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adambr2

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Everything posted by adambr2

  1. adambr2
    There really is no "getting it right". Big FA deals will almost all be great on the front end and terrible on the back end. Cain was fantastic his first year but will almost assuredly be a bad deal on the back end. It's more about picking and choosing your spots and I'd rather pick those spots while Yelich is still here and not trust the Sogars/Gyorko typea of the world to put us over the top. I understand we will always have payroll constraints but I continue to think Donaldson would have been a good value for us at this time because of where we're at.
  2. adambr2
    From an East standings point of view I don't think any one game is very important. No one is catching the Bucks in the East. Even if we only closed out the season at 24-16 which would be a big swoon we would still win 60 games and I don't think anyone in the East is going to touch that. It is potentially important to finish with a better record than every West team though. As far as the Celtics themselves go I'll be more curious to see how we match up this time against a potential playoff opponent that we lost to earlier this season.
  3. adambr2

    Pizza

    adambr2 replied to homer's topic in Off-Topic Forum

    I know pineapple on pizza is a love it or hate it thing but I really am indifferent to it. It doesn't bother me, nor is it my favorite. I'll eat it.
  4. adambr2
    Yeah I get that they have to time the markets right and I agree they might have been surprised by how robust this FA market is. I certainly didn't expect us to be involved in bidding for Rendon or Strasburg or Cole. But when I saw Donaldson's deal i thought, that's a feasible deal at an enormous upgrade at a position of need and there's no reason we couldn't at least have been involved at that level of bidding. I would guess that Donaldson is an elite player for two more years, average for one and below average for the 4th and to me that would be worth it right now for where we're at. But I realize that's just my own projection and no one knows for sure right now.
  5. adambr2
    He didn't deserve it, IMO. OPS+ of 103 in 2003, 80 in that 2004 season derailed by injury, and 112 in a part-time role in 2005. What adjective would you apply to a player who has 1000+ PA with the Brewers and puts up a ZERO yes, ZERO fWAR? (reminder to those who aren't familiar with WAR, a zero WAR means that any old has-been could be picked up off the free agent waiver wire and paid minimum wage and likely perform just as well). Eric Gagne gave us -1 fWAR for 10 million. Why wasn't he despised like Helms?
  6. adambr2
    "Every team has done this to some extent" is bogus IMO. That's like comparing the boy stealing the candy bar from the convenience store to the man holding the bank teller at gunpoint. Yeah, every team has used pine tar and stolen a sign when a guy was tipping pitches. Not every team had a sophisticated system of cameras and decoding specifically designed for the purpose of stealing signs. (Stealing signs by traditional means isn't against the rules, BTW. Stealing signs using digital means is.)
  7. adambr2
    So what exactly do you want to do with our excess payroll money every year? You're going to have to take some shots knowing that they're not going to work out great on the back end. May as well do them when you've made the playoffs two years in a row and have never won a World Series and have an MVP caliber player to build around.
  8. adambr2
    Yelich has a longer list of injury history and will be 31 moving forward from his current contract. So why is Donaldson's bump in the road and age a concern, but not Yelich's? Yelich's best season to War sits 3rd for Donaldson. Because 3 years makes a huge difference when handing out long-term deals. To put it in perspective, Donaldson is only two years younger than Ryan Braun, who despite continuing to put up solid numbers, most everyone considers over the hill. Braun hasn't been in the same stratosphere as Donaldson value-wise since 2012. If Braun had only has one season under a 5 WAR in his last 7 seasons, we wouldn't be able to pick up his 2021 option fast enough despite his age. In addition, you're not going to get Yelich on a 4 year extension at age 31. It would take at least 7 years, putting him at the same age as Donaldson when their respective contracts would expire. So there's no less risk there and arguably more.
  9. adambr2
    Well, Braun is not a great comparable as he had 5 years remaining on his deal at the time he signed an additional 5/105. That was simply a really early extension, nothing to do with free agency. Cain was fantastic in 2018 and serviceable in 2019. Serviceable is probably all we can expect going forward, but I don't think he's going to end up as a bad value at 5/80. The reality is most of the value of these is going to be in early years, but if you give Donaldson 4/92 and he is a 6 WAR player for 2 years you are going to have 2 really good shots to finally break through and win a World Series. I don't think anyone expects Donaldson to perform at his current level for 4 years but that really isn't the point. Everyone knows you're going to pay for these on the back end.
  10. adambr2
    It kind of sucks that our big money guys (Braun, Cain) have reached points in their career where we can really only expect average production rather than superstar production during the 3 remaining years of our Yelich window. I just felt like with Braun off the books after one more season it would have been pretty reasonable to give Donaldson this type of deal now.
  11. adambr2
    Look at all the hate someone like Gyorko gets (or Wade Miley got) when they sign for even two million bucks. Helms signed for TWICE that & that was fifteen years ago when two million dollars was A LOT of money. Wonder if he'll bring in his old platoon partner Russell Branyan to control the clubhouse thermostat. He got something like 2 years and $4.5M for both which is an extraordinarily chump change amount of money even in 2004. I understand the time value of money but this was not a long crippling Barry Zito contract. In today's dollars it is probably comparable to the Avasail Garcia contract at the very most. He had a terrible 2004 and other than that he was whatever. I also don't think people *hated* Miley or Gyorko, just mostly utter indifference, whereas Helms was repeatedly and soundly booed by Brewer fans everywhere he went like he went Gary Sheffield on us. The guy wasn't good but it wasn't an effort thing. Jeff Suppan was a far bigger waste of money in that era but fans generally didn't hate Suppan on a personal level for it.
  12. adambr2
    Helms got a weird confusing amount of hate from Brewer fans.
  13. adambr2
    Agreed the NIT is the floor, not the ceiling. Ceiling is probably a 5 seed and a Sweet 16 appearance (realistic ceiling, obviously things happen). In the end I expect them to be a bubble team but more on the comfortable side of the bubble and 7 or 8 seed. I agree with TPlush that they'll have enough quality wins where they shouldn't have to sweat too much on selection Sunday unless they really go on a bad run.
  14. adambr2
    Castellanos and Ozuna are probably the only *big* names left, and lower level big names at that. I highly doubt we're in the market for either after signing Garcia. Unfortunately, I think what we got is probably what we got. Not only are the big names off the board but we're simply running out of roster space. Maybe a minor trade or two. Unless we are trading big MLB names like Hader or Hiura away we don't have the trade capital for a major acquisition.
  15. adambr2
    That's all fine and fair points, but I just don't see how it is really relevant to Donaldson. It would be a lot more relevant if the Twins had just paid $235M for Anthony Rendon. We don't need to try to rationalize that the Twins could afford 4/92 for Josh Donaldson and we couldn't. I think we can almost all agree that we could have afforded to pay that contract.
  16. adambr2
    Well, Wisconsin has a higher population than Minnesota, so... My point was pretty much simply that the Brewers aren't at an economic disadvantage compared to the Twins based on their metro area sizes.
  17. adambr2
    Minneapolis metro is 3.6 million. Milwaukee Metro is 1.6 million. The Brewers have a big market outside of just Milwaukee Metro. They're a lot more Wisconsin's team than Milwaukee's team.
  18. adambr2
    I'm not as in love with Arenado as many. I'm skeptical of any Rockie with extreme home/away splits. I'm not saying he isn't great, but probably not as great as Colorado has made him appear. Also, long ways away from this being a done deal.
  19. adambr2
    But the offense isn't nearly as good as '14-'15 because Aaron Rodgers was playing like one of the best players in football at that time and this year he isn't. Really if he returned to that level of play again it's not a stretch to compare the two, just mainly we had a bit better overall receiving corps then. I know it's a lot to ask for him to do that but yesterday was definitely a step in the right direction. I wouldn't count on 5 turnovers either although if Jimmy would turn it over just once or twice it could go a long ways for us.
  20. adambr2
    Jimmy G's running ability is almost nonexistent. So it will be nice not to have to worry about chasing him all over the field like we did with Wilson. With that said, their top 2 receivers are pretty comparable to Seattle's and they have a George Kittle which Seattle doesn't -- that's a huge factor. They also have a much better running game than Seattle. The scary part about watching the game on Saturday was that Minnesota knew they were going to run the ball on every single play and they just could not do a thing about it. If the offensive line of San Francisco is able to impose their will on the ground, we are in for a long day. If they can't, we have a chance. If things go our way, the situation could be eerily similar to 2014-15 -- we were blown out in Seattle in the regular season, went back to Seattle about 1 TD dogs in the NFC championship game, and shocked everyone by controlling most of that game. Of course we all know the nightmare that happened in the end.
  21. adambr2
    All those bar type pizzas are pretty much the same to me, but they're all very good. You usually see them retail for anywhere around $9-$11 but similar to Turbo I'm only buying them for around $5. For as much as they hype them I think Kwik Trip pizzas are extremely overrated. I bought a sausage and pepperoni regular crust there on sale for $7.99 and was mad at myself for spending that much. It was so bad I threw most of it away and I love almost any pizza. The only pizza worth getting from Kwik Trip is their thin crust chicken alfredo when it's on sale for $4.99.
  22. adambr2
    It definitely wasn't Pettine's finest game last night. He didn't adjust when Wilson started to take over the game or do anything different to make Wilson uncomfortable. It has become clear that they're content to play differently on defense with double digit leads, sacrificing yardage and even points to kill clock and avoid a home run play, which is agonizing to watch as a fan and I'm shocked it hasn't come back to bite them. Also not sure how many people noticed but LaFleur employed the Bill Bellichick/Mike Vrabel clock killing loophole on our last punt. False start occurred before the punt presumably on purpose at 5:30 and so they were able to run another 30 seconds off the game clock before punting. Had they not done that they would not have been able to kill the clock all the way after the final Graham first down.
  23. adambr2
    Yeah Martinez blew it on that 3rd and 6 that led to Seattle's first touchdown. It's one thing to get beat in the open field by Russell Wilson, it's another thing to get beat because you didn't do the job that you were supposed to do on that play. Trust your teammates and the play and do your damn job. Don't try to be a hero.
  24. adambr2
    Fun fact: in our last 5 NFC championship games, we have scored no less than 20 and no more than 23 points.
  25. adambr2
    I mean if we get blown out next week I will have a fairly easy time accepting that the 49ers were just superior. If we play a great game and lose 24-21 on a last second FG it is still going to cut deep for me no matter what my expectations are.
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