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snyttri

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Everything posted by snyttri

  1. snyttri
    I don't think it's possible for a team to play over it's head for a whole season. A team, unlike a player, only exists for one season and is a product of team chemistry. If a team plays very well for the whole season then that was the level of that team. Not what the numbers might have predicted.
  2. snyttri
    Ozzie had just announced that Konerko would be getting rest for a while. Griffey will be a good replacement. The attendance has not been what it should be for a division leader. Adding a HOFer should sell some seats. And there is added entertainment value from Thome and Griffey Jr. moving up the all-time HR lists at the same time.
  3. snyttri
    Mark A. can't say the Brewers are making a profit every year and pull off an unprecedented ticket price hike that might be coming next year without fueling discontent The club is close to maxing out in attendance and they may think they need a $100,000,000 payroll to beat the Cubs. People see that unheard of money is already being spent on the Brewers by fans and the need for high ticket prices might not be bought into unless the groundwork is laid. On their boards White Sox fans still complain about their new high ticket prices even though they have gotten results. Brewers ticket prices might be following suit with or without the results. Mark A. thankfully may be too ambitious to give up most of his good players Oakland style. Brewers attendance and merchandise sales are big market now and other big market things, good and bad, may follow.
  4. snyttri
    I am sorry if you are offended but the comparison to car salesmen and gullibility may get to the heart of the matter in a way that less sincere language couldn't. None of the estimates take into account all the financial benefits the owners receive. The history of baseball suggests that you should not give owners the benefit of the doubt that they are telling the truth about their revenues. They have every incentive not to. In 2001, as stated in the first paragraph of the article rluzinski linked, Bud was claiming that only 2 teams were making money. Until collective bargaining owners were able to rely on gullible players to pay entertainment business stars wages that bore little connection to the revenues they brought in; and now gullible citizens pay for lavish stadiums and sympathize with billionaire owners against millionaire players. Owners preying on the gullible is a part of baseball. EDIT: Mark A. and his partners may be taking a loss according one financial perspective. The Yankees, IIRC, will no longer be paying into revenue sharing soon because, as a result of their new stadium, they will no longer be one of baseball's most profitable teams according to the revenue sharing formula. With everything the Brewers touch making money at record rates and the addition of a star player spiking the records the financial risk of the additional salary can be overestimated. The greater risk may be in failing to add another $10 million in salary that can generate more than that to the value of the Brewers brand.
  5. snyttri
    The-Business-Of-Baseball The Biz of Baseball Attanasio seems like a nice guy and a more straight shooting owner than most. But believing a baseball club owner's representations about profitability makes you about as gullible as if you believe a car salesman's representations about the profit he's making. Owners crying poor as they continue to make more and more money is about as much of a baseball tradition as players bending and breaking the rules to get an edge. If owners admitted how much money they made it would just cost them public sympathy and hurt them in labor negotiations.
  6. snyttri
    The Cubs would be better if Hendry had looked at Prior and Wood like Beane is looking at Harden. He might be burned again.
  7. snyttri
    Luckily it will be a season ticket holder lunch and game doubleheader tomorrow.
  8. snyttri
    The Rays are the fifth most profitable team in baseball according to Forbes, apparently thanks to revenue sharing. Better to keep their best finds than spend it on dicey free agents or just pocket it as the Pirates have done in the recent past despite the city buying a stadium for them. Forbes operating income ranks 2008
  9. snyttri
    I'm also just at econ 101 level but I think rluzinski does a good job of explaining how higher salaries are affordable. The annual Forbes estimates mentioned, "The Business of Baseball", as well as the "the biz of baseball " seem to explain a lot. NBA ticket prices suggest the Brewers can charge considerably more for their best seats. Because the Brewers seemed sure of Braun's value and were optimistic about future revenues a preemptive contract strike long before he became ROY might have been a good gamble. Forbes The Business of Baseball 2008 the biz of baseball
  10. snyttri
    2008 promotional schedule I'm working on my second BP card and the McDonald's Big Mac deal sounds good if you don't mind harming your health. Student tickets could be purchased in advance last year.
  11. snyttri
    Because the Brewers report turning down Arroyo on their official site I think it was more than a rumor. Arroyo is a considerably better pitcher than Bush, an inninings eater with a 4.22 ERA last year and for his career and with an All-Star game he could have had for the Brewers. I think you have to chalk this up as a bad trade by Doug because there was a better opportunity on the table. 12/8/05 brewers site on overbay trade "Boston was also in the running for Overbay and the Brewers considered right-hander Bronson Arroyo, but instead chose Toronto's offer because of the financial flexibility that could allow Milwaukee to pursue a free agent or add payroll in another trade, possibly for a reliever or another left-handed bat."
