Harold Hutchison
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Everything posted by Harold Hutchison
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Dubon to SF for Pomeranz and Black
Harold Hutchison replied to torts's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
As a reliever, Pomeranz has been much better. He could fit in nicely there, and let Freddy take a starting spot if Gio can't go. -
Dubon to SF for Pomeranz and Black
Harold Hutchison replied to torts's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
It happened when Arcia struggled again this year and the grass started looking greener on the other side. Arcia'll always rank above Jim Gantner for his 2018 post-season run, but Moustakas at short sounds much more appealing. Yeah, he'd be an extremely bat-first option there, but... if he hits like he did this year, is it worth dealing Arcia? -
Dubon to SF for Pomeranz and Black
Harold Hutchison replied to torts's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
You are right. A lot of uncertainty going into next year. With what they are paying Cain, they need him to rebound and be productive next year as well. At 1B today's Aguilar deal all but guarantees that Thames' option will be picked up. Do they move Braun to 1B to platoon with Thames next year and open a spot for Grisham? Perhaps they could resign one of Moose or Grandal ... I mean Moose's market has been crap the last two offseasons, and while he's been decent this year, I can't imagine another team is going to suddenly decide to give him a 3-year, $50 million deal. Do they give Nottingham the chance to win the catcher's job? Pina? Freitas? As for the rotation, I agree that Woody and Davies are likely locks. I think Houser is getting close to being a lock as well. Do they bank on Burnes taking a much-needed leap? Faria is a talented dude that has a chance. Peralta? Definitely more uncertainty right now than at the end of 2018. They could always bring Grandal back... His market wasn't that hot, either. Miller Park's good for his numbers, and he'll have another year with the staff. I'd say the Brewers pick up his mutual option, and he decides to stick around as well. Maybe extends for another year or two. -
Dubon to SF for Pomeranz and Black
Harold Hutchison replied to torts's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Spot on. Gives the staff a shot in the arm, without giving up Moose or Grandal. Pomeranz's numbers as a reliever are very intriguing to me (2.83 ERA, 9.6 K/9). If he does well, he's worth bringing back. Might be worth retaining just as a dominating reliever who could go multiple innings. -
Dubon to SF for Pomeranz and Black
Harold Hutchison replied to torts's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Pomeranz has much better numbers as a reliever than a starter, as is the case with Faria. Black's a Knebel-lite, with very high K/9 numbers over his pro career. Losing Dubon stinks... he was an upgrade over Arcia. But Pomeranz could be a good pickup - and I bet he's cheap to re-sign, and an upgrade over Claudio. That said, if this gets the Crew back in the playoffs... it's worth losing Dubon. Also, what might this say about Turang? AA/AAA in 2020, September 2020 debut? He could force the issue. -
My thoughts as well. I can definitely see him hitting 35 homeruns, driving in 110, and hitting .320 the next 4 years. Man is it nice to have a bat like his that can match Braun’s production when he was in his prime. We are one big bat away from a very potent offense. Did you watch the AFL this year? Some guy named Hiura may just be that big bat... at NO cost.
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Much will depend on whether he bats behind or in front of Hiura - and that could be as soon as Opening Day. IF it is a Cain-Hiura-Yelich top three in the order, it may be along the lines of .315/.390/.550 (a .940 OPS) with 35 homers a year. A regular contender for the triple crown. If it's Cain-Yelich-Hiura... I think 2018 could be a floor for Yelich in his prime.
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Why imagine that lineup with an eye towards 2019 when it could be done right now ? OH, I wish, but Arcia's there. He's rapidly overtaking Jim Gantner as my all-time LEAST favorite Brewer. Same reason - an offensive black hole.
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Here is what is amazing - imagine this Opening Day 2019 lineup: cf: Cain rf: Yelich 1b: Aguilar 2b: Shaw lf: Braun 3b: Moustakas ss: Schoop c: Pina Pitcher I think 2019 will be even better than 2018!
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I think they looked only at homers. Two other factors were probably not accounted for entirely: 1. Miller Park meant that other fly balls that didn't go out of the park instead went off the wall for doubles rather than being caught for outs. Those add to average and SLG, too. 2. He also has had Aguilar, Shaw, and Braun behind him in the order, giving him a fair bit of protection. He saw more fastballs. Yeah, he could hurt you, but those three are still dangerous (Braun was "unlucky" in the first half).
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All well and good, but I am more interested in on-base plus slugging. Will Braun and Santana top the .900 plateau? If they do, great. That means Yelich, Cain, Villar, and others are scoring a lot of runs.
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The team just traded arguably their two top OF prospects. I think the onus is on Grisham and Ray to start fulfilling their potential. I imagine both will be at AA this year. Time to put up or shut up. Exactly. Let's see how these guys can do. The OF is fine for a few years - they can be ready when they are ready (if ever). Do not forget Troy Stokes. That guy just had a spot open for him at Colorado Springs. He's had good OBP skills and speed, plus he started developing some pop.
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If Braun returns to his 2016 form, then those three starting with Phillips as 4th OF is something the Brewers should gladly be willing to roll with.
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My problem is, I question whether Arcia is going to progress past being a good field-no hit SS. His walk rate regressed from 2016 to 2017. Playing half his games in one of the most hitter-friendly parks in professional baseball (Colorado Springs), he posted a .723 OPS. His 2017 numbers were bouyed by an OPS of .848 in the month of June. His OPS never cracked .760 in any of the other months of that season. Diaz could play short, had a good bat... and was an insurance policy if Arcia's bat doesn't improve.
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I'd like to see Broxton go for some prospects. Braun in left, Yelich in center, Santana in right. Or Santana in center and Yelich in right. Phillips as 4th OF.
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Agreed. My big worry is this: On a team that struggles to get players on base, two of the three players with the best OBP skills in the system are now gone. Michael Reed went to Atlanta as a six-year free agent and Isan Diaz has been dealt for Yelich. That leaves Trent Grisham, who led the entire system in walks. Stokes is a close second, and I think his track record of staying healthy and his "almost Harrison" numbers last year made Harrison a "sell high" candidate. Hopefully, the June draft will see the Crew get more, or some players will develop that skill better. But that skill in the system has taken a big hit now.
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I can't believe they put Yamamoto in the package. I'd rather have seen Ortiz go - Yamamoto was looking a little like another Burnes.
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Miller Park will bring some huge benefits for Yelich, and I think we will be happy to have him for three years. maybe four on the outside (I assume he will be flipped later). That said... the price tag is way high. Brinson - I expected him to go, wasn't as high on him as some others here. Diaz - I really liked his OBP skills. Trent Clark/Grisham or Michael Reed were the only two who were clearly better. Harrison - In some ways, I am OK with this. He'd been hurt a lot before 2017, but I felt Stokes, Phillips, and Santana were all better. Stokes could very well be starting out in AAA this year. Yamamoto - This one really stings. I had him ranked far above Ortiz, Peralta, and Ponce. He looked like a Davies type. Honestly, I wish the Crew had taken Starlin Castro off the Marlins' hands and tried to use that to swap out Yamamoto for Bickford. They are also banking that Hirua's elbow doesn't go south on them.