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  • Should Christian Yelich Move To First Base?


    Harold Hutchison

    First base has been nightmarishly unproductive for the Brewers in 2023. For 2024, though, they might have a really good option right in-house.

    Image courtesy of © Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

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    At the start of 2023, first base looked solid for the Brewers, with Rowdy Tellez coming off a 30-home run season; Keston Hiura looking like a decent fill-in; 2020 home-run champ Luke Voit working as a part-time DH and backup to Tellez; and Jon Singleton demolishing Triple A. An injury to Tellez and failures to perform by the others led the Crew to make deals that brought Carlos Santana and Mark Canha into town for the stretch run. However, Santana and Canha are due to be free agents, so should the Crew look for a free-agent replacement, or is the answer already on the roster?

    Granted, Tellez is still under team control for 2024, and Canha has a team option that year. Still, there might be a better option for the Brewers that could hold down first base, and also clear space for a very deep position on the team–and he was originally seen as a first baseman.

    Believe it or not, when Christian Yelich was drafted in the first round in 2010 by the Marlins, they saw him as a first baseman. Given his offensive resurgence this year after his struggles in 2021 and 2022, he might be the answer for the position in Milwaukee for years to come. Yelich’s 127 OPS+ is 50 percent higher than the figures posted by Tellez (82 OPS+) and Canha (85 OPS+) for the Brewers, and almost twice as high as Santana’s (68 OPS+).

    Such a move would actually solve a lot of problems for Milwaukee, not just the offensive black hole at first base. If Yelich moves, the 2024 Brewers outfield could feature Sal Frelick, Joey Wiemer, Garrett Mitchell, Tyrone Taylor, and Blake Perkins as the top five, with Noah Campbell and Jackson Chourio as potential call-ups. That is a lot of depth.

    Now, Yelich has zero professional experience at first base, not even playing that position in the minor leagues, much less in the majors. The other option would be to have Yelich take over at DH, where his OPS is more than twice that of Jesse Winker (60 OPS+).

    It’s almost the opposite of the situation at first base. Tellez is a question mark after his 2023 season, and while a recovery would be great (and solidify first base and DH), he is slated to be a free agent after 2024. Canha has a team option for 2024, but it’s worth $11.5 million, and that is money that could be used to keep Corbin Burnes and Brandon Woodruff around for a 2024 all-or-nothing run.

    In the high minors, the Brewers also have some options. Keston Hiura seems to be re-working himself after an abysmal 2021 and a technically above-average 2022 (114 OPS+). He has team control through 2025. He would come relatively cheap, even at his 2023 salary of $2.2 million. His strikeout rate seems to be down, and if he has figured it out, he could be a bargain option.

    Then there are two of the Brewers’ overlooked prospects at first base, Ernesto Martinez and Wes Clarke. Martinez has shown excellent defense at first and flashed the ability to also play center field in 2021. He missed a lot of time in 2021 and 2022 with injuries, and slumped early in 2023, but has just made a mid-season jump to Double A. Clarke has spent the full season at Biloxi, splitting time between first base and catcher, and he has posted very high strikeout totals to go with plenty of walks and 20 homers (tied with Patrick Dorian and Willy Adames for second across the Brewers system as of August 21, per Baseball Reference).

    At this point, the Brewers look to be making their way to the playoffs, but first base and designated hitter have been a long-running issue. The stopper for one of those gaps could very well be Yelich–and if his offense holds at this level, it could make the Brewers much better in 2024.

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    Pretty sure Yelich flat-out doesn't want to move to 1B. For a veteran in his position, that makes it a non-starter.

    I've referred to Clarke as a RHH, minor league version of Max Muncy. Low BA, power, very high K rate but draws a lot of walks. Has some versatility (he can catch), but I believe that's where his defensive bullet points end. He could wind up on a MLB roster at some point but IMO his best chance to stick somewhere would be as a bench bat/DH.

    Martinez has opened a few eyes w/his performance since moving to Biloxi. But at the end of the day I think their best chance at filling the position long-term will come from one of the recent draftees.

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    clancyphile
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    15 minutes ago, Jim French Stepstool said:

    Pretty sure Yelich flat-out doesn't want to move to 1B. For a veteran in his position, that makes it a non-starter.

    I've referred to Clarke as a RHH, minor league version of Max Muncy. Low BA, power, very high K rate but draws a lot of walks. Has some versatility (he can catch), but I believe that's where his defensive bullet points end. He could wind up on a MLB roster at some point but IMO his best chance to stick somewhere would be as a bench bat/DH.

    Martinez has opened a few eyes w/his performance since moving to Biloxi. But at the end of the day I think their best chance at filling the position long-term will come from one of the recent draftees.

    Then he DHs and the Crew goes with one of Tellez/Canha/Hiura at first for 2024.

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    From a roster-building perspective, this makes quite a bit of sense. And Yelich doesn't need to man 1B full-time, he can rotate back to LF regularly.

    I don't like the idea of having a dedicated DH unless you have a player on the roster completely incapable of being anything else (Nelson Cruz, for example). In most cases, it makes the most sense to rotate your best hitters through DH when you want to give them a half day off or they're banged up a little.

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    We are about to embark on a bonafied Outfield logjam in the very near future.

    I am assuming we will start 2024 out with Wiemer, Frelick, Mitchell, Yelich and Taylor.  That's 5 guys right there who are going to need regular reps.  This list doesn't even include Chourio, who is going to be knocking hard on the outfield door as soon as next year in spring training.

    Then what?  Do we continue to play Yelich in LF, knowing full well that all the other guys I listed above are superior defensively?