  12. snyttri
    IIRC it was reported at the time that Boston wanted to trade Bronson Arroyo for Overbay. Arroyo had just signed a three year deal in the off season for a total of just over $11 million. Boston ended up settling for Wily Mo Pena when Doug chose to deal with Toronto.
  13. snyttri
    The real advantage of the Carlos Lee trade to the White Sox was that it cleared salary that they spent on free agents Orlando Hernandez and Jermaine Dye. If they were unwilling or unable to make the signings without moving Lee's salary, then they probably wouldn't have won anything in '05 with Lee. They were a mid-level salary team before '05, though they're a big budget team now.
  14. snyttri
    Milwaukee could use the favorable publicity. The adjustment to the road uniform might help to give the new Brewers a separate identity without breaking the continuity of Brewers tradition. It would sell a lot of jerseys and t-shirts.
  15. snyttri
    A lot of the best seats seem to be held back for individual game sales. This can be checked by seeing what's available for a given game on the Brewers site. One thing that might or might not work to improve your seats and retain flexibility is to get a 20 game set schedule and then use the $1 live ticket exchange option to get seats for the games you want that are not on the set schedule. The tickets you receive in exchange might be fairly good because you are a partial season ticket holder.
  16. snyttri
    He should catch up to a good home run pace soon when he goes on a tear. I think it would be very unlikely for him to hit less than 40.
  17. snyttri
    The White Sox, because of their former owner Bill Veeck (owner of the minor league Brewers who tried to move the Browns back to Milwaukee), because it goes with being anti-Cubs while living in the Chicago area and because they tend to be overlooked. I was living out of state during the White Sox fans assaults on County Stadium.
  18. snyttri
    If Mota has trouble they'll be booing the PED Three.
  19. snyttri
    It doesn't work like that. Speeches are ticketed events limited to supporters. Booers are ejected. Freedom of speech is not what it was a short time ago.
  20. snyttri
    I think it would be unpatriotic not to boo a President you thought was doing a terrible job when you get a very rare chance. It would be something like not voting. The president has the power to do great damage to the country you care about. All you have to stop it is your vote and your voice. Some presidents go to great lengths to assure themselves that they are only exposed to pre-selected friendly crowds lest they be exposed to what the citizens really think of them. If a baseball ticket accidentally gets you through the thick echo chamber walls don't blow your chance.
  21. snyttri
    Didn't Arroyo get that huge contract based primarily on a season as one of the league's best pitchers he could have had for the Brewers with a low salary? Who knows whether the Brewers would have signed him to a big contract or not? EDIT: Arroyo had just signed a contract for 3 years for a total of 11.2M when the Brewers might have gotten him for his All-Star year. He is a 4.23 ERA innings eater last year and for his career.
  22. snyttri
    I think of the Overbay trade as a failure because, if I was reading the rumors correctly, Melvin chose the Toronto package over Bronson Arroyo of the Red Sox, who ended up settling for Willy Mo Pena when they couldn't get Overbay. Still, Melvin is a very good GM and it would be devastating to lose him.
  23. snyttri
    Booing at an exhibition game can only give Milwaukee a reputation as a place where the people know nothing about baseball. Cubs fans come to Miller Park to detract from the Brewers home field advantage and so do the boo birds.
  24. snyttri
    The SI prediction should protect the Brewers from any jinxes SI curses them with. The more hype the Cubs get the more pressure they'll feel all year, and pressure and Cubs don't mix well.
  25. snyttri
    The difference between Howard's $900,000 and Fielder's $670,000 might mean the Brewers' 0-3 year pay scale is not competitive. If it does fall short it might only cost an overpaid utility infielder's salary to bring the major league roster into line. It would not be good to see the Brewers save relative pennies now to alienate a cornerstone of their franchise down the line. People bear grudges and act on them when hey have a chance. Fielder will go elsewhere anyway but being penny wise, if that's what their current 0-3 year pay scale is, might be dollar foolish for the Brewers that might stay. Also, even though it might not be in the scale giving credit for a notable all-time record (youngest to 50) probably wouldn't create too many fairness objections.
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