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Fear The Chorizo

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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo

  1. 49ers been managing to win games with a dominant defense, but playoff football would require their scrub quarterback to do something - not saying the Packers are good enough of a team to be the ones to knock them off, but I don't see San Fran winning 3 games against the NFC playoff field to get to the Super Bowl. That being said, if GB's defense keeps playing well (they've been MUCH better in the front 7 over the last month, which has allowed for some of the coverage gaps in the deep middle to be shored up in the secondary), they keep running the ball effectively and Rodgers gets somewhat hot, I wouldn't want to play them in the playoffs. It also helps to have a difference maker returning kicks...
  2. I will repeat - Attanasio's net worth currently hovers around $700 Million dollars, most of which is tied up in investments that have lost value over the last few years with market gyrations. He does own controlling interest in the Brewers, but isn't the sole owner of the team as there are plenty of minority ownership stakes. Why people want Mark A. to spend like Cohen (who is worth closer to $15Billion dollars with a B) to increase player payroll beyond what this organization can support on its own revenues defies reasonable logic and expectations. I think there is a better likelihood Mark A. sells the team before he gives Arnold his savings account information to start spending like a fool on veteran free agents.
  3. I really like Adames and would really like to keep him a Brewer another 3-4 seasons....but since contract extensions and free agent deals don't work that way in baseball I've just never seen the point of considering a longterm extension for Adames given the years of control they still have on him. The Brewers can pay him yearly for the next two seasons until he'd reach free agency in 2025 after his 29-yr old season. Keeping players of Adames' caliber through their prime at a reasonable cost needs to be the Brewers' focus, not looking to identify more veterans to throw longterm money at. Why throw $250+M at a player well into his 30s who will only diminish in value defensively at SS as he ages, and who is a low-300's OBP player? I think the Brewers need to pay him what he gets in arbitration for 2023, and potentially explore trading him next offseason before the 2024 season to get some return value and give the SS position to Turang - who also is a very good defensive SS.
  4. I really like Adames and would really like to keep him a Brewer another 3-4 seasons....but since contract extensions and free agent deals don't work that way in baseball I've just never seen the point of considering a longterm extension for Adames given the years of control they still have on him. The Brewers can pay him yearly for the next two seasons until he'd reach free agency in 2025 after his 29-yr old season. Keeping players of Adames' caliber through their prime at a reasonable cost needs to be the Brewers' focus, not looking to identify more veterans to throw longterm money at. Why throw $250+M at a player well into his 30s who will only diminish in value defensively at SS as he ages, and who is a low-300's OBP player? I think the Brewers need to pay him what he gets in arbitration for 2023, and potentially explore trading him next offseason before the 2024 season to get some return value and give the SS position to Turang - who also is a very good defensive SS.
  5. If they win Sunday night and get in, I don't have the same vibes as 2010 almost expecting them to go on a run due to their talent and experience level, but the rest of the NFC could allow for a run. That being said, its been a run of sorts just to get back to this position to even squeak into the playoffs, and matchups are going to dictate how long a run the Packers could continue on in the postseason.
  6. Vikings are going to be a 13 win team with a negative point differential....thats about the only impressive thing about them tbh
  7. So Davante turned down a bigger offer from the Packers to go to Vegas and play with his college quarterback and best buddy after insisting on being traded....don't think things are working out the way he planned now that Carr's being benched the rest of this season to avoid injury in order to see if they can trade him this offseason. In all honesty, even with the offensive struggles in 2022 I think the Adams trade wound up working very well for GB, as the two picks sent them by the Raiders wound up netting Quay Walker and Christian Watson (53 was part of the trade for GB to move up and get him).
  8. I don't think that's been confirmed one way or the other and never will be publicly... Also, Correa's leg injury history is pretty well known given the broken leg/ligament damage he suffered back in 2014 sliding into a base that required surgery. That's part of the reason he only signed a 3 year deal with a very high AAV last offseason. There have been some injury concerns with his back in recent years as well...we as Brewer fans have seen firsthand what that can turn into with great players as they age even a little bit. Correa has been a very good to great player since his significant leg in jury in 2014, but those type of injuries become chronic problems that cut a career short as a player ages, particularly one who is 6-4 and every bit of 225 pounds.
  9. Do we know whether that 10 year deal included opt-out language in the event an injury they knew about caused longterm issues with Correa or not?
  10. Correa's deal with the Twins that he opted out after one season was a 3 yr deal, yes? Seems to me he should've taken a longer look at his own medical history before opting out of another $70M or so guaranteed to fish for a mega contract that a team rightfully wants to give to a player with no longterm injury concerns at the time he signs a deal that pays him until he's 40. Part of this saga has to be with Boras' clients being less than forthcoming with medicals. I think if Correa doesn't sign with the Mets, which would entirely be due to medical concerns a 2nd team that tried inking him to a monster contract this offseason had, it's more likely that Correa doesn't play in 2023 than sign with a different team knowing how Boras operates.
  11. Hiura's total regular season plate appearance totals since 2018 (minors + majors): 2018: 535 - K rate of about 20% between A+ and AA 2019: 591 - K rate of about 28% between AAA and MLB 2020: 246 (COVID year) - K rate of 34% 2021: 403 - K rate of about 37% between MLB and AAA 2022: 325 - K rate of about 39% between MLB and AAA I don't believe he's suffered a major injury to cause him to miss significant time over the previous 2 seasons, so those season-long plate appearance totals in 2021-2022 are a disservice to his development as a hitter, particularly at the MLB level. Is there a correlation between a higher K rate and more sporadic ABs? Sure there is, but then the flip side is he likely wouldn't have had as as much turbulence out of lineups at the MLB level if he wasn't striking out so much, too. He also dealt with having his mother fighting lymphoma throughout 2021. Many players scuffled offensively during that shortened COVID season in 2020 - but I think it impacted Hiura moreso than other more established hitters, as he had to suffer through trying to make that 1st adjustment all young hitters do against MLB pitching once they've gotten a book on him during a season without video assistance in the clubhouse and when extra work/practice opportunities were severely limited for fear of virus transmission. the most easily explainable reason for the sky-high k rates in recent years is likely the changes made to his swing path to improve launch angle and HR rate, which reduces the length of time his bat is in the hitting area of a swing....for a guy who leans on hand speed so heavily to do damage at the plate and naturally has more of a slider-speed bat in today's game because of it, that was probably a very poor decision for his career arc. But, I also really hope he's gotten his eyesight checked....
