2012-04-21 Rockies (Pomeranz) at Brewers (Estrada), 6:10 PM CDT [Brewers win, 9-4]

[topper09er]

'ata a babe, good thing all the fedex places are closed for the weekend

[GormanHarvey]

It sure looks like Alex is still quite hampered by that bruised heel. Still gimping around pretty noticeably

[topper09er]

The run expectancy table

Run Expectancy Matrix, 1993-2010

BASES 0 OUTS 1 OUT 2 OUTS

___ 0.539 0.289 0.111

1__ 0.929 0.555 0.240

_2_ 1.172 0.714 0.342

__3 1.444 0.984 0.373

12_ 1.542 0.948 0.464

1_3 1.844 1.204 0.512

_23 2.047 1.438 0.604

123 2.381 1.620 0.798

 

So yes its a losing play. Like the bunt was.

 

Remember there are other considerations which this does not take into consideration such as the hitter's skill

[Oxy]

The run expectancy table

Run Expectancy Matrix, 1993-2010

BASES 0 OUTS 1 OUT 2 OUTS

___ 0.539 0.289 0.111

1__ 0.929 0.555 0.240

_2_ 1.172 0.714 0.342

__3 1.444 0.984 0.373

12_ 1.542 0.948 0.464

1_3 1.844 1.204 0.512

_23 2.047 1.438 0.604

123 2.381 1.620 0.798

 

So yes its a losing play. Like the bunt was.

 

What does this show? That you score .092 more runs with guys on 2nd and 3rd and 2 outs rather than 1st and 3rd with 2 outs? And that is if the contact play NEVER works? If I would have actually checked this table first I'd be even more adamant in my support for the contact play. If it DOES work, now you've already scored one run and if you forced a play at the plate you've got guys on the corners with one out, so you'd score another 1.204 runs if every batter and pitcher are robots and the situation has no other variables.

 

This is practically a no-brainer.

[pebadger]

Seems like there have been some weird trajectories on a couple of hard-hit balls in the past couple games. Gamel's last night, Rickie's tonight.

[PrinceFielderx1]

I'm willing to give Gomez more playing time now against RH and LH pitching. He's earned it and he seems different dating back to second half of last season.

[PrinceFielderx1]

Ryan Braun is back!

[pebadger]

A lead of more than 1 by either team after the 6th? I'm afraid this can't last.

[GormanHarvey]

Gomez is hilarious. Did he really think they had a chance in hell of getting him at home?!

[GormanHarvey]

Gonzo says take that!!

[dlk9s]

Well this game took a turn down Pleasant Avenue.

[jjgott]

Glad to see the wave was started this inning!

[pebadger]

When is the last time the Crew has been this far ahead? They had one good-sized win over AZ in the playoffs, but I honestly can't specifically remember watching the last Brewer game when they were up this much, given the pitching woes near the end of last season and in the playoffs. I guess the win over the Cards when Greinke pitched was the same margin, but this just seems like something of an anomaly.

[dlk9s]

Glad to see the wave was started this inning!

 

When I was at the Braves home opener against the Brewers, the wave got going. After it died, a fan in the section to my left stood up in the front of the concourse tunnel (I was just to the right of the tunnel) tried to start it up again. I don't particularly mind the wave, but I found it hilarious that two senior women started yelling at him to sit down. He did.

[jjgott]

Anyone think Yuni could've made that play?

[LaprilOne]

Not likely.

[pebadger]

Need to hang on to this one to stay a half-game ahead of the Pirates and their 29 runs scored in 14 games.

[Schlitz001]

Wily Peralta is up, correct? Did RR mention in what sort of situation he might use Perlata? Like in a tie game in the 6th inning or maybe a 6 run game in the 8th inning?

[GormanHarvey]

Anyone think Yuni could've made that play?

 

No way

[topper09er]

The Rockies have the worst uniforms in the league

[jjgott]

Wily Peralta is up, correct? Did RR mention in what sort of situation he might use Perlata? Like in a tie game in the 6th inning or maybe a 6 run game in the 8th inning?

 

He's coming in now

[Glennron]

Wily Peralta is up, correct? Did RR mention in what sort of situation he might use Perlata? Like in a tie game in the 6th inning or maybe a 6 run game in the 8th inning?

 

Hopefully we'll see him in the ninth.

[GormanHarvey]

Here comes big Wily!

 

Edit: or not

[jjgott]

Errr. Never mind

[Glennron]

If they're not going to use him in any of the situations today, I don't really see him pitching before Loe is back.