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    Two Bold Intradivisional Trades to Bring the Brewers a Big Bat


    Jake McKibbin

    Teams still have hang-ups about making trades within their divisions. Even in the hyper-rational world of modern baseball, giving a direct rival a player who might knock you around for the next half-decade is nerve-wracking. Nonetheless, a few fits worth discussing are out there.

    Image courtesy of © Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports

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    On Monday, Cody Schoenmann of Twins Daily wrote about a series of trade proposals involving the young, controllable Twins infielders and the young, controllable Brewers outfielders. All three were reasonable, plausibly beneficial deals for both sides. However, there are others who, even more distasteful as they may be as partners, might take a keen look at the plethora of athletic outfielders the Brewers have, and who have the prospects to make a big trade happen. Let's see which teams within the NL Central might have an eye on this young crop of stars:

    The Brewers have too many outfielders for the season ahead, with arbitration-eligible Tyrone Taylor accompanying Sal Frelick, Joey Wiemer, Garrett Mitchell and Blake Perkins as players rumored to be in the shopfront window. With Taylor having three years' service time remaining with the Brewers, and the others even more, any trade should bring back equivalent high-ceiling or high-floor talent in a position of need. Let's take a look at who that could involve, inside their own division:

    Cincinnati Reds - Noelvi Marte for Sal Frelick
    Both of these players had introductions in the second half of 2023, albeit with completely different profiles at the plate. Marte has the type of raw power you dream of in a prospect, and he's still learning to tap into it more. However, he finds himself in the midst of a crowded infield, with Elly de la Cruz, Matt McLain, and newly-signed Jeimer Candelario manning the more athletic infield spots. Meanwhile, the Reds have many options in the outfield, but not many with the type of competence on both offense and defense that Frelick possesses. TJ Friedl was their best hitter among outfielders. Yet, he was 11th-percentile or lower in exit velocity, xwOBA, and hard-hit rate--all key predictors of sustainable success. He was also the only outfielder with a positive Defensive Runs Saved figure for the Reds, who ranked 28th in the league in DRS overall. Putting Frelick alongside him in the outfield, and setting the tone at the top of the order, could fit really nicely for the Reds. 

    Marté, on the other hand, is currently playing third base, but is an adequate shortstop and above-average second baseman (although his arm may be under-utilized at the keystone). He's the type of bat the Brewers just could not get into their infield last season, hitting .316/.366/.456 in 114 at-bats for the Reds. The scouts suggest that he's still learning how to tap into his power better, but he's a good fit for the Brewers, in dire need of both some extra juice and a capable infielder at the plate.

    The only downside is that the Reds may consider him more use in acquiring a high-end pitching talent, something they're in even more desperate need for. The Brewers could try centering a Corbin Burnes trade around Marté, but the Reds might be loath to give up their dynamic infielder for a player they'd only have for one season.

    St Louis Cardinals - Garrett Mitchell for Nolan Gorman
    Even suggesting a trade with the Cardinals seems insane, but here goes. For all the talk of Pete Crow-Armstrong in the Windy City, Garrett Mitchell might be the best defensive center fielder in the game of baseball when healthy. With quality reads, electric speed and a strong arm, he's ubiquitous in the outfield, with the type of bat that can change a game when he runs into one. Mitchell has the wheels to steal 40-plus bases in a fully healthy campaign, something he was denied last year due to a freak injury on the basepaths. He's still fine-tuning his decisions at the plate, but his underlying talent is not in question. A full season of average production at the plate is likely a four-win player, given what else he brings to the table, and he has five years of club control remaining.

    Nolan Gorman has a more proven bat, with an electric start to 2023 petering out after some injuries in the summer. A subpar defender at second base with (perhaps) a more natural home at third, his left-handed swing is his carrying tool, but boy, does it carry him. He hit .236/.328/.478 with 27 home runs in 119 games. At some points early in the year, he touched the 1.000 OPS mark. He was battering the ball, but his struggles later in the season and the poor quality of the St. Louis outfield bring Mitchell back into the realm of possibility here. Currently lined up to use Tommy Edman in the outfield, they could do with an upgrade, while also allowing Tommy Edman and Masyn Winn to form a dynamic partnership up the middle of the infield. At second base, the Brewers could use the power bat, or even just a competent one. There's enough uncertainty surrounding future performance (on both ends) for this to be viable.

