value in the form of established major leaguers is difficult at that point on the baseball calendar. If they are buying in June, it will be clear that Attanasio has not learned his lesson and will once again get caught in a mirage. It would be a disturbing omen for the long term future of the franchise.
  17. Exactly. None of the guys claimed yesterday mean that the Brewers are now definitely going to trade player x or definitely not going to sign player y. They are just filling roster spots. If/when something better comes along, Wilkins or Nieuwenhuis or Peterson or whomever is going to get dropped. The only surprising thing to me was that it took them so long to fill the three open spots on the 40-man. I wonder if they were planning a trade for 40-man talent that they thought would come to fruition by now. Or maybe they were just waiting for guys they liked. Who knows? And it doesn't really matter.
  18. And Connor Baits was not released. If there's hope for Connor Baits, there's hope for us all. 23:1 BB:K ratio be damned.
  19. Osmel Perez survives another year.
  20. It may well be a waste of time, but the 2016 roster is shaping up to more or less be a waste of time, so really the move fits in.
  21. Pinto stinks defensively, at least last that I saw him play. Honestly, I like Pina and Garcia more, but with a 40-man spot open, why not?
  22. If memory serves, he's a pretty well regarded defender. Possible soft platoon-mate with Broxton?
  23. Leake was the one FA pitcher I was kind of hoping the Brewers would have been in on. Apparently not. Probably good move for the Cardinals, and for the Brewers if it means a few more losses in the next couple of seasons.
  24. Stop. Oh, ok. Anyone who builds a team solely based on analytics is going to lose same as anyone who builds it solely based on what they see. It's fine line and both must be used I think most people here agree with that. You seem to be on a mission to be as condescending as possible in an effort to call out people who quote stats. You can stop, or you can go.
  25. One other thing I wanted to mention is that the Brewers currently have a lot of players in the lower levels of the minor league system, more than I can offhand remember them ever having. They could easily field full teams right now in the Pioneer League, Arizona League, and DSL. In the very recent past, they've had trouble getting full rosters right up to the point where those short season leagues began. Case in point, I have the following pitchers legitimately competing for, but not currently making, the Wisconsin roster out of spring training: Milton Gomez, Nate Griep, J.B. Kole, Jordan Yamamoto, Miguel Diaz, Gentry Fortuno, Orlando Torrez, Jordan Desguin, Freddy Peralta, Trey Supak, Drake Owenby, Bubba Blau, Alex Farina, Caleb Smith, Aaron Myers, Scott Grist, Juan Rincon, Jon Olczak, Luke Curtis, Shawn Clowers, Trevor Lubking, Brad Kuntz, Quintin Torres-Costa, Luis Ortega (bumped from the projection above with the Hagadone acquisition trickle down), Mike Peterson, Boanerges Nova, Colton Cross, Jose Flores, Jack Finnegan, David Lucroy, Rodrigo Benoit, Karsen Lindell, and probably more when additional pitchers are acquired further up the food chain. There might be close to 40 pitchers who will be given the chance to but will not make the Timber Rattler pitching staff. That's pretty nuts.
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