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Harold Hutchison

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Everything posted by Harold Hutchison

  1. Harold Hutchison
    The only way they could conceivably start 30-20 is if they have the nerve to start the season with a rotation including 5 of these 6: Nelson, Peralta, Jungmann, Davies, Hader, and Lopez, add a major league bat (Alvarez or Morneau) to play 1B, and major league quality CF. Nelson has the stuff to certainly be ace-like over a 50 game stretch. Peralta would have to return to 2014 form and one of the kids would have to become a ROY candidate out of the box. Hader has the stuff to be that guy if they have the guts to move him up. In addition to that they'd need bounce backs from Lucroy and Gennett, continued power from Davis and Braun, and adequate play at 3B from some combo of Villar, Perez or Middlebrooks. Now if they're sitting 30-20 with that young staff, do you sell off veterans who are providing offense, especially ones you control in 2017 also? Maybe you sell off the CF you've picked up to be a stopgap, and sell off Segura to make room for Arcia, but those are moves that could improve your chances not diminish them. They need to eat Garza's contract which was a massive mistake by the previous regime. Even if he pitches to his 2014 form, his trade value will not recover to the level where the return would be of any impact. Yeah they could save a few bucks, but really the payroll situation is fine so they can easily eat some dead money. They could try to plug Santana into CF or 1B - thats another Davis-esque bat, I think.
  2. Harold Hutchison
    That is difficult but not impossible. We were only in position to draft those two guys because we were horrible and had high draft picks for several years. Two were home runs, pun intended and two weren't but you need several years of great drafts to get the wave of plus plus guys to Milwaukee. I'd consider two of the first-round picks from 2002-2007 home runs (Braun and Fielder), one was a solid double (Rickie Weeks), two were base hits (Jeffress, traded to land Greinke and LaPorta, traded for Sabathia), and one was arguably a dud (Mark Rogers, who still made the majors).
  3. Harold Hutchison
    Did the Brewers panic after leaving him in Brevard County? I think they need to get a better A+ affiliate... Brevard's just brutal on hitters, and I have to wonder if it's killing their confidence.
  4. Harold Hutchison
    100% agree. I've been baffled as to why anyone would prioritize Davis over Santana on a rebuilding team, especially given that Santana has destroyed AAA, had a huge hot streak out of the gate last year in MLB, and finished with a respectable .768 OPS (Davis = career .809 OPS). Oh yeah, and he's actually a solid defender... Davis's bat is improving, and improving a lot - especially his walk rate (44 in 440 PAs, compared to 52 in 549 in 2014). What may be throwing people off is the time Davis missed with injury in 2015. He had that plate discipline in the early minors. I'd be happy to have a Davis-Santana-Braun outfield, because I think Braun will rebound closer to his 2007-2012 form, and Davis will improve his OPS to the .850-.900 range as well. Broxton could make things interesting, as he could be a circa 2012 Carlos Gomez.
  5. Harold Hutchison
    In one sense, I'm a little frustrated with the trade. Rogers was not a bad cheap option at first, and the Brewers could have just had Reed and Santana handle CF this year. That being said, the vibe I pick up from Keon Broxton is... a less-rushed Carlos Gomez type of player. Speed, good defense, and emerging power. If that is the case, then this deal could be a steal, no matter how Supak turns out. If that is the case, then Maverick Phillips becomes a trade asset.
  6. Harold Hutchison
    Hence why I'm advocating for Stearns to trade Davis. Let's get Santana playing his natural position (RF) and shift Braun back to LF. Davis would net us a decent prospect(s). I'd roll with a Davis-Santana-Braun OF. If the team's gonna have a rough year, at least give the fans homers. Who knows? Maybe lightning gets caught in a bottle.
  7. Harold Hutchison
    I'm sure some may say that one thing Luc offers that a guy like Frazier doesn't is the quality veteran at a position that is critical to developing young pitching. I, honestly, don't know how important having a veteran catcher mentoring these young pitchers is - it's one of those hard to quantify things in any sport. The catcher/pitcher relationship is pretty unique in baseball - and keeping Luc offers a comfort zone. But again, to what extent this helps a pitcher develop, I don't know. If this is the type of return we can expect from a Lucroy trade, then I say shell out whatever he wants for an extension. With pitchers coming up (Lopez, Ortega, Hader, Houser, Davies, Suter, Wang), I think paying Lucroy big money will buy not just the wins from his bat, but wins from better-developed young pitchers.
  8. Harold Hutchison
    Rogers strikes me as a left-handed version of Fiers, and Gonsalves looks to be VERY good (2.01 ERA last year). Palka's a 3TO-type bat with some speed as well.
  9. Harold Hutchison
    Twins get: RHP Wily Peralta OF Tyrone Taylor Brewers get: LHP Taylor Rogers OF/1B Daniel Palka LHP Stephen Gonsalves
  10. Harold Hutchison
    If it's a player, maybe the give us their #30 prospect, Daniel Palka.
  11. Harold Hutchison
    If the lights out happens in 2016 or 2017 in a year where the team isn't competing for anything and the flame out happens during a playoff run, is it really a win though? If the lights out is in 2016-2017, you have the option to flip him for help elsewhere. Let somebody else deal with the flameout, or the big money in arbitration/free agency.
  12. Harold Hutchison
    Doesn't look like it. Games started by position in minors: 2B - 332 GS LF - 76 GS 3B - 58 GS SS - 2 GS Baseball Reference reports Walsh played three games at second, one in left, and 11 in right. The total (counting the AFL) is actually: 2B: 335 LF: 77 3B: 58 RF: 11 SS: 2
  13. Harold Hutchison
    Hmmm... CF: Reed 3B: Cecchini 1B: Braun C: Lucroy LF: Davis RF: Santana 2B: Walsh SS: Villar Pitcher Could be a lot worse... some pop in the middle, a lot of OBP around it...
  14. Harold Hutchison
    Jones is intriguing. Reminding me a little bit of Derrick Turnbow.
  15. Harold Hutchison
    But don't the Brewers already have Michael Reed, who could be pretty much that player, and who has the added benefit of already being on the 40-man roster?
  16. Harold Hutchison
    Do you seriously think Khris Davis for Dylan Bundy is an OVERPAY? Didn't realize anyone was actually drinking the rare Khris Davis kool aid. lol Davis, I think, is emerging as a 3TO-type of player. His OBP skills improved markedly this past year. In 109 fewer plate appearances, he drew 12 more walks, and hit five more homers. Davis looks legit, and he's cheap. I'm not opposed to dealing him, but I'd need to be blown away by the offer before I break up a 2016 Opening Day OF of Davis in left, Santana in center, and Braun in right.
  17. Harold Hutchison
    Why sign a veteran when Michael Reed is on the roster? Reed has some OBP skills, some speed, a bit of power. Kind of a faster Brady Clark.
  18. Harold Hutchison
    Phillips is our guy by at the latest 2017. So what is one year worth of a stop gap CF to us especially if it means we are going to lose 100 games AND not give Santana ABs? Especially if getting that stop-gap CF means that the Brewers are trading for him. If you want a one-year stopgap, see what Michael Reed can do in center for that year. Reed's already on the 40-man roster, and I'd argue that he's earned a chance for the job with his performance over the last couple of years in the minors. If the Brewers are going to have a down year in 2016, why waste trade assets on stop-gaps? The Brewers are much better off going for in-house stopgaps, and saving the trade assets (Davis, Lucroy, Lind, Peralta, Nelson) for the purpose of getting prospects who can be plus bats or #1/#2 starters. But that's my opinion.
  19. Harold Hutchison
    He does. Don't even bother responding to his Braun at 3B obsession. Nice... now how about addressing my objections to giving up assets that could be used for either plus bats or pitching prospects for a short-term "fix" for a CF position that is not broken, particularly when there is a possible short-term option in the form of Michael Reed that is already on the 40-man roster? And my only mention of Braun and third base was to note that moving Santana from center field was the same kind of mistake the Brewers made about eight years ago with Braun.
  20. Harold Hutchison
    Santana's a plus bat for a CF, probably profiling like Khris Davis, maybe a bit better. His defense is not bad there. Certainly decent enough that his bat more than makes up for it. I would argue that center field is NOT broke, and does not need an urgent fix. Certainly not if the Brewers have to TRADE assets for a short-term fix. Now, Michael Reed might be an in-house interim option if Santana's really that bad in center, but looking at Domingo's numbers, I don't think that is the case, especially given the offensive potential. Pitchers will have confidence if they know the offense can rack up a bunch of runs. Trading assets for a short-term fix at CF is making the same darn mistake the Brewers made by moving Braun from third after 2007. Braun was a mega-plus bat at third, had just won Rookie of the Year, and they moved him and got a revolving door of Bill Hall, Casey McGehee, Aramis Ramirez and company rather than just saying, "we got our third baseman for the next five years - or more, if we can extend him." How'd that work out for the Crew? I'd argue not as well as keeping Braun at third would have. If the Brewers are gonna trade assets, get either plus bats or #1/#2 type starters. Not a short-term fix when there are at least two in-house options (Santana and Reed).
  21. Harold Hutchison
    Hamilton or Moreland? HECK, NO! I'd rather have Prince back instead. Never said Moreland and said Hamilton could be an easy dump candidate which we have seen before in MLB trades. Hamilton comes with a lot of risk. If the Brewer part with Lucroy and Davis, I'd want something along the lines of 1B Prince Fielder, SS/3B/OF Ryan Cordell, C Jose Trevino, and UT Drew Robinson at a minimum - and I'd also want LHP Andrew Faulkner or Joey Gallo as well.
  22. Harold Hutchison
    Hamilton or Moreland? HECK, NO! I'd rather have Prince back instead.
  23. Harold Hutchison
    It wouldn't take that much and no way I would do that. I will take a flyer on him, but I am not giving up value for him. That's why I suggested Hernan Perez.... I don't know if Cecchini would ever be better than Perez, but I'd gladly take a flyer on an actual 3B rather than yet another nondescript middle IF manning 3B in a continuingly nondescript way. Perez is too much value for someone the Sox just DFA'd. Heck, I'd like to platoon Perez at second with Gennett.
  24. Harold Hutchison
    It wouldn't take that much and no way I would do that. I will take a flyer on him, but I am not giving up value for him. Agreed. Maybe trade Milan Post, Henry Correa, or Francisco Castillo for him. But not much more. BTW, doesn't Milan Post sound cool as a name?
  25. Harold Hutchison
    It's worth a flyer, IMO.
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