    Both of these trades bring in potential in the form of the bat, at the cost of some of the defensive excellence that allowed the Brewers to punch above their offensive weight in 2023. However, with either Gorman or Marté, the bat can more than make up the difference, while trading from a position of surplus. Either Mitchell or Frelick have the potential to go on and be stars for their respective teams. Still, the Brewers can't afford to hang onto their prospects needlessly, if their goal is to compete in 2024.

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    I don't like the Gorman trade, I don't like giving up Frelick.  I like Marte, I really doubt they'd trade him to us.  Weimer and another low level prospect for Marte and I'd feel better but it's not going to happen regardless.  

    I think our best bet trade wise is out of the Division and involving Burnes and/or Adames.  I like our young guns.

    Marte and Frelick were similar in terms of prospect status, and potentially very similar WAR wise going forwards, the German trade is two injury prone players but again an infielder with lesser defensive skills and a higher potential bat

    I can see the Cardinals more open to a trade due to Friedls prominence last season, but both these trades I genuinely believe could be seriously beneficial to both sides if all parties stay healthy

    7 hours ago, Trax said:

    I don't like the Gorman trade, I don't like giving up Frelick.  I like Marte, I really doubt they'd trade him to us.  Weimer and another low level prospect for Marte and I'd feel better but it's not going to happen regardless.  

    I think our best bet trade wise is out of the Division and involving Burnes and/or Adames.  I like our young guns.

    I hate the idea of giving up Frelick, but if they made either of these trades, you could slide Black into the OF in his stead(or play him at 1B or 2B if Gorman plays 3B). 

    So I could definitely live with Marte for Frelick and I'd come around on Gorman real quick.

    I don't think I'd call him injury-prone just yet. Mitchell has been. The Brewers also seem particularly...cautious with their minor leaguers, but has he had a healthy season yet? Would '22 be the healthiest? Hard to say with these young guys and the MiLB injuries how serious they are given the lack of information and how serious they are, but he seems like he's been banged up more.


    I'd make both trades. I'd give up Frelick for either. I suspect the Reds would balk at that suggestion and the Cards would as well. They just traded away a good CFer because they said publicly they didn't have room for him. Jordan Walker, Lars Nootbaar with Edman in CF and Carson as their #4, I'm not sure they're looking to trade a young 2B/3B for an OFer. 

    So I don't see a fit there and with the Reds, I think Marte...I think you're probably going to have to part with Burnes to get him. 

    And Marte could very well end up as a Shortstop on another team that doesn't have a budding Superstar already playing SS. A guy who can hit 30 HRs. I'd be all for that. 3B or SS. In fact, his versatility would make him more appealing. Turang could stay at 2nd if Marte doesn't outgrow SS or you could have two really good defenders on that side.

     

    Sign me up for Marte, just skeptical that we're giving up enough to get him. Feels like you'd need to at least add a Payamps to that deal. Frelick+Payamps given the Reds are trying to compete and I'm not completely confident Payamps is going to be able to maintain his performance. 

    Appreciate the article. An upgrade in the infield with more power is just what the Dr has ordered. Looking forward to seeing what Matt Arnold has in his sites. Thinking Willy Adames is too expensive a sign. Would really miss the Willie energy and clubhouse presence. That will be difficult to replace. However packaging Adames and one of our outfielders could bring in a big bat. Marte would look good at SS in Milwaukee. I'd still like to see them figure something out with the Orioles.  

    I'd love Marte or Gorman but the problem with interdivision trades is that no one wants to give a top young player to a rival and have it blow up in their face. My thought would be to get a lower value bat from either.

    Luken Baker would be a great target. He crushed AAA but wasn't great in the bigs and is very blocked. Especially since the Cards want to extend Goldy. Baker for Houser or Tyrone Taylor with maybe a lower level prospect to sweeten the deal might work well.

    India would probably be the only guy the Reds would trade to us and I wouldn't give up anything significant for him. Maybe a prospect for prospect swap for a guy like Edwin Arroyo, Sal Stewart, or Cam Collier but we has some decent SS/3B prospects in the lower minors.

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