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Everything posted by CheezWizHed
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What Trading for Jose Soriano Would Cost the Brewers
CheezWizHed replied to Cory Sparks's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
But we are looking at catcher stats and not runner. Quero specifically. -
Best shape of his career!!!
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What Trading for Jose Soriano Would Cost the Brewers
CheezWizHed replied to Cory Sparks's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
We need @sveumrules to invent a CS+ metric so we can see caught stealing rates against the league average. 😏 -
What Trading for Jose Soriano Would Cost the Brewers
CheezWizHed replied to Cory Sparks's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Quero doesn't hit enough to be a 1B. If he can't get back to average CS rates, I don't see how he plays in the MLB. -
What Trading for Jose Soriano Would Cost the Brewers
CheezWizHed replied to Cory Sparks's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Yes, I'd certainly do that if that is what the Angels wanted. Quero's arm doesn't seem to be bouncing back and AAA players are running wild on him (93 attempts, 16% CS). -
Honestly, I'd go further than that. Sit him for the month of August. I'm sure a "back flare-up" can justify the vacation. Bring him back in Sept to get his timing back and hopefully get hot in Oct. Its been a long time since Yelich has been hot in the playoffs... 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Mar/Apr 764 1264 N/A 826 727 656 1166 719 826 May 928 935 N/A 672 695 842 872 754 710 June 776 1149 N/A 844 764 912 787 936 682 July 1095 1112 220 628 856 1015 1008 690 681 Aug 1030 939 937 829 724 676 N/A 973 TBD Sept/Oct 1313 1237 789 620 689 817 N/A 653 TBD Overall 1000 1100 786 736 738 818 909 795 701
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Watched it last night and it was ok. A cross between Babe, Wallace and Grommet, and Knives Out.
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Who stays/goes with a fully healthy outfield?
CheezWizHed replied to adambr2's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Meh. Aim higher. Thomas is barely better than Frelick this year and worse over the past few years. I'm not even sure Thomas is a better option than Lockridge right now. This wouldn't really do anything for the Brewers except lose an OF next year. -
Continuous Winning with a Youth Movement
CheezWizHed replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
There is a difference between DFAing a McCullers (who you just traded for and was struggling massively) and Yelich who was a major part of your team for many, many years. You do handle the end of careers for long-time franchise players a little differently than others (or at least try to). -
I'm pretty sure he has a name... 😂 Just another option for the International exception. A little odd if they go into TC with 3 kickers, but I'd put $ down that he is on track to be the last PS spot.
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My son was just visiting Bordeaux on Sunday and said the air quality was pretty bad. Many roads were closed to keep people from going TO the fires. He said 20 min driving away and the skies were blue
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What I saw was a total lack of control. He walked people like crazy, but he wasn't hit hard (the few times he was in the zone). He is basically a freebie veteran pitcher with playoff experience. If he goes to AAA and can't get his control back, you really haven't lost anything.
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Brewers (Sproat) vs Giants (Mahle): 7/27/26, 8:45pm
CheezWizHed replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Classic! -
Continuous Winning with a Youth Movement
CheezWizHed replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Yeah, I almost included Adamczwwdlkjski if I could just spell his name... But seriously, I didn't want to get too deep into the minors... I was trying to stick with people that are succeeding at the MLB level or very likely players (Made). I cheated at 1B a little by using 3 options at 1B that are close to playing the MLB level... you'd think at least one will make it. -
Continuous Winning with a Youth Movement
CheezWizHed replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
"Retire" in this case is a euphemism for "DFA with grace." It probably won't happen until mid 2027 or more likely 2028 (with $22M cash left). No, I don't assume Yelich will give anything back. Maybe they are able to defer some money? Maybe they just swallow it. Maybe they let him play it out. I'm just saying that letting him go if he can't deliver 750 OPS would be one way to improve the team. Not saying it is likely. -
Having fewer options for revenue streams and being broke are two different things. A team in a town of 100 thousand people (or a state of 6 million) is always going to have to make sure NFL policy doesn't work against them if they want to keep competitive with teams that are in cities of 10 million or more. A good owner/manager is ALWAYS going to be working that angle that helps his team.
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I have to say that I'm probably more interested in watching the team this year than last year's team (though Rollins' development was interesting to watch last year). This year, Herro is an obvious draw, but he probably doesn't have much upside now. Burries is going to be exciting to watch. Also to see if Rollins can repeat or improve from last year. But we have so many new people that have some upside. Who else are you excited to watch this year?
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Brewers (Sproat) vs Giants (Mahle): 7/27/26, 8:45pm
CheezWizHed replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
I have love-hate feelings with them since the 90s (or whenever they first came out). I think it looks good at first glance... but then hate them the longer I look at it. -
Continuous Winning with a Youth Movement
CheezWizHed replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
The $58.5M is going to be paid no matter what. It is a sunk cost. But that doesn't mean we need to keep giving him ABs. We can ask him to retire with his golden parachute. I don't think we are there yet, and I agree with @adambr2 that he will get another shot next year. But if he can't do better than 750 OPS as the DH, I'd prefer to look for an upgrade. -
Generally, I do see the team improving over last year, but they certainly aren't without their issues - injuries being one of the bigger ones. Offense: I honestly see the potential for a #1 offense this year. To do that, MLF has to increase the pass/rush ratio, WRs and Love need to stay healthy. OL just needs to solidify. QB: Compared to last year, it is probably "flat". Losing Willis hurts if Love doesn't stay healthy. But another year with the same WRs should help Love be better too. Love needs to get over 4000 yards. WR: Losing Doubs means we lost a very sure-handed WR that was Love's go-to. Watson and Reid had injury issues last year and must stay healthy... but all three starting WRs (including Golden) have higher upside than Doubs. This group could be electric... or on the sidelines. TE: Kraft might've been the best TE in all of football when he got hurt. Depth is thin behind him, but if the WRs hit this year, there won't be many balls behind Kraft. OL: Last year was a massive shuffle where the only players that didn't get injured were either "meh" (Walker) or at new positions (Rhyan/Belton). I think Morgan at LT is an upgrade. Banks improved at the end of the year as he got healthy. Rhyan will have an offseason to improve at C or be replaced by Burton (either should be better than 2025 Rhyan). Same with Belton - he improved all year and with an offseason to practice the technique, I think he will be excellent with a lot of big runs behind him. Tom back healthy is clearly better than our RT all last year. Big arrow up on this group with a big injury caveat. RB: Losing Wilson hurts unless Lynch can stay healthy (big if). Obviously, Jacobs' legal situation is a big concern, but I don't think finding an RB at the end of TC is terribly hard. And this might even push us to pass more, which is a good thing. But Jacobs also has a ON-OFF-ON cycle for his career and this year would be "ON" in that cycle. Defense: Last year, we were comfortably in the top 10 when Parson was injured. I see improvements and concerns for 2026 but could be top 10 again. If we had one top 15 CB, I'd feel much better about the defense's upside. The coaching change will be one to watch also. DL: Wooden did surprisingly well for us last year, but fits the 3-4 less and wasn't a needle mover anyway. Adding McClellan and Hargrave next to Wyatt, Brooks, Brinson, and Stackhouse is a net gain. OLB: Assuming Parsons comes back at 100%, this group is probably about the same. Gary seemed to be regressing last year to just "solid". I think Sorrell can provide that this year. LVN needs to stay healthy to get long term impact. I like Oliver a lot and he should be picking Parson's brain to be a poor-man version. DDS might surprise people too. MLB: Franklin for Walker is the key here. I doubt Franklin will be overall better, but can he be more consistent and let Cooper be the splash player? I'd say this group is about the same. Safety: Quite literally the same unless you want to include ST players. Should be slightly better from the point of view of young players reaching their peak and no one really "over the peak". CB: Here is my main concern for the team. Added two interesting players, but they probably protect our floor more than raise the ceiling. Cisse might be excellent in a couple of years and might start this year... but overall I don't see this group being a strength. Special Teams: It all surrounds what the word "Smack" means in January: I'd love the Smack that kicker!!! He really Smacked that ball!!! Keeping healthy is a key, key area in so many positions with players that have struggled to stay healthy in the past.... though several of them have gotten better there too.
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Listening to the news broadcasters in MN, they are trying to make the best of the situation... but no one escapes the reality that you have 3 QBs going into TC in an open competition. And none of them have been really that good at their peak. And two are clearly past their peak...one is questionable at having a peak. They lost a lot of players in the offseason also due to cap reasons. I'm pretty sure they will be last.
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Brewers (Sproat) vs Giants (Mahle): 7/27/26, 8:45pm
CheezWizHed replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Surely Ashby is unavailable tonight after that one big pitch last night! -
Continuous Winning with a Youth Movement
CheezWizHed replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Looks like I forgot Coleman Crowe at SP. Eight SP deep. -
It has been interesting to me how the team has been on renovating the team under a youth movement and still consistently winning. Yes, we are all waiting for a WS victory, but you have to admire the transformation without losing any steam in the standings. Just looking at our future core - anyone with more than 3 years tenure with the club (i.e. club control for 2027-2029). C - Open. Quero and Dinges aren't far off, but there is a lot of uncertainty here. 1B - Open: More options with Adams, Bruke, or maybe Fisher, but still uncertainty. 2B - Turang (5-6 WAR player) SS - Pratt (looking like a 3-4+ WAR player) 3B - Ortiz - not terribly exciting, but a 2-3 WAR player. This is probably Made's future position LF - Chourio - 3+WAR. Likely the "+" kicks in as he matures. I keep forgetting that he is only 22. CF - Mitchell - 3-4 WAR player when healthy. Technically only 2 years of control left. RF - Lara - Not sure where to put him at this point. Seemed easy to peg him as a 2-3 WAR player based on past results, but this year he looks more like a 4+ WAR (both minimal MLB and AAA stats) OF - Frelick 2-3 WAR as a starter. Thought he might have one more gear, but really stepped backwards this year. DH - Open: Yelich has a mutual option for 2029 that is unlikely to be accepted by the club. SP - Miz (6+WAR): true TOR starter and annual Cy Young candidate. SP: Harrison, Priester, Henderson, Sproat, Gasser, Drohan - Rather than list the rest individually... just admire the depth and quality of this group. That is 7 SPs deep with pitchers that are at least 5th SP level today. Sproat's upside is impressive too if he can manage his control and endurance. Not all will remain with the team due to options running out, but still. It is impressive when you have Sproat, Gasser and Drohan fighting for the 5th SP spot. BP: Uribe, Patrick, Hall, Yoho, Ashby*, Koenig*, Anderson* Ashby has club options up to 2029, but I tend to doubt they will take them Koenig and Anderson might be questionable as they work through arbitration and become expensive. That would be 20 of a 26-man roster potentially set for the next 3 years (assuming 2 SPs move to the BP and maxing out at 13 pitchers). Upgrade options: C: Contreras' leadership role with the team and Quero's arm issues make that the most concerning gap on the team. 1B: There are several big stick options close to the majors. I'd bank on one of Adams, Burke, or Fisher (my favorite) to work out there. 3B: Ortiz is probably the target to replace, but Made needs to play somewhere. Fisher isn't far behind either. RF: With Mitchell's injury issues, moving Lara to CF and finding a bigger bat to play in RF would be good. BP: Uribe works at the closer. Keep finding more arms like we always do. DH: Hopefully we have enough quality depth to avoid a DH only player. But overall, that is an impressive group of young, controlled talent to build on.
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Who stays/goes with a fully healthy outfield?
CheezWizHed replied to adambr2's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Normally, a 5th OF fits on the team fine - Chourio, Mitchell, Lara, Lockridge, and Frelick would be very good. But with Yelich at DH only and Bauer's and Vaughn's bats pushing more time for Jake in the OF, there isn't room for a true 5th OFer. Hard to replace Lara at the moment because he is playing so well. Lockridge and Frelick end up being LH/RH versions of similar players. If they hit over 700 OPS, their defense brings good value to the team. If they drop below that, they end up 4th OF material. My hope was that Sal was ascending and we'd end up with a ~300 BA player that provides 3-4 WAR/year. But this season makes you wonder if 2025 was an outlier and the truth lies more in the 650-700 OPS or 80-90 OPS+ range with 2.5 WAR/year. Lockridge was having a great start to the year, but his history has much less to rely on (even in the MiLB he was averaging only 768 OPS). Personally, I'd stick with Chourio, Mitchell, Lara, and Frelick at the MLB level. Looks like Lockridge can be optioned to AAA, so I'd probably do that. Nice level of flexibility when any of Lara, Frelick, or Lockridge can be optioned.

