Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

sbrylski

Verified Member
  • Posts

    3,593
  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

News

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects Ranking

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

Milwaukee Brewers Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by sbrylski

  1. It showed up. The camera guy has good timing. (Or do they have video and they just freeze frame it?)
  2. What happens if this game needs to be called because of rain? If the Mets get a run in, then it starts pouring, is that the series?
  3. It's pretty simple. With base-stealing threats on base, a pitcher is likely to throw more fastballs since fastballs reach the plate quicker (and straighter) and gives the catcher a better chance at throwing out the opposing baserunner. In addition, many teams like to call pitchouts with basestealing threats on, which of course gives the batter a free ball, another natural advantage. Shortstops and second basemen have to cheat closer to the second base bag since they have less time to get there with a faster baserunner, either in a steal attempt or a double play situation, meaning there are more open holes on the left and/or right side of the infield. You're saying all these factors add up to give the batter an advantage, but they don't. The batter's preformance is virtually unaffected. You seem to make the same point as me in your first paragraph, and then make the opposite point in the second paragraph.
  4. There are factors, strategies and gameplanning at play on the field when you have a player such as Juan Pierre on base, even if the statistics point to the batters not succeeding as well. I don't understand. If the runner is affecting the strategies and gameplanning of the defense, it would show up in the statistics. It may affect the defense's strategy, but that doesn't mean its going to give your offense an big advantage. Any offensive advantage recieved is going to be fairly small.
  5. However, I feel that their potential reward is far greater than whatever they would return in a trade. Depends on the trade, but in a general sense their potential value is definatley greater than there trade value. That doesn't mean you should never trade them though. What you recieve in the trade could end up being far greater than what the prospect ever will amount to. Its a gamble either way.
  6. Well, pitching prospects are hit and miss. There is a decent chance Inman could amount to nothing, as could Rogers. Gallardo looks to have passed a point where he will at least reach the majors, but there really is no garauntee that he will pitch as well as he's advertised. But I do agree with you. I don't really want to trade any of them for an .850 OPS guy, only if we can get something special. If we were to trade one of those three, I'd trade Rogers first, because of his lack of results so far, then Inman, because he's not very advanced yet.
  7. I love how they don't know who throws it, and the guy won't admit to it. The Gyro-ball and its story are basically awesome.
  8. I love how the nerds (no offense) on here always tend to want to point out the "stats". My god, ask any baseball player if they'd rather hit with a Pierre on base or not and I'd bet atleast 80% would want to bat with the "threat on base". I don't care what they want, its what the stats show. And who have you asked? Upon further lookup of a study, it concluded that having a basestealing threat in you lineup results in a grand total of 1.3 runs per year. Basically, the fact that he is "distracting" the pitcher results in a insignificant net gain. LINK
  9. Anyone that knows anything about baseball will tell you that when you have a guy who's as big of a threat as Pierre is on base that will cause the pitcher to commonly do 2 things; Throw more fast balls and pay more attention to Pierre at 1st causing a higher chance of a walk/missed location (bad pitch). This is something no statistic can account for though. Actually, statistics have shown that a basestealing threat on 1B hurts the batter more than the pitcher. Also, statistics have shown that speed and stolden bases tend to be overrated.
  10. In 2006, he hit a lousy .222/.376/.400 with RISP. 2005 w/ RISP - .313 / .429 / .598 / 1.026 And for his career - .267 / .386 / .466 / .852 Career RISP w/ 2 Outs - .252 / .390 / .481 / .871 In fact, his career OPS is the lowest when the bases are empty.
  11. I'll have to bid on the Gallardo jersey next year, or maybe the Braun. I'm assuming this was also done in the past. Does anyone know about how much they go for?
  12. He's not a bad player, but he does have weaknesses. His weaknesses outweight his stregths. The Brewers could do much worse (and they have in the recent past). Here's a comparison: 2003 - Podsednik - .314 / .379 / .443 / .822 / 43 SB / 10 CS 2004 - Podsednik - .244 / .313 / .364 / .677 / 70 SB / 13 CS 2005 - Clark - .306 / .372 / .426 / .798 / 10 SB / 13 CS 2006 - Team Leadoff - .244 / .317 / .367 / .684 / 20 SB / 10 CS (.317 OBP out of the leadoff spot? I wonder why our offense stunk.) 2006 - Juan Pierre - .292 / .330 / .388 / .717 / 58 SB / 20 CS He may be an upgrade over what we marched out last year, but I'd take Hall or Gross over him anyday. He gets on base at a decent clip. .330 is not good for a leadoff hitter, and when his CS are factored in, it gets even lower. steals the bases that the pitcher worries about A basestealing threat on 1B actually hurts the batter, statistically. plays a pretty darn good center field. Bill Hall can play any position, so I would vote we put him at rover so he can relay all of Pierre's throws.
  13. revenge, here you go: LINK Click the link and then select June 17th for the date. Its the middle game, the all-star game. Also, as I was looking this up I was reminded of how Gallardo led the minor leagues in K's, yet in the above article they mentioned his fastball/stuff as being not as good as Bailey and Hughes.
  14. That article makes it sound like Gallardo is the best of the three to me. Hughes' injury problems were mentioned, as was Bailey's lack of control. Gallardo's "risk" was that he has pitched more innings without getting injured? I see that as a positive. Great endurance and strong arm. And they make it sound like being able to get hitters out with other pitches than his fastball is a bad thing. He's mature, has a well rounded set of pitches that can all be used to get hitters out, and he can go deep into games. Sounds like a future HOFer, no joke. Very pleased with their projections for him as well.
  15. Look at their GPA from '06, which is even more accurate than OPS in determining the players run output. Burrell - .300 Soriano - .298 Lee - .293 in NL / .297 in AL GPA = (OBP*1.8+SLG) / 4 scale is similar to that of batting average
  16. His FIP has been high for two years straight. I think I'll pass.
  17. It says they could have interest in Burrell.
  18. Lefty specialist indeed. Looking only at his LHB stats, he had a bit of an off year, but was good the year before. http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs/693_P_season__lr_full_0_20061001.png ERA last year was also under 4 away from home.
  19. We must have good pitchers.
  20. Yeah, trade for him contingent on him accepting the 4 year / $48-$52 million dollar contract.
  21. Contract: 2007 - $10.5 million 2008 - $13 million club option
  22. I would love to get Adam Dunn. I don't really mind K's all that much, and he gets on base a lot. Plus, he would stimulate board discussion. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif Add him to the list of who I want in LF next year: Dunn Burrell Nomar Crawford
  23. I've always liked Silva, and I'd love to get him. Jenkins, Davis, Iribarren, $4 million for Silva, Kubel, Baker I'd do it.
  24. FIP (Sheets / Schmidt) 2004 - 2.80 / 4.06 2005 - 3.49 / 4.00 2006 - 2.48 / 3.87 ERA (Sheets / Schmidt) 2004 - 2.70 / 3.20 2005 - 3.33 / 4.40 2006 - 3.82 / 3.59 While looking up these stats, I found this graph: http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs/1131_710_P_cseason_full_3_20061001.png He's way off the charts! (It's an important stat, but I'm not neccessarily posting this to stregthen my argument, just thought it was worth noting)
×
×
  • Create New...