gregmag I'm with you, albeit I would probably lay the odds a little differently: Capuano, Davis, Obermueller, Kinney. Capuano's pitched lights-out since a rough spring outing. Davis only had one bad start in `03, and his first one was okay until Yost tried to go an inning too far (after six, I'd have brought in Bennett, then Vizcaino and Kolb). Capuano's got an arm injury question, but if he is back, he's gonna do a lot to make the Sexson trade worthwhile. Davis, over a full season as a starter, posted a 4.45 ERA and a 101 ERA+. His 2003 aggregate was a 4.03 ERA, given that he had to spend some time in the minors first. At 28, he's had some ups and downs. But his 2002 season was marred by an ankle injury - so he has a sound arm - give him a mulligan for that, and I think he's an average pitcher. I'd have to give him a full year in the `03 rotation and see what happens. I think a 3.50-to-4.00 ERA is what we could expect. Obermuller is intriguing. He's still learning to pitch to an extent, based on the fact he only started to do so as a college senior. Could he be good? Maybe. I think he's best suited as a 7th-or-8th inning reliever (think David Weathers). That's not bad. Kinney's raising the most questions. Right now, he's sure not throwing any strikes (4 out of 14). He's Jamey Wright II, and I think it's time we admit that. For 2005, the Crew will have Henrickson and de la Rosa ready (hopefully). Maybe Jones or Liriano will also make things interesting, but I think the 2005 rotation (barring trades or injury) will be: Sheets, Capuano, Davis, Hendrickson, de la Rosa. RoCoBrewfan I would venture that Doug Davis may have had problems in the AL. His 2002 season was 10 starts with an ankle injury in the mix. His 2000 season was bouncing between the bullpen and rotation. He had a great run in August and September. Do I think he's going to dominate like that? No. Do I think he could be a solid #3 starter in the NL with a 3.50 to 4.00 ERA as he adjusts to the hitters and learns their tendencies? I think it is very possible. I have to admit I feel better with Davis pitching than Matt Kinney.