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Brewer Fanatic

owbc

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Everything posted by owbc

  1. I know it's unfair because postseason baseball is its own thing, but the NL Central needs to win pennants to get recognition.
  2. When Woodruff pitches we should let him bat and use the DH on the shortstop position. I'm only half joking.
  3. When you give this team an inch they take a mile
  4. Walking Perkins and airmailing an easy throw leads to immediate pain for the opposition.
  5. They are playing the Tigers right now. The rest of the teams they are playing at a different time when they may or may not being playing well. I prefer to use the bigger sample of 2025. The Cardinals didn't suddenly get good this year.
  6. Great, I wanted that extra Turang RBI for my fantasy team 🤣
  7. When exactly does the hard part of Only 3 of the next 15 games are against 2025 playoff teams. The schedule gets harder the second week of May but as others have mentioned we should have help on offense by then. Plus most of the harder opponents are home games. Then starting May 26 there is a stretch of 16 straight games against teams that missed the playoffs in 2025.
  8. The Cubs are the only team that I consider a threat to actually win the division. I agree on their pitching being weak as well, PCA has also forgotten how to hit. The Pirates are a nice story but aren't sustainable other than O'Neil Cruz finally having a breakout year. They have enough talent to go .500. Statistically, the Reds should be in last place, I have no idea how they have won 14 games. Somehow Terry Francona will manage to keep them competitive but I still see them finishing around 78-80 wins.. Cards -- bats are hot right now and they have won some high scoring games despite terrible pitching. As soon as their bats cool off it will be over. Predicted standings by the all-star break: 1. MIL 2. CHC 3. PIT 4. CIN 5. STL
  9. New York market + meddling owner = short leash. They have an easy schedule coming up -- Mendoza will be out as manager by May 7 if they don't start winning games.
  10. JBJ is a real Banana Ball star now though! Speaking of bad contracts, the Stearns era with the Mets might not last much longer with the way things are going there.
  11. He's basically the Martin Maldonado of the shortstop position.
  12. I've been a few times but not since the early 2010s. Traffic to get there is a nightmare. Buy parking in their garage. The area immediately around the stadium has literally nothing. There is a lot of good Cuban food 5-10 min away on SW 8th St. ("Calle Ocho"). Versailles is the place that the tourists go to. There will be next to nobody at the actual game. More Brewers fans than Marlins fans most likely. Inside the stadium itself is actually decent. At least back in the day they had a lot of local food options. Nobody cared that we moved to good seats in the middle of the game. You of all people will of course want to check out the bobblehead museum.
  13. This series could have easily been a sweep in either direction
  14. This isn't hard, just make them share their TV revenue. They make more than all 14 teams with local rights controlled by MLB combined. It takes 2 teams to play a baseball game, why should they keep all the revenue unless they are scrimmaging against themselves?
  15. Rumors of Megill's demise have been greatly exaggerated
  16. Great slide by Turang Seemed like he had eyes in the back of his head, or was reading the catcher position to figure out where the throw was.
  17. This is basically like the time we had Dallas Keuchel pitch for us.
  18. Getting beat by Patrick Corbin is not inspiring
  19. I predict we'll surpass yesterday's total runs scored. Probably by the 2nd inning.
  20. All wins that snap losing streaks are good wins
  21. Yep airplane crashes are the same way. If the risk of flying was the same as driving a car, nobody would fly. That’s just the way it is, the technology will have to prove itself to be beyond safe or it won’t gain traction.
  22. It needed to be done safely globally.
  23. owbc

    Vibe coding

    Here you go, my first vibe coded baseball analysis! After seeing on reddit that walk rates have significantly increased in 2026, I was curious if shorter players are benefitting more from ABS or not. It seemed like the Brewers also had a preference for short players based on recent personnel decisions, so maybe they were anticipating a benefit from ABS. It turns out that shorter players do strike out less than taller players, but those trends are consistent across 2025 and 2026. So the answer is no, it appears that players of all heights are both walking more and striking out more. Top panel uses the full 2025 season, bottom panel is just through April 15. And here's the player height distribution for reference: This analysis took me about 30 minutes despite having zero previous knowledge on what baseball player/stat databases look like. The initial vibe-coded analysis was also wrong (I cross-referenced league average BB and K rates online as a sanity check), I had to yell at Copilot to do the binning properly and after that it seems to be correct.
  24. This is exciting news. Hopefully it is the first step to firing Fickell. A couple of poor performances with the soft schedule should be enough.
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