    Add Chourio to that list, and we have 6 outfielders who deserve regular playing time.

    There simply isn't room for them all.  Do we trade a guy like Taylor in the offseason?  How about Wiemer, is he a guy you field offers for?

    It's a nice problem to have, but then again, it's also going to be an issue if things continue as they are now.

    If Yelich is open to it, playing him at 1B is ideal as long as he can legitimately field the position.  4-5 games a week at 1B, the others at DH seems like a great plan!

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    5 minutes ago, Underachiever said:

    Would any of the outfield candidates listed be worth a look at first base?

    Well, Frelick, Wiemer, Chourio, and Mitchell are all great defensively in the OF, Yelich just isn't.  It would be a waste to start any of those 4 at 1B given their OF capabilities.  Yelich is the obvious choice to make the transition.  Not sure if Taylor has ever played there in the minors, but I doubt it.

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    7 minutes ago, Underachiever said:

    Would any of the outfield candidates listed be worth a look at first base?

    Yelich is the most obvious candidate, as pretty much all the young guys are centerfielders and it's a real waste to put one of them at first base, especially given the number of question marks about their offense for various reasons.

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    3 minutes ago, TURBO said:

    Well, Frelick, Wiemer, Chourio, and Mitchell are all great defensively in the OF, Yelich just isn't.  It would be a waste to start any of those 4 at 1B given their OF capabilities.  Yelich is the obvious choice to make the transition.  Not sure if Taylor has ever played there in the minors, but I doubt it.

    Taylor is also great defensively in the OF. 

    LF - 376 innings, 3 DRS, 9.3 UZR/150, 4 OAA

    CF - 857 innings, 8 DRS, 4.2 UZR/150, 6 OAA

    RF - 694 innings, 5 DRS, 14.9 UZR/150, 4 AA

    Overall - 1982 innings, 16 DRS, 8.4 UZR/150, 14 OAA

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    Just now, wiguy94 said:

    Taylor is also great defensively in the OF. 

     

    Yup, but is he as good as all the youngsters?  It doesn't really matter, we have a lot of guys who are great outfielders, it stands to reason you pick the guy whose defense wouldn't hurt us out there by moving him to another position.  That would be Yelich.

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    9 hours ago, Jim French Stepstool said:

    Pretty sure Yelich flat-out doesn't want to move to 1B. For a veteran in his position, that makes it a non-starter.

    I've referred to Clarke as a RHH, minor league version of Max Muncy. Low BA, power, very high K rate but draws a lot of walks. Has some versatility (he can catch), but I believe that's where his defensive bullet points end. He could wind up on a MLB roster at some point but IMO his best chance to stick somewhere would be as a bench bat/DH.

    Martinez has opened a few eyes w/his performance since moving to Biloxi. But at the end of the day I think their best chance at filling the position long-term will come from one of the recent draftees.

    What makes you sure he doesn't want to? His defense has dropped off noticably as the season has gone on. He doesn't have a great arm out there. He's a guy with a long history of back issues. He's also played 1B in HS and was a 1B when drafted(albeit an athletic one the Marlins announced as an OFer).

    But I don't see the justification to keep him in LF when you have Chourio, Frelick, Wiemer, Mitchell and then Carlos Rodriguez on their way up(and Tyler Black could end up in the OF, though I doubt it). 

    7 hours ago, TURBO said:

    How about Wiemer, is he a guy you field offers for?

    Not in my opinion. We need guys who can hit lefties. I also think he'll hit for more power. But if you can get a starting pitcher for him +a prospect, you have to consider it. But I wouldn't be in a hurry to.

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    1 hour ago, BrewerFan said:

    What makes you sure he doesn't want to? 

    Just things I've heard from a source or two. 

    And frankly, if what I've heard is true, I hope he has a change of heart & is at least open to it. There have been a lot of reasons brought up here illustrating why it's a good idea. I agree with those reasons. IMO the throwing arm is maybe the biggest piece of evidence. Many have pointed out the glut of OFs. And not only Chourio, but a guy like Carlos Rodriguez could very well shine in todays' game as a 4th-5th OF.

    When they went into last off season with Wiemer-Mitchell-Frelick-Ruiz, it was pretty obvious one would go. They may be in a similar spot this winter.

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    1 minute ago, Jim French Stepstool said:

    Just things I've heard from a source or two. 

    And frankly, if what I've heard is true, I hope he has a change of heart & is at least open to it. There have been a lot of reasons brought up here illustrating why it's a good idea. I agree with those reasons. IMO the throwing arm is maybe the biggest piece of evidence. Many have pointed out the glut of OFs. And not only Chourio, but a guy like Carlos Rodriguez could very well shine in todays' game as a 4th-5th OF.

    When they went into last off season with Wiemer-Mitchell-Frelick-Ruiz, it was pretty obvious one would go. They may be in a similar spot this winter.

    I think MOST people thought it'd be Ruiz last off-season. I don't get the same feeling that we need to move a guy this off-season. If we get an offer like we did for Ruiz for...Mitchell, I'd jump all over it, but barring that, 3 OF spots, 1B/DH...I don't think we should. I think they all compliment each other well. Chourio-every day; Frelick-mostly every day; Mitchell 50% until he proves he can hit lefties. Wiemer 80% until he proves he can hit righties better.

    But Ruiz was a guy we all had #4 and I think most viewed as a #5 OFer. These 4 have much more upside. 

     

    Oh, and Blake Perkins is a rookie. I could see him helping over the next several years as well. He's a nice player. Tyrone Taylor...eh, I'd probably move on there. 

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