The mathematics of optimism. Over the last 5 years, the average win total of the teams that just missed out on the wildcard (both leagues) was 88.8. The lowest of those win totals was 87, the highest was 90. After losing tonight in Cinci, the Brewers have 44 wins in the book and 70 games left on the schedule. If the Brewers simply manage to go .500 on the road in their remaining 38 roadies, they have to go 25-7 in Miller Park the rest of the year to get to 88 wins. "Merely" going 21-11 at home the rest of the way means they "only" have to go 23-15 on the road the rest of the way (bucking their current .419 road pace). And 88 or fewer wins would only have garnered the extra 1-game WC bid 3 times for the last 10 presumptive 2nd WC qualifiers. So gimmee some of that super optimism, because after looking at the numbers it's all I've got to go on.