That's essentially my take, too. Padres are also pretty *lucky* that we haven't delivered the big hit against some of these relievers who appear to be generally cooked. Some hard EVs but nothing to show.. yet.
I fear they're going to try to squeeze bunt or contact play to mess this up.
There are two ABs to get this run in, we'll see what Ortiz does and what they do with Chourio.