  12. Apparently OPS is no longer a sought after stat teams should use to build offensive rosters, since the Brewers shipped away two of their top 3 bats from last season in that department (Renfroe and Wong) and all of Hiura's other metrics make him a terrible hitter who can't possibly maintain an above league average OPS...despite the fact he carried an above league average OPS last season in sporadic playing time. Getting on base and hitting for power/slugging (all other metrics on how a player gets there be damned) must not matter much in today's MLB...except for the fact the 2022 MLB playoff teams accounted for 8 of the top 10 and 11 of the top 16 offenses in MLB based on team OPS last season. The Brewers were somehow 10th in team OPS last year, which indicates if they pitched up to expectations they would've been a playoff team. My point isn't necessarily that Hiura should be the everyday DH in 2023 based on the current roster configuration...I hope Winker reverts back to pre 2022 production and Hiura improves against lefties enough so they both are positive offensive contributors. I think his role will get sorted out in Spring Training if he's still on the roster - my point is the production Hiura did provide in 2022 warranted him getting more opportunities last year with that teams' offensive roster, and he wasn't given them at the MLB level primarily because they paid a mid 30s OF on the physical decline $8.5M to provide a 0.700 OPS across 580 plate appearances as the primary DH. To me the worst decision was to send Hiura to AAA early in the season, after he had a good Spring Training then proceeded to be a bench player who had most of his ABs come against lefthanded pitching into May. The same people saying small samples should be discounted then taking a 3 week stretch of semi-consistent at bats from Hiura in late August/early September as a reason why he stinks is just too ironic for me. Hiura really has just 1.5 seasons of MLB plate appearance across parts of 4 MLB seasons, which is honestly still not enough of a sample to accurately forecast what he'll do moving forward.
  13. Hiura was more a victim of having a minor league option left when he was demoted early in the 2022 season, which happened after he was primarily the DH option against lefties and McCutcheon was DH-ing against righties and then playing the OF against lefty starters because nobody else on the team was hitting worth a lick. In the Brewers' spirit of maintaining roster flexibility, the fact that Hiura is a poor defender with reverse splits crushed his role as a DH platoon asset against RHP and a late inning PH option off the bench. I was against the Brewers signing McCutcheon from the day the ink was still wet on that contract, because I wanted them to give Hiura the DH role full time on this roster and give him extended playing time without fear of being benched or shuttled back and forth to AAA every time a 14th pitcher came off the DL and needed a roster spot. I thought it was a poor allocation of limited financial resources and didn't have significant upside - the only upside were if McCutcheon had a platoon-mate to be the DH against righties. Hiura was still that option, but the roster wasn't managed that way early in the season when it would've helped solidify Keston's role on the MLB roster. Assuming Hiura is still on the Brewers' 40 man roster come spring training, this is a make or break spring for him as a Brewer because the minor league options are gone. Like it or not with all the warts, Hiura still had the 4th highest OPS on the team for hitters with more than 100 ABs last season behind only Renfroe, Rowdy, and Wong.
  14. Wyatt has definitely emerged as the season has unfolded....he's winning one on one battles against the run and in the pass rush, to the point where he was even being doubled on some play-side runs with Clark lined up next to him. I think a product of the 3INTs was the 2nd half pass rush getting to Tua and forcing him to throw the ball a bit earlier than he would've wanted to - Miami's offense is set up to throw timing passes to receivers running option routes as they break into open spaces in zone coverage. They seemed to shy away from the run even though it was productive for them, and it allowed LBs to get further into coverage and the Dline generated enough of a pass rush without blitzing that Tua was passing into tighter windows that receivers weren't breaking into.
  15. It will feel really good to dislodge the horsehoe currently up the Vikes' rears next weekend to remind them of their impending early playoff exit, along with shoring up a great shot at the Packers winding up with the 7 seed in what is honestly a wide-open NFC playoff picture.
  16. Another missed defensive holding call in that pass to Doubs
  17. Huge play there! Felt like they spent the whole possession jumping the wrong routes and he guessed right on that one
  18. If they lose today its because they can't score from goal to go when put in great spots by special teams and the defense...the times they actually made big plays
  19. Well, do it the right way then the second time around
  20. That is pi all day long....Lazard dwarfs that db so the grab and pushing doesn't look bad in real-time but it totally prevented the receiver from going for the ball. I think that needs to be a reviewable play moving forward with how inconsistent the officiating is on that call
  21. Big man is showing some flashes...
  22. Or tied GB likely doesn't have the horses to actually be a postseason threat this year and their brutal October and early november dug them a hole they probably can't dig themselves out of, but they aren't rolling over. Find any way to win this game, and things start getting interesting.
  23. Our safeties suck....and giving the fastest wr in the NFL a free release down the seam isn't a good defensive gameplan
  24. Bad throw....decent throw its a touchdown. Probably just as good a chance to make a poor throw on a crossing route with the defense all pressed up. Watching the replay, db once again with a big jersey grab on Watson right at the time the ball was released to hold him up for a few yards.
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