If there are so many college arms, though, wouldn't reaching at #16 be much more of a calculated risk, though? To rephrase, if we could take a college arm at #16, and then BPA/position player in the supplemental round/2d round, why not take the C at #16, and then a college arm in the sandwich round? From what I've read, I get the impression that there's a relatively large crop of similarly-rated college pitchers - is that mistaken?