owbc
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Everything posted by owbc
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3 inches of snow and I-43 SB and 41/45 SB are both closed due to multi-car pileups!!! Looks like at least 30 cars involved in one of them. Edit: I-94 SB is also closed near Racine from another multi-car pileup. Seriously?
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I think the implication of the article is that his success in Milwaukee may have been simply because he had the right people working underneath him. In Seattle, he attitude changed or caught up to him or whatever, and he started marginalizing staff members and building a secluded inner circle. Eventually some of his disgruntled former staff started talking to the media, and there you go. -
I originally put this in the Cano thread, but it's going to be a big story tomorrow: Judging by this new article in the Seattle Times, the Mariners might have the most dysfunctional front office in baseball, perhaps worse than even the Marlins: http://seattletimes.com/html/mariners/2022420240_mariners08xml.html The article includes quotes from former manager Eric Wedge and former Milwaukee Brewers' assistant Tony Blengino, who worked under Jack Zduriencik in Milwaukee. Wow.
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MLB teams spent $5.1 million per WAR in 2013 and that number should approach $6 million in 2014. So the case could be made that Mike Trout (~10 WAR/year) is worth $50-60 million per year in today's game. A conservative 10-year projection of 80 WAR definitely supports a $500 million contract. I agree that the Angels would be wise to buy out Trout's arbitration years. Even those years should be worth an average of over $20 million/year. If he signed the contract today, the cost for any free agency years has to start around $30 million in my opinion (the Angels are already going to be paying Josh Hamilton $30 million/year!). So a 6-year extension signed today that buys out all 3 arbitration years and two free agency years should probably be in the $120-140 million range. Trout makes almost nothing now so it might be wise for both parties to get a deal done sooner rather than later. The elephant in the room with these new TV deals is that cable subscriptions are dropping at an accelerating rate. These mega-contracts are mostly funded by TV subscriptions and advertising. There's the potential for the bubble to burst. What happens if Time Warner goes bankrupt?
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It looks like the earlier predictions are coming true and MLB is going through another salary inflation boom. The last boom reached its peak when A-Rod signed a 10-year, $252 million contract with the Rangers in December 2000, which would be a $341 million contract today after adjusting for inflation. Mike Trout hits free agency in 2018 at the very young age of 26. When A-Rod signed his mega-contract, he was almost exactly one year younger than Trout. At that time, Rodriguez had 189 HR, 4 seasons with an OPS above .900, and two top-3 MVP finishes. Trout already has two top-2 MVP finishes, 62 HR and two full seasons with an OPS above .900. Trout has accomplished this in an era that is much more pitcher-friendly than the late 1990s/early 2000s. Assuming Trout continues to put up numbers, what kind of contract could he be looking at? If Robinson Cano is worth $24 million per year at age 31, I think Trout should approach $40 million per year, especially since there are still 4 more years for his numbers to inflate. With several teams likely to be competing for his services, the length of the contract may approach 15 years, although 12 years might be a more reasonable number. The top payrolls should exceed $300 million by this time. 12 years, $480 million.
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I would want prospects and the idea of trading Braun for prospects means finally going ahead with that rebuild that many at BF.net have been talking about for the past few years. Braun has already been essentially erased from the Brewers, so now would be a good time to let him go. That being said, this isn't going to happen.
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I still miss the big guy.
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I remember that tornado! It was on Ash Wednesday. I remember the news media making a huge deal about it. Looks like a chilly weekend in Wisconsin. Single digit lows are expected on Saturday night across most of the state. Whenever it is cold in the Midwest it tends to be dry and sunny in Seattle--so I'm quite happy with the current pattern.
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The Farmers Almanac always says that winter is going to be cold and snowy. Of course it is, it's winter. It apparently predicts a Superbowl snowstorm so we'll see how that works out. The official forecast is that nobody really knows. There doesn't seem to be strong evidence either way this year.
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Low of 17 tonight in Madison? That's cold!!! Temperatures over the next two weeks look closer to normal.
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Braves leaving Atlanta (for neighboring county/Marietta)
owbc replied to Invader3K's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
This move sickens me almost as much as the Marlins Park scandal. A county that can't afford to make up a $12 million education shortfall somehow has $450 million for a baseball stadium. Unbelievable. Is it any surprise that they hid it from the taxpayers until the deal was all but finished? Hopefully someone can get a lawsuit going before its too late. But then again, maybe most people want expensive, taxpayer funded sports stadiums. Fulton County taxpayers are already on the hook for $550 million toward the new Atlanta Falcons' stadium. Miller Park is fine because it was put in the correct location and the necessary improvements are funded. The Brewers' lease ends in 2030 so I imagine by then the ballpark will need more significant improvements (i.e. resurface parking lots, new seats, roof repairs). I'm not sure if the stadium district is required to pay for such improvements after the tax is retired. -
Starting to feel a little optimism for 2014
owbc replied to The stache's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
The Brewers could compete, but they need lots of things to go right for it to happen. The three teams ahead of them in the division will compete, unless lots of things go wrong. So yes, this roster could compete, but only if the stars align. -
Bucks win. They can't even tank properly.
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I didn't watch the game but it looks straightforward on the replay. That would even be illegal in the NFL.
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This is nothing compared to some of the contracts that will likely be signed in the next few years. I suspect we are seeing the increased spending from the new national TV contracts that begin in 2014. The information on TV deals is somewhat limited, but my understanding is that starting in 2014, each team is getting an extra $26 million per year compared with 2013. (Previously $25 million per team, now $51 million per team)
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16 goals allowed in 2 games this weekend??? The Frozen Four talk can go away for awhile now.
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That's true to an extent, but the pitching matchups in these Game 5's have heavily favored the large market teams. Verlander looks like he is well on his way to finishing off the A's again. Red Sox vs. Dodgers is probably what you would expect in the WS based on overall talent level.
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As usual, the small market teams make the playoffs but are quickly eliminated. The A's are the only team left that I care about, I'm done with baseball for the year if they get eliminated. There's no fun in watching a game when you want both teams to lose.
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Dusty Baker fired by Reds; Bryan Price named manager (post 15)
owbc replied to Invader3K's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
[sarcasm]I hear the Cubs have an opening...[/sarcasm] -
Yo dawg! I heard you like playoffs so you can play a playoff game to get into a playoff game to get into the playoffs.
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It was a lost season for Lawrie but he's still only 23. I'm not sure what the problem is, but he has plenty of time to straighten things out. That being said, it looks like the Brewers knew better when Lawrie was giving them trouble about minor league promotions.
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Ned Yost and his current managerial performance in Kansas City
owbc replied to brewmann04's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Attendance is absolutely abysmal in Kansas City. Cleveland as well. The Royals averaged 21,600 per game. The Brewers only had 3 games with attendance below that all year. Pirates fans finally started showing up next year, so hopefully KC gets a sales boost this offseason and can spend some more money. Someone should be able to take down the Tigers next year, they aren't getting any younger. The Royals' roster still looks unimpressive, but they somehow have the 5th best ERA in baseball. Yost or his pitching coach must be doing something right. -
Seriously? I respect your opinion but stating it that way doesn't add anything useful to the conversation.
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They should have just made it Yuni B's Graffito...
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Sad to see another young, promising pitcher go down with an injury. It makes me wonder if those pitch limits are actually doing anything...although twitter has some stuff about a 157 pitch game in college which seems kind of sketchy. Anyway, it sounds like it is still undecided if he will have surgery or not, although he might just want to get it over with.
