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  • Revisiting the State of the Farm – Third Base


    Harold Hutchison

    To paraphrase a line from the movie “Draft Day,” we’re living in a very different world than we were in March. Back then, the system appeared to be shallow at third base, albeit with the option for some players to move over from shortstop, along with solid options at the MLB level in Luis Urias and Brian Anderson. So, how have things changed? Let’s take a look.

    Image courtesy of © Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

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    Nashville Sounds

    A season-long slump following a hamstring injury has Luis Urias now playing third part-time in Nashville (where he also appears at second base), which has seen Abraham Toro become the team’s primary third baseman. Andruw Monasterio’s promotion to Milwaukee came after he saw limited action at third with the Sounds, but also meant that Cam Devanney has seen much more playing time at shortstop. Patrick Dorrian has primarily played third, and has shown power, but also a lot of strikeouts.

    Biloxi Shuckers

    Zavier Warren spent a lot more time at first base than third this season, and he’s also been in a season-long slump, at least in terms of batting average. That said, the real game-changer has been the massive breakout of Tyler Black, who was already a pure hitter, but who is now flashing serious speed (40+ stolen bases) and power (12 HR as of July 15). This is arguably the biggest 2023 breakout in the Brewers farm system.

    Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

    Ben Metzinger and Eduardo Garcia have split the vast majority of the starts at third base for Wisconsin. Metzinger’s delivered some solid OBP skills and some pop, while Garcia’s primary calling card has been defense, but his OBP skills have gone up a level.

    Carolina Mudcats

    Luke Adams has been the primary third baseman for the Mudcats in 2023, and he’s looking like a Three True Outcomes bat with some serious speed. Jadher Areinamo has shown the ability to hit for average for the Mudcats, while Jheremy Vargas is demonstrating a mix of OBP skills and speed. Daniel Guilarte, who has shown himself to be capable of hitting for average, drawing walks, and stealing bases, also saw time at third.

    ACL Brewers

    Nev Serrano has put up the most starts so far for the ACL Brewers, but the real story may be how draftees Brock Wilken and Mike Boeve split time for the rookie-league team. Juan Baez has also seen time at third base for the ACL Brewers, and he’s putting up some monster numbers.

    DSL Brewers 1

    Gery Holguin has been the primary third baseman for the first of the two teams the Brewers have in the Dominican Summer League, and he’s flashing some real offensive punch. Luiyin Alastre has also spent significant time at the hot corner, demonstrating excellent plate discipline (13 BB to 11 K in 78 AB as of July 15) and speed – but can it overcome a .783 fielding percentage?

    DSL Brewers 2

    Luis Lameda and Demetrio Nadal have split time at the hot corner for the second DSL Brewers squad, but that tandem is proving to be second to none. Nadal has posted a 1.015 OPS as of July 15, adding 12 stolen bases to that total. The switch-hitting Lameda has posted a .387 OBP and walked more than he struck out.

    Overview

    Black’s move, and the pickups of Wilken and Boere in the draft have now given the Brewers incredible depth at the hot corner in their system. That said, some of those who don’t get the spotlight, particularly Devanney, Adams, and Nadal, also could be very credible options down the road.

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    I know his batting average screams it, but I think there is more to Adams’ hitting than the 3TO moniker would suggest. Prior to his recent slump, his swinging strike rate was just slightly behind pure contact hitting teammates Luis Lara and Jadher Areinamo. For a guy his age with power potential, the contact skills are solid. They just didn’t turn into the kind of batting average you’d hope for. One of the posters who watches the games would have to say if it was bad luck or the type of contact.

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    I think Adams is quite intriguing. I've liked Devanney for a while now but looks more & more like he's someone you can't pigeonhole into one spot going forward.

    The big question re Wilkin & Boeve IMO is which one of them eventually moves to 1B?

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    1 hour ago, Jim French Stepstool said:

    I think Adams is quite intriguing. I've liked Devanney for a while now but looks more & more like he's someone you can't pigeonhole into one spot going forward.

    The big question re Wilkin & Boeve IMO is which one of them eventually moves to 1B?

    Wilken certainly fits 1B profile more with his body type and size as well as the power although 3B has become another power position in recent years.  From what I’ve seen on the defensive side of things, Boeve has a better chance to stick at third and has even seen time at short in the past (no, I don’t think he’ll play there in pro ball much at all but I could be wrong).

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    “Black’s move, and the pickups of Wilken and Boere in the draft have now given the Brewers incredible depth at the hot corner in their system. That said, some of those who don’t get the spotlight, particularly Devanney, Adams, and Nadal, also could be very credible options down the road.”

    Worth noting that Nadal’s long-term defensive home will be second base regardless of development.  He will certainly add some muscle as he matures, but at 5’7” 125 lb. (generous) and with not much power/not a strong arm at this point, it is hard to imagine an outcome of third base or in the outfield.

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    No idea why Bitonti isn’t talked about as the team’s 3B of the future? He profiles as a good fielding 3B with power and a cannon arm. I think realistically, it’s between Adams and him at 3B, long-term.

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    Jake McKibbin
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    2 minutes ago, SF70 said:

    No idea why Bitonti isn’t talked about as the team’s 3B of the future? He profiles as a good fielding 3B with power and a cannon arm. I think realistically, it’s between Adams and him at 3B, long-term.

    He haasn't officially signed yet, and to be fair we haven't seen him in the minors at all yet. A good prospect but tough to include him as part of the farm just yet

    Also Cooper Pratt likely to move there too, could have a plethora of infield quality in no time

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    Just now, Jake McKibbin said:

    He haasn't officially signed yet, and to be fair we haven't seen him in the minors at all yet. A good prospect but tough to include him as part of the farm just yet

    Also Cooper Pratt likely to move there too, could have a plethora of infield quality in no time

    Boeve was mentioned and he hasn’t signed yet. I’m going to assume the team is signing their first 11 picks.

    I’ve read a number of evaluators that think Pratt can remain a SS because of his extraordinary body control. It’ll be interesting to see if he can stay at short.

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