Packer Offensive Roster Analysis: 2019 vs 2020

[CheezWizHed]

Back during the draft, there was obviously a lot of complaints about the state of the WR (and other) position and how we didn't address it. So I thought it would be interesting to see how we would go from person to person (2019 to 2020) with a presumed amount of performance compared to the previous year to really see if we really improved or not.

 

This chart shows my presumed starters for 2020 and the equivalent person last year in (parenthesis). Note that some times people moved up in the "role" so they don't replace themselves (i.e. Sullivan replacing Williams at Nickel CB). But I tried to slot in people where I'm guessing their approximate amount of snaps will be this year and rated what I think their increase or decrease in performance from the person doing that last year, which is often themselves.

 

[pre]Position Starter +/- Snaps Backup +/- Snaps Depth +/- Snaps Total

QB Aaron Rodgers 0% 95% Jordan Love 0% 5% 0%

(AR) (Boyle)

 

RB Aaron Jones -20% 60% Jamaal Williams -10% 30% AJ Dillon 10% 20% -13%

(Jones) (Williams) (Ervin/Carson)

 

FB Josiah Deguara 5% 25% N/A 0% 0% 1%

(Danny Vitale)

 

WR Davante Adams 0% 85% Devin Funchess 25% 50% EQ St. Brown 10% 10% 14%

(Adams) (Allison) (Kumerow)

 

WR Allen Lazard 25% 80% MVS 10% 20% Reggie Begelton 10% 0% 22%

(Lazard) (MVS) (Shepherd)

 

TE Jace Sternberger 0% 65% Marcedes Lewis 0% 45% Robert Tonyan 10% 20% 2%

(Graham) (Lewis) (Tonyan)

 

LT David Bakhtiari -10% 95% Alex Light 0% 5% Cody Conway 0% 0% -10%

(Bakhtiari) (Light)

 

LG Elgton Jenkins 10% 95% Jon Runyan 0% 5% 10%

(Jenkins) (Patrick)

 

C Corey Linsley 0% 85% Lucas Patrick 0% 15% Jake Hanson 0% 0% 0%

(Linsley) (Patrick)

 

RG Lane Taylor 5% 95% Billy Turner 5% 5% 5%

(Turner) (Madison)

 

RT Rick Wagner -30% 85% Alex Light 0% 5% Yosh Nijman 0% 0% -26%

(Bulaga) (Light/Veldheer)

Total 5% offensive improvement.

 

Yards TD Pts

2019 5812 44 376

2020* 6117 46 396[/pre]

 

With the predicted defense (298 points), that puts us at a record of 10.6 wins and 5.4 losses, which feels about right. Last year was a very "lucky" year with some of the wins.

 

My mindset:

QB: Rodgers is a year older, but second year on the system. Comes out about the same.

RB: Regression on Jones' and Williams' excellent years.

FB: I'm guessing Deguara is used a lot this year in the HB role.

WR: Predicting a bump up for Lazard and MVS but very reachable percentages. Similar for Funchess over Allison.

TE: Sternberger is still learning is about the same for Graham (though some big upside possible)

LT: Bakhtiari was incredible at the end of last year. I'm guessing some regression is possible.

LG: Jenkins' potential for a second year jump.

C: Linsley will be Linsley

RG: Lane Taylor steps in for Turner.

RT: Big step down from Bulaga to Wagner. With only Light as a T backup, there is a big open door for other backup Tackles. I'm a big Nijman